For those of you who think the transplants will just "pick up the slack" - apparently they themselves aren't so convinced:
Detroit crash could halt transplant output
Could the financial collapse of a Detroit automaker halt production at Asian- or European-owned auto plants in the United States?
That hypothetical scenario suddenly looks painfully plausible. The reason? Import-brand automakers rely on many of the same North American suppliers as General Motors, Ford Motor Co. and Chrysler LLC.
If GM halted operations and was unable to pay a big North American supplier, the damage to the supplier's cash flow and creditworthiness could force the company to shut down. That would cut off the supplier's parts to Japanese and German assembly plants.
All over North America, financially vulnerable GM suppliers provide critical parts to the transplants. "The number of parts for which there are double- or triple-sourced suppliers is very small," says Carlos Tavares, Nissan Motor Co. executive vice president for corporate and product planning.
Cockpits for crossovers
For instance, Delphi Corp. is the exclusive supplier of cockpits for Mercedes M-class crossovers built in Vance, Ala. Johnson Controls Inc. sends seats and interior components to Nissan North America's plants in Smyrna, Tenn., and Canton, Miss. Magna International Inc. supplies transfer cases to the X5 crossover at BMW's Spartanburg, S.C., factory.
Dana Holding Corp. sells truck frames to Toyota's plant in Princeton, Ind., and the Japanese automaker's New United Motor Manufacturing Inc. joint venture with GM in Fremont, Calif. ArvinMeritor Inc. produces door modules for the Hyundai Sonata built in Montgomery, Ala.
The latter four of those North American-based supplier giants last week had their credit ratings placed on CreditWatch by Standard & Poor's. The suppliers may not be able "to withstand the liquidity shock of a sudden bankruptcy filing by one or more" of the Detroit 3, S&P said.
"We are deeply concerned," says Mike Goss, a spokesman for Toyota Motor Engineering & Manufacturing North America Inc., the Erlanger, Ky., headquarters for Toyota production. "We share many of the same suppliers with the Detroit 3.
"We are trying to monitor a fast-changing situation. I think we are watching to see who is at risk, but I can't go any further. We are vulnerable in a few cases."
Tavares of Nissan dismissed the idea that contingency plans could eliminate the risk to his company of a Detroit 3 failure. "No company can do that," he said.
A former Toyota U.S. manufacturing executive who asked not to be identified said a supplier's business failure typically gives an automaker the right to step in and continue producing its parts. But he added that in the event of a major supply-chain collapse, "not even Toyota would be able to retool suppliers and financially support such a downward spiral."