I thought about doing that, but I still don't come out ahead (enough to make it worth it). Maybe a couple hundred bucks at best (and that is depending on how we eat the last four days).
This deal really only benefits those who can arrive only a day or two before the bump. Ideally the smaller the party (1 or 2 people) the more you save as compared to the package price. Food and tickets are a fixed price. The only variable is the room rate (which changes week to week). i.e. a burger on December 23 will cost the same on December 26. With that said, the Expedia rate becomes like the food and tickets (it does not change week to week). That is, assuming you get in before the bump (preferably only 1 day). That is why my recommendation is to go from December 23 - January 1 (or what ever day you decide to depart). Also, Expedia is giving the best rate for a Deluxe at the Wilderness Lodge ($240 night). Compare that to Disney's $480 night.
I'm sticking with the MYW + Dining for all nights from December 19 - 28th. Here's why. My rate only bumps for the last two nights. That would be the savings (otherwise Disney is charging the same amount). That savings, plus buying tickets through
UT would only leave me with $1500 for food for four for 9 nights (or $166 per day). I don't think it is worth piecemealing the package from different vendors in order to save a few bucks per day. Here are the hard numbers:
9 nights at $240 at Expedia: 2451
Tickets for 4 through UT: 929
Total: 3380
Food estimate for 9 nights (party of 4): 1300
Total: $
4680
Disney package 9 nights and
DDP same place same dates:
$4875
Savings with Expedia and UT and all the hassle:
$195
Now, I highly recommed the Expedia deal if you are going b/t
12/23 - 1/1/2011. You will save way way more. The other big savings is to arrive on
12/16 (
$144/night!!!!!!). If you stay from the 12/16 -whatever, you are GOLDEN!
It's just not in the cards if you are arriving on 12/19.
Final thoughts: Arrive on 12/16 or 12/23 and use Expedia. Otherwise, it aint worth it.