I am curious as to what will happen with direct sales as we get closer to 2042 if they keep the resale restrictions. I know the restrictions do not affect resale but in my opinion it affects direct. DVC is probably one of the most expensive direct timeshares, partly because it holds its resale value. If resale restrictions impact or affect sales, direct becomes harder. Just my opinion - unless dvc tiers booking at that point too. Direct 7 months can book non home resorts resale for a fee can book at 5 months then at 4 months RCI or II whoever they are with can trade in. Otherwise I see a many dvc points going into RCI or II- in which case why not buy a cheaper timeshare to trade into DVC?
Just speculating. I agree with Sandisw that the incentives for VGF skewed the sales. Curious to see what it will be in August after families have had their summer vacations.
The whole point of the restrictions is to increase the value of direct. It encourages people to buy direct instead of resale.
Very few people -- I would venture to say almost nobody -- is making the decision to buy on the grounds of, "I'll buy direct if I can re-sell it for $120 per point in 10 years, but I won't buy direct if I can only re-sell for $100 per point in 10 years."
The people who are most likely to crunch the numbers down to the penny are the ones who buy re-sale to begin with. Disney doesn't much care if they lose the re-sale buyers.
So ok, if re-sale values go down, maybe a small number of potential direct buyers will see it's not as good a deal, and won't buy.
But, that will be outweighed by would-be resale buyers who see the restrictions, and buy direct instead of re-sale due to the restrictions.