I know, but aren’t they contractually at the max or over in some situations if PP are correct?And given the 2010/11 experience, they may do it again for 2021.
I know, but aren’t they contractually at the max or over in some situations if PP are correct?And given the 2010/11 experience, they may do it again for 2021.
I would love to be able to say that I disagree here, but as depressing as it is you are probably correct. Being a part of a DVC FB site is eye opening in terms of human nature (& a but scary too).
Thanks, yes most of them don’t subscribe to the « if you don’t like it just keep scrolling » mindset.I read your previous comment about being "shouted down" by Facebook people. Sorry that happened to you - that was uncalled for. If somebody is motivated enough to push for answers and transparency, and share the information, just say thanks!
Agreed & thanks. I knew going in it was pointless, but you’re right about it being the place besides Twitter to have any impact so I gave it a go.FB is just a place for selfies of you or your food. A place mostly for fun. Not a lot of in-depth conversation on FB. I prefer forums all day long. A thousand times the info compared to FB. That being said the only place for a Disney shame campaign would be FB so I commend you for at least trying to get something going over there.
Not really depressing, just reality IMO. I guess it could be depressing if your fantasy was too far off from reality.I would love to be able to say that I disagree here, but as depressing as it is you are probably correct. Being a part of a DVC FB site is eye opening in terms of human nature (& a but scary too).
Maybe, but I doubt it for most options. The limitations on change is 20% year over year and the maximum in terms of total points doesn't apply to the lockoff portions. There are some practical limitations in terms of comparing to 2 BR and for the resorts with dedicated smaller units but technically speaking as I read it, they could make all Lockoff studios, 1 BR and 2 BR the same price if they wanted or even make the smaller units more than the larger ones though realistically this would never happen apples to apples (different view types/booking categories is not apples to apples).I know, but aren’t they contractually at the max or over in some situations if PP are correct?
As I've noted, I belong but don't routinely even look at FB. I didn't even join until a few years ago for a high school class reunion to link up with old classmates in prep for the event. I hear twitter is even worse but I don't belong there. The old Prodigy boards were brutal, esp one specific person out of Jacksonville, FL. If you don't like it, sell was his response to anything not totally accepting of the system.FB is just a place for selfies of you or your food. A place mostly for fun. Not a lot of in-depth conversation on FB. I prefer forums all day long. A thousand times the info compared to FB. That being said the only place for a Disney shame campaign would be FB so I commend you for at least trying to get something going over there.
Is the purpose/goal of point reallocation to balance demand at a resort or across the entire system?
FB is just a place for selfies of you or your food. A place mostly for fun. Not a lot of in-depth conversation on FB. I prefer forums all day long. A thousand times the info compared to FB. That being said the only place for a Disney shame campaign would be FB so I commend you for at least trying to get something going over there.
When Disney does rent out a DVC room at rack rate how does that work? I thought they have a certain number of points they can use per year to grab these rooms. Can they go over this specific amount?
Okay, I know that all the following messag (is going to be rather 'inflammatory' but I don't know any other way to put it.
Disney does own a small percentage of each resort. Often around 4%. Now, in the following example, my figures (and my understanding might be wrong), are as follows. It seems to me that: At Polynesian, if there are 7 million points and if each of those points sells for $200 (approximate) then $200 X 4% x 7,000,000 = $56,000,000 in value that Disney owns, just at Polynesian. So, of the 7 million points, Disney owns 280,000 of them, and if they rented them out, and if each point is worth $16 per rental, then every year, Disney would get 280,000 X $16 = $4.48 million per year. Doesn't sound like too much, really. Who would begrudge Disney that. But, Disney also gets 'Breakage.' Breakage is when people have not reserved their points and it is now within 60 days of the the reservation day. In other words, if a Studio, 1-Bedroom or 2-Bedroom unit isn't rented out by 60 days before the Check-In date, then, as I understand it, Disney has the right to grab those points, from that unit, and rent the unit out. Let's say there are 10 Polynesian Bungalows, that don't rent out and it is now 60 days before the check in date (actual number is almost certainly lower than this, but there probably are almost always SOME Polynesian Bungalows that don't rent out, at 60 days before check-in. In fact, at the time I am writing this, there are not only Polynesian Bungalows available at 60 days out, but there seem to be a significant number that are available at 30 days out. In fact there are a number of Bungalows available at 23 days out and beyond. If you assume that there is breakage and that Disney gets most of the points for that, and that Disney WILL rent them out, as illustrated by the fact that there currently are no Bungalows available to Reserve, until you get to 23 days out, then you have to assume that Disney is consistently making a good amount of 'Extra' money from breakage.) At 125 points per night, per Bungalow (approximate average) then that gives Disney 125 X 10 = 1250 points and at $16 a point, Disney earns $20,000. $20,000 x 365 days per year would be $7.3 million dollars. And of that, from ALL the breakage, per year, Disney must return A MAXIMUM of 2.5% back to the DVC owner's association. So, 0.025 (2.5%) X $7.3 million means that Disney will be returning a MAXIMUM of $182,000 to us, and will be keeping $7,117,500 for themselves. What a Deal, for THEM. So, why am I talking about Polynesian Bungalows? Because it is another example of a time that Disney did something for their own benefit, so they could SKIM the points off DVC owners. AND, it illustrates how much Disney makes off points.
Now, let's look at the '2-Bedroom Lock-Off Premium' which is what Disney gets if a 2-Bedroom Lockoff is split into a single studio and a single 1-Bedroom.
Here is the number of Standard 2-Bedrooms and Lock-Offs at each resort (except Poly, since I already talked about that as a separate case).
Resort: Dedicated 2BR - Lockoff 2 BR
Old Key West 274 - 230
Boardwalk Villas 0 - 149
Boulder Ridge Villas at Wilderness Lodge 44 - 45
Beach Club Villas 78 - 74
Saratoga Springs 360 - 432
Animal Kingdom Villas – Jambo House 0 - 82
Animal Kingdom Villas – Kidani Village 140 - 168
Bay Lake Tower 148 - 133
Villas at Grand Floridian 47 - 47
Copper Creek Villas at Wilderness Lodge 56 - 36
In 2020, the Point Cost of a Studio PLUS a 1 Bedroom will be approximately 10 more points per night (about 5 points each for the Studio and 1-Bedroom), than the cost of a 2-Bedroom or a 2-Bedroom Lock-Off. THIS IS THE LOCK-OFF PREMIUM. Now, let's assume that when people reserve 2-Bedroom units, that ALL of the regular 2-bedroom units are reserved. The people that use them will get them at a 10 point per night discount, because of the Lock-Off premium. (This is no skin off Disney's nose, since it just balances the rise that they already made in the point cost of the Studios and 1-bedrooms.) But, of the 2-Bedroom Lock-Offs, let's assume that DVC members reserve half of the Lock-Offs as 2-Bedrooms and half as a separate Studio and a separate 1-bedroom. If they do that, then in each case, they will create a 10 point windfall, per unit per night, for Disney. So, how much would this be? At 1/2 of them splitting, that would be about 115 lock-offs at OKW. 75 at BWV. 23 at Boulder Ridge. 38 at Breach Club. 216 at SSR. 42 at Jambo and 84 at Kidani. 66 at BLT. 24 at Grand Floridian and 18 at Copper Creek. If you add this up, then 115 + 75 + 23 + 38 + 216 + 42 +84 +66 +24 +18 = 700 units per night that 'split.' And this creates 7000 points for Disney, which, if they are worth $16 a point is $112,000 per night and X 365 = $40,880,000 more, per year, for Disney, that comes DIRECTLY from the ownership and points of the DVC members. Not a bad chunk of change. And this is ALL from the 'Lock-Off Premium' which they have created and have now increased.
And, yeah, sure, they are supposed to pay a MAXIMUM of 2.5% back to the DVC Owners, which would be $1,022,000, BUT, we won't even get that, because, I BELIEVE THE AMOUNT THAT DISNEY MUST RETURN TO US IS CAPPED. And I believe the cap is somewhere around $150,000 per resort, per year. (I don't really remember the real figure), so, in actuality, we would be getting NONE of it back.
Now, don't you think Disney did this as a VERY self-serving move? I agree that my figures are suppositions and estimates. ONLY DISNEY knows for sure. But I really feel that they are probably in the general Ballpark. Disney will be earning $40,000,000 for EXTRA POINTS that is sucks out of the pockets of the DVC owners. For shame!
I’m just missing the part how Disney really benefits from these lock-off premium stuff. Perhaps they benefit for people needing to top up on contracts
But they have already done it and you haven't said anything
Can our rights expire in the middle of the validity of our contract? I don't think so.
Disney probably still has trouble renting all bungalows so expensive!
The premium resorts to my knowledge are all gone 60 days out - so maybe breakage they only capture is Ssr, okw, and akv (a little) [excluding hhi, aul, and vb as they are all more seasonal.
Good analysis and glad I learned about breakage. Some points I’d make
1. $16pp is probably too conservative - Disney rents at their rack rate
2. Disney probably still has trouble renting all bungalows so expensive!
3. The premium resorts to my knowledge are all gone 60days out - so maybe breakage they only capture is Ssr, okw, and akv (a little) [excluding hhi, aul, and vb as they are all more seasonal]
Perhaps Disney makes more bc more Ssr and okw rooms available do to this breakage. My guess is more breakage rooms exist more bc people bank points bc they couldn’t get room they wanted at 7 months rather than slippage of points: but to your point only Disney knows!
Is the purpose/goal of point reallocation to balance demand at a resort or across the entire system? ......
Reallocation is to balance demand at a resort. I have not looked at the non-WDW resorts except HH, but the 2020 point charts for HH are the same as 2019. Among the WDW resorts, OKW seems to have had a minimal change compared to some of the other resorts.
There is no suggestion in the POS that reallocation would attempt to balance the entire DVC collection.
Resort: Dedicated 2BR - Lockoff 2 BR
Boardwalk Villas 0 - 149
Reallocation is to balance demand at a resort. I have not looked at the non-WDW resorts except HH, but the 2020 point charts for HH are the same as 2019. Among the WDW resorts, OKW seems to have had a minimal change compared to some of the other resorts.
There is no suggestion in the POS that reallocation would attempt to balance the entire DVC collection.
FYI:Okay, I know that all the following message is going to be rather 'inflammatory' but I don't know any other way to put it.
At Polynesian, if there are 7 million points and if each of those points sells for $200 (approximate) then $200 X 4% x 7,000,000 = $56,000,000 in value that Disney owns, just at Polynesian. So, of the 7 million points, Disney owns 280,000 of them,
And of that, from ALL the breakage, per year, Disney must return A MAXIMUM of 2.5% back to the DVC owner's association. So, 0.025 (2.5%) X $7.3 million means that Disney will be returning a MAXIMUM of $182,000 to us, and will be keeping $7,117,500 for themselves.
Okay, I know that all the following message is going to be rather 'inflammatory' but I don't know any other way to put it.
Disney does own a small percentage of each resort. Often around 4%. Now, in the following example, my figures (and my understanding might be wrong), are as follows. It seems to me that: At Polynesian, if there are 7 million points and if each of those points sells for $200 (approximate) then $200 X 4% x 7,000,000 = $56,000,000 in value that Disney owns, just at Polynesian. So, of the 7 million points, Disney owns 280,000 of them, and if they rented them out, and if each point is worth $16 per rental, then every year, Disney would get 280,000 X $16 = $4.48 million per year. Doesn't sound like too much, really. Who would begrudge Disney that. But, Disney also gets 'Breakage.' Breakage is when people have not reserved their points and it is now within 60 days of the the reservation day. In other words, if a Studio, 1-Bedroom or 2-Bedroom unit isn't rented out by 60 days before the Check-In date, then, as I understand it, Disney has the right to grab those points, from that unit, and rent the unit out. Let's say there are 10 Polynesian Bungalows, that don't rent out and it is now 60 days before the check in date (actual number is almost certainly lower than this, but there probably are almost always SOME Polynesian Bungalows that don't rent out, at 60 days before check-in. In fact, at the time I am writing this, there are not only Polynesian Bungalows available at 60 days out, but there seem to be a significant number that are available at 30 days out. In fact there are a number of Bungalows available at 23 days out and beyond. If you assume that there is breakage and that Disney gets most of the points for that, and that Disney WILL rent them out, as illustrated by the fact that there currently are no Bungalows available to Reserve, until you get to 23 days out, then you have to assume that Disney is consistently making a good amount of 'Extra' money from breakage.) At 125 points per night, per Bungalow (approximate average) then that gives Disney 125 X 10 = 1250 points and at $16 a point, Disney earns $20,000. $20,000 x 365 days per year would be $7.3 million dollars. And of that, from ALL the breakage, per year, Disney must return A MAXIMUM of 2.5% back to the DVC owner's association. So, 0.025 (2.5%) X $7.3 million means that Disney will be returning a MAXIMUM of $182,000 to us, and will be keeping $7,117,500 for themselves. What a Deal, for THEM. So, why am I talking about Polynesian Bungalows? Because it is another example of a time that Disney did something for their own benefit, so they could SKIM the points off DVC owners. AND, it illustrates how much Disney makes off points.
Now, let's look at the '2-Bedroom Lock-Off Premium' which is what Disney gets if a 2-Bedroom Lockoff is split into a single studio and a single 1-Bedroom.
Here is the number of Standard 2-Bedrooms and Lock-Offs at each resort (except Poly, since I already talked about that as a separate case).
Resort: Dedicated 2BR - Lockoff 2 BR
Old Key West 274 - 230
Boardwalk Villas 0 - 149
Boulder Ridge Villas at Wilderness Lodge 44 - 45
Beach Club Villas 78 - 74
Saratoga Springs 360 - 432
Animal Kingdom Villas – Jambo House 0 - 82
Animal Kingdom Villas – Kidani Village 140 - 168
Bay Lake Tower 148 - 133
Villas at Grand Floridian 47 - 47
Copper Creek Villas at Wilderness Lodge 56 - 36
In 2020, the Point Cost of a Studio PLUS a 1 Bedroom will be approximately 10 more points per night (about 5 points each for the Studio and 1-Bedroom), than the cost of a 2-Bedroom or a 2-Bedroom Lock-Off. THIS IS THE LOCK-OFF PREMIUM. Now, let's assume that when people reserve 2-Bedroom units, that ALL of the regular 2-bedroom units are reserved. The people that use them will get them at a 10 point per night discount, because of the Lock-Off premium. (This is no skin off Disney's nose, since it just balances the rise that they already made in the point cost of the Studios and 1-bedrooms.) But, of the 2-Bedroom Lock-Offs, let's assume that DVC members reserve half of the Lock-Offs as 2-Bedrooms and half as a separate Studio and a separate 1-bedroom. If they do that, then in each case, they will create a 10 point windfall, per unit per night, for Disney. So, how much would this be? At 1/2 of them splitting, that would be about 115 lock-offs at OKW. 75 at BWV. 23 at Boulder Ridge. 38 at Breach Club. 216 at SSR. 42 at Jambo and 84 at Kidani. 66 at BLT. 24 at Grand Floridian and 18 at Copper Creek. If you add this up, then 115 + 75 + 23 + 38 + 216 + 42 +84 +66 +24 +18 = 700 units per night that 'split.' And this creates 7000 points for Disney, which, if they are worth $16 a point is $112,000 per night and X 365 = $40,880,000 more, per year, for Disney, that comes DIRECTLY from the ownership and points of the DVC members. Not a bad chunk of change. And this is ALL from the 'Lock-Off Premium' which they have created and have now increased.
And, yeah, sure, they are supposed to pay a MAXIMUM of 2.5% back to the DVC Owners, which would be $1,022,000, BUT, we won't even get that, because, I BELIEVE THE AMOUNT THAT DISNEY MUST RETURN TO US IS CAPPED. And I believe the cap is somewhere around $150,000 per resort, per year. (I don't really remember the real figure), so, in actuality, we would be getting NONE of it back.
Now, don't you think Disney did this as a VERY self-serving move? I agree that my figures are suppositions and estimates. ONLY DISNEY knows for sure. But I really feel that they are probably in the general Ballpark. Disney will be earning $40,000,000 for EXTRA POINTS that is sucks out of the pockets of the DVC owners. For shame!