IMO the whether to buy DVC is a much larger issue than the home resort or number of points.
This might be the most important thing written in this thread. And, it requires some very sober consideration about what is likely for you and your family longer term.
If there were anything that I would emphasize is that life throws changes at you. What works fine now, may not be what works for you later.
Exactly so. When we started with timeshares, the kids and I both had the same week off every Feb/Mar for my "spring" and their winter break. I assumed we'd just keep going to Orlando that time each year in a 2BR unit at least until both kids graduated from high school, about 12 years later.
Just a few years after that, the school system changed their winter break from the week overlapping U. Michigan's spring break to President's Week. I can't be gone that week, and we did not want to pull the kids during my week off, so that completely changed our winter vacation habits. A few more years into the future, and the kids' extra-curricular schedules made travel even harder. When they were both in high school, we had only about three full weeks, year round, when all four of us could get away without having to miss something important: Christmas Week (a tough sell with all the extended family activities at that time), and the two weeks ending with the week of July 4th. And after having done it once, I do not plan to spend late June/early July in Orlando ever again unless something unusual comes up.
We've still made plenty of trips to Orlando, but they are much different than I first imagined them. Sometimes we split up, and we've been at several different times during the year. Also, tastes change. We found we really enjoy the Universal parks, and focus on those to the exclusion of Disney once every several years or so. My son and wife would rather be on the beach than in an amusement park. My wife would also rather cruise. My daughter and I still think of WDW as our happy place. But, less than half of all of our vacations have been "Disney" vacations, and even some of those would be poor uses of DVC points compared to alternatives (
Disneyland Paris,
DCL cruises, and arguably Oahu).
This Fall, my daughter moves across town to start her Freshman year as a Michigan undergrad, and the two of us will once again spend our "spring" breaks together at WDW, bringing us full circle back to something close to my original plan. And, in two short years, my wife and I will be empty-nesters, again completely changing our vacation habits!
We bought our first timeshare ten years ago, and now own three. We never did buy DVC points---we decided that buying into another system would give us a broader set of vacation options, and that we could tolerate the risk of trying to exchange into DVC units once in a while, but stay offsite if necessary. That worked well for us, and we had some great vacations, both in DVC units and elsewhere, over the years. But if you need a 2BR or were particular about resort choice I would not try the same thing today.