October 20th 2007 Western Magic Part 8

[My3sonscruisn]

Don't think that I'm an expert by any means. I just look at a few different sites and watch the WC and NBC Weather Plus for analysis.

This stuff changes every few hours. This afternoon the lady on the WC didn't speak of the circulation in the southern Caribbean, but did mention that the longer those troughs/fronts stay out there, the better chance they have of spinning off something.

The next 3-4 days will be telling to see what happens. The circulation in the south should move to shore. The line hopefully will start to move and the lows will stop forming by the Yucatan. If that line stays there and the lows keep forming, I could not tell you what will happen. We'll probably have one rain day for sure but hopefully no storms to deal with.

Keep watching it and we can discuss as thing pop up. You may see things I completely miss. Together, hopefully we'll have an idea of what to expect.

According to the WC, most storms for the 11th-20th of October start in the Western Caribbean. Don't like hearing that.

Here is most recent weather.com update:http://www.weather.com/newscenter/tropical/index.html?from=hurricane_welcome

The area is already clearing a bit, not as many storms spread all over the place, however, the storms that are still there are larger and a bit more organized.

Stay tuned.

 

[ST Cruisers]

and wipe away your tears after your loss.

I just checked the Magic's Medical Clinic site and good thing for you, that they rent out walkers and wheelchairs.

P.S. Dad's bringing the Geritol and Icey Hot for Team GOM.

 

[JLDSMD]

O.K., I went back and listened to the babe doing the tropical update last hour, here is what she said:

These leftover fronts, that is what is there, that produce rain showers, have the possibility of spinning off low pressure systems. She also said they will be watching that area closely over the next several days.

Since that system is right over where we're going, I don't think we're out of the woods until it moves. And it has NOT moved at all in the past 1 1/2 weeks.

Add to that, that most storms this time of year form in the Western Caribbean, a storm between now and when we get there, 9-10 days from now, I would say is possible. Not that there will be one, but it wouldn't surprise me if one formed later this week.

I'm hoping I'm completely wrong and we have sunny skies the whole time. It's just that darn trough that is sitting in the northern Caribbean that concerns me.

 

[ST Cruisers]

but seriously tony. cant wait to meet you guys. we feel like we already know you. any kids of nancy and chucks have got to be great!!

Thanks Mike. Us kids had great teachers with my mom and dad. Looking forward to meeting you and all the other KK's that my mom won't stop talking about.

See you Saturday. You'll recognize me with my red hair and humongous personalities.

 

[JLDSMD]

Here is most recent weather.com update:http://www.weather.com/newscenter/tropical/index.html?from=hurricane_welcome

The area is already clearing a bit, not as many storms spread all over the place, however, the storms that are still there are larger and a bit more organized.

Stay tuned.

Exactly. You don't need the rain over the whole trough to get a storm, just a couple areas of concentrated storms.

In that update it stated:

Should thunderstorms form over this low and maintain themselves for a while it could develop into a tropical depression. The system's proximity to land and the extreme dry air to its northwest are the main limiting factors at this point.​

It was talking about the lows near the Yucatan. If a low with storms forms a little further out, it will not have the land working against it and instead have the warm sea working with it.

The forecaster on at 3:50 CST today said they are closely watching that line for any lows to spin off it.

Also, if the shear from the east dies, the one in the South could get some formation.

We won't know anything until later this week.

It is geting very interesting though.

 

[minnieandmickey]

O.K., I went back and listened to the babe doing the tropical update last hour, here is what she said:

These leftover fronts, that is what is there, that produce rain showers, have the possibility of spinning off low pressure systems. She also said they will be watching that area closely over the next several days.

Since that system is right over where we're going, I don't think we're out of the woods until it moves. And it has NOT moved at all in the past 1 1/2 weeks.

Add to that, that most storms this time of year form in the Western Caribbean, a storm between now and when we get there, 9-10 days from now, I would say is possible. Not that there will be one, but it wouldn't surprise me if one formed later this week.

I'm hoping I'm completely wrong and we have sunny skies the whole time. It's just that darn trough that is sitting in the northern Caribbean that concerns me.

So I should pack a couple of umbrellas, or do I have to worry about lightening as well?
Thanks for keeping us up to date.

 

[minnieandmickey]

A weather FO

 

[JLDSMD]

Hey, I was back looking for something and came across this post. Guess my prediction was off a little.

Hey, we just went over 6,000 posts.

We did 1,000 in the past 15 days. If you figure roughly 180 days until we sail, at that rate, we should be at 18,000 before we sail. But with the nicer weather coming, I'm guessing we'll slow down a little, unless we take the laptops out to the patio/deck.

 

[My3sonscruisn]

Hi All:

On the laptop now in our spare room which has now become packing central. Making good progress, although it looks like a disaster at the moment. 2 ways are charging, luggage is all out and the clothes are piling up.

Question: Our boys are 4, 7, 9- do they have Pajama parties at the kids club. should we pack nice PJs for this sort of thing?

4 days of work- one out of town and then we are gone!!!!!

 

[.:)Tinker_Belle(:.]

Hi All:

On the laptop now in our spare room which has now become packing central. Making good progress, although it looks like a disaster at the moment. 2 ways are charging, luggage is all out and the clothes are piling up.

Question: Our boys are 4, 7, 9- do they have Pajama parties at the kids club. should we pack nice PJs for this sort of thing?

4 days of work- one out of town and then we are gone!!!!!

im ocean quest they have a movie/pj party

with popcorn and drinks stuff like that

i think your 9 year old would be old enough for that

and then when i was younger like our first cruise they had a pj party with goffy and you made pillow cases

i dont know if they still do that that was about 6 years ago

 

[JLDSMD]

Hi All:

On the laptop now in our spare room which has now become packing central. Making good progress, although it looks like a disaster at the moment. 2 ways are charging, luggage is all out and the clothes are piling up.

Question: Our boys are 4, 7, 9- do they have Pajama parties at the kids club. should we pack nice PJs for this sort of thing?

4 days of work- one out of town and then we are gone!!!!!

They usually have a Goofy PJ party in the club as well (ages 3-7). Not sure if they have more than one night or not.

Best to check the most recent navigators on CastawayClub's website. I'd put the link in here, but it gets "*" out.

 

[JLDSMD]

So I should pack a couple of umbrellas, or do I have to worry about lightening as well?
Thanks for keeping us up to date.

At this point, no need to worry about lightning. From what I've heard, these are just rain producing systems. Nothing was said about thunderstorms, but the look of some of the satellites with IR, they may be strong.

The seas are remaing relatively calm, up to 4 foot waves, so the nearby storms must not be too powerful.

If you don't like getting wet, I'd pack a compact umbrella. Better to have it and not use it than not bring it and need it.

 

[cntkg1]

We were thinking about 2 ways also for this cruise. Any advice? I don't know anything about them!

Nilch, Nada, Nothing.

 

[My3sonscruisn]

im ocean quest they have a movie/pj party

with popcorn and drinks stuff like that

i think your 9 year old would be old enough for that

and then when i was younger like our first cruise they had a pj party with goffy and you made pillow cases

i dont know if they still do that that was about 6 years ago

Hi Rachel:

Do all the kids wear PJs to these parties?

 

[.:)Tinker_Belle(:.]

Hi Rachel:

Do all the kids wear PJs to these parties?

well last year i just wore my pj pants and a tshirt which i usually wear to bed anyways and thats basicly what everyone else had on

 

[JLDSMD]

We were thinking about 2 ways also for this cruise. Any advice? I don't know anything about them!

Nilch, Nada, Nothing.

We had some that were crappy, but we picked up some new ones at the Cabela's store in August. They were on sale and have an 8 mile range (but that is in an open area). They worked well when we went to state fair as well as in WDW last month.

We paid about $40 on sale for them.

 

[.:)Tinker_Belle(:.]

We had some that were crappy, but we picked up some new ones at the Cabela's store in August. They were on sale and have an 8 mile range (but that is in an open area). They worked well when we went to state fair as well as in WDW last month.

We paid about $40 on sale for them.

i noticed target had some with a 4 mile range for like $18

 

[AverysMommy]

Hey everyone - I am trying to get packed and I cant decide how much warm clothes to bring?

Will we need sweaters or jackets at night??

Thanks
Jessalynn


4 more sleeps 3 more work days

 

[JLDSMD]

Hey everyone - I am trying to get packed and I cant decide how much warm clothes to bring?

Will we need sweaters or jackets at night??

Thanks
Jessalynn


4 more sleeps 3 more work days

I was just checking the forecast for this Friday to see what to expect out at port and if we'd be able to use the pool at the Ron Jon.

Forecast: 89 with a 40% chance of rain.

I will put some forecasts up around Wednesday. They only go 10 days, so I can't get a temp for next week until then.

If it is of any info, the water temp is around the low 80's where we're going. That will effect the temps a lot. Warm water should be warm air.

 

[AverysMommy]

I was just checking the forecast for this Friday to see what to expect out at port and if we'd be able to use the pool at the Ron Jon.

Forecast: 89 with a 40% chance of rain.

I will put some forecasts up around Wednesday. They only go 10 days, so I can't get a temp for next week until then.

If it is of any info, the water temp is around the low 80's where we're going. That will effect the temps a lot. Warm water should be warm air.

thanks for the update.....i would also assume that most of the nights on the ship will be indoors with the millions of activities to do