I’d venture that if we don’t hear by April, it’s not happening.
union contracts will take time to negotiate, Casting and training, plus preruns.
if it was as simple as waiting till August and then throwing something together, we wouldn’t be speculating on this thread.
my understanding is the CMs start in the early summer learning everything for the holiday parties. Will they have a contract negotiated (and will it involve equity union members?) will disney provide the Modified space in June for practice? Will they come up with out of the box solutions (maybe distance practice that first 6 weeks before coming together? Or a quarantine period?)
so they could totally nix parades, and have only a few distanced meet and greets, plus a castle show (maybe one or two performers?) and then lots of exclusive merch plus ride overlays if they didn’t negotiate early with the unions for the parties.