Is the economy really that bad?

One of my friends is married to a guy that used to work as a mortgage broker. He didn't have any special training or education to be one, and usually the first thing out of his mouth after telling you he was a mortgage broker is that he really doesn't like math. Anyway, DH and I were engaged at the time and looking to sell my condo and buy a single family home. He of course offered to help me find a loan. I told him thanks for the offer but we'd set up financing already. He asked if it was okay if he asked what kind of loan we got, rate, etc., just out of profesional curiosity. I didn't mind talking about it and let him know we got a 30 year fixed for 5.75% (this was in 2005, just for reference). He said that was great, but if I was interested, he could help with 0% down, 80/20 interest only loan with a teaser rate lower than what we had with a fixed rate, so we could buy a lot more house that we had budgeted for, we'd even be able to "afford" to move back to my home town, where the housing prices had skyrocketed (awsome school district and all around good area) instead of living where we do now, where houses are cheaper (not so good school district and other problems). I didn't say anything other than "thanks but we're happy with what we have", because he's my friends husband, but I thought to myself that he had absolutly no idea what he was talking about. And it turns out he didn't!

The thing is, he's a good guy. He wasn't a preditory broker, knowing he was putting people into bad loans that they wouldn't be able to pay once the ARM expired and the higher rates caused the payment to double, or that by putting 0 down we'd be open to owing more than the house is worth should the market tank, or any of the other 100 reasons that the loan he was talking about was financial suicide. He didn't know any of these things, because he didn't have training or eduacation, he was just going along with what his company told him. He honestly thought he was giving good financial advice and helping people.

My point to all this is, that the people pushing these loans, in a lot of cases, didn't know how bad they were either. They were giving lending advice based on their own in-company training. I'll bet you dollars to donuts that many of these brokers were getting these toxic loans too. And now a lot of them are laid off and losing their homes due to overbuying and having bad loans, just like their former clients.

If the people pushing the loans had no idea, how would one expect the general public to? I only knew to stay away from those loans because I'm a geek and finacially conserviative, I don't spend a dime until I've researched something to death and I'm adverse to risk. But most people DO trust the banks and the brokers, because they think the banks won't loan them money if they have no realistic way of paying it back. And honestly, why would one think otherwise? Why would a bank lend money unless they had a decent expectation they'd get their money repaid? What most people didn't know, what even I didn't know even with all my research, was that the big banks were bundleing the high risk loans with the low risk ones to spread out the the risk, and selling them as investments on the stock market. The banks and investors didn't CARE if a certain percentage went into foreclosure because, theoretically, the risk was spread out and the overall investment would make money. With the risk to the bank (who sold the loan) and the invester almost zero (on paper anyway), they could care less if a family making $50k a year bought a $350,000 house. Not their problem.

Yes, there IS an aspect of personal responsiblity. Absolutely, people should do more independant research before making such a large and life altering financial decision. But when the banks and brokers are giving bad information, when the brokers are just as clueless as the buyers, when the banks are taking almost no risk in lending to people with iffy finances, when people are bombarded with advertising "XYZ Bank, the name you can TRUST!", the deck is stacked against the consumers. And that's just not fair.

As for my friend and her husband. He got laid off, of course, and has had trouble finding new work. Last I heard he had a job for one of the big mortgage companies in their loss mitagation department, trying to help people who are behind in their mortgages work out deals with the bank so they can stay in their homes if possible, or get a short sale if not. Rather ironic, all things considered. He's making a fraction of what he did before, and they cannot afford to move out of their condo. Fortunatly my friend has a great job with the state (totally recesion proof, it's literally impossible for her to lose her job) so even with his reduced income, they're okay. And they are expecing their first child in November.

ETA: As for should the government bail people out? In cases of clear-cut preditory lending, absolutly. In case of flippers and investers buying multiple properties and losing their shirts, absolutly not. It's the average buyer that got in over their head that I'm honestly not sure. On one hand, I did my job and researched, why should someone who didn't get a bail out? On the other hand, I look around at the six or seven foreclosed and empty houses in my neighborhood and wonder if they'll become a crime risk in the future, and if they'll have an impact on MY home value. I look at the bailouts of Bear Sterns and Freddie/Fannie and think if we bail out these morons, why can't we help the little guy? So in short, I don't know what the right thing to do here is. I really don't.
 
We've spent the last 15 years or so going from one bubble to another. I lived in Silicon Valley during the Dot Com Boom when you could literally put "dot com" on the end of any business name and find investors willing to throw money at you. Then the last few years, banks have been extending loans to people that couldn't possibly afford to repay them. Neither of these situations provided sustainable, long-term economic growth.

The only intelliegent post on this thread is the above.
 
They are who bankruptcy is meant for:thumbsup2

Not for people who live above their means, rack up credit cards on vacations, dining out, expensive clothing and bags, etc. :sad2:

We see it on here all of the time. It is disgusting. People have no shame about it either. There was a woman a few months ago planning to file BK and was charging Disney Dollars before she did so:headache: And she bragged about it:scared: There was a woman who had her daughter's braces taken off because she couldn't pay for them and a few weeks later she was planning a trip to WDW:eek: There are people here who file BK and then celebrate by taking a trip because "Life is too short":confused:

I am not talking about people who get sick. I agree, we are all one illness away from devastaion:angel:


I've been lurking on this one, but thought I'd jump in.

Bankruptcy isn't just "meant" for people who have medical bills. Bankruptcy is meant to help people of all financial hardships....whether it be a medical condition that got them there or their own stupidity.

So, yes, someone can "charge Disney dollars" and file for bankruptcy.....(in fact, I'm pretty sure her bankruptcy got discharged with no problems)

I'm sorry that you disagree with people who file for bankruptcy, but they're not doing anything illegal.
 
DOW dropped 500 points today.

Yup, the economy is chugging along nice and smoothly.

:thumbsup2
 

DOW dropped 500 points today.

Yup, the economy is chugging along nice and smoothly.

:thumbsup2
--------------------------------

Stop annoying people with minor details... :rotfl:
 
DOW dropped 500 points today.

Yup, the economy is chugging along nice and smoothly.

:thumbsup2

:guilty: Very sad day indeed.

I wonder if people realise that it is quite possible, (maybe not probable) that tommorrow they can go to their ATM...and nothing is there. Their bank is closed. For those who have under 100k in any one Institution you are safe, but when will your $ be avaiable is something to wonder.

Also quite possible that everyones 401k's...are $1 balance in the next week, and we have no controll over this.

:sad1:
 
So many people on here are saying "My situation is bad, my husband lost his job, etc." The truth is, government doesn't — and can't — act in the interest of individuals. It can only act in the interest of policies that promote growth, jobs, and income. Our is a free-market economy. You must evaluate an economic plan as to its effectiveness for industry as a whole, not Mike and Carol Brady living in some Midwestern state. The "check in the mail" economic plans are band-aids, if they don't also include wide-ranging economic reform in the interest of businesses operating in the U.S. Government doesn't create jobs. Government doesn't produce income. Government is a parasite, to put it mildly, wholly dependent on a thriving business environment. Will this candidate or that candidate's plans encourage business growth? Investment? Creativity and development? A pro-business tax environment? A reasonable regulatory environment that encourages business growth and investment? Does your candidate believe with all his heart and soul that a thriving national business environment is the cornerstone of the American economy?

These are the questions people should be asking. If you are supporting one candidate over another because he promises to make YOU more prosperous, but he isn't also discussing making business more prosperous, then he is lying to you. If he's promising to make you more prosperous, while punishing businesses for being profitable, then he's lying to you AND he thinks you're an idiot.
 
I've been lurking on this one, but thought I'd jump in.

Bankruptcy isn't just "meant" for people who have medical bills. Bankruptcy is meant to help people of all financial hardships....whether it be a medical condition that got them there or their own stupidity.

So, yes, someone can "charge Disney dollars" and file for bankruptcy.....(in fact, I'm pretty sure her bankruptcy got discharged with no problems)


And what a piggish thing to do:sad2: Know you are going to file and, in the meantime, run up your credit cards for fun:mad:
 
:guilty: Very sad day indeed.

I wonder if people realise that it is quite possible, (maybe not probable) that tommorrow they can go to their ATM...and nothing is there. Their bank is closed. For those who have under 100k in any one Institution you are safe, but when will your $ be avaiable is something to wonder.
:sad1:

But this is a misconception. To date the banks that have "failed" have simply opened the next day under either Federal supervision or in many cases they were taken over by a rival bank with no interuption to the customer. There are also ways to structure your deposit accounts (if you have over $100k in one bank) to maximize the FDIC insurance. For example by adding a beneficiary to your checking account (in case you were to die) you can add an additional $100k to the $100k you already have as an individual.

The media has been doing their best to scare people into believing they will lose their life savings overnight. That's simply not the case if consumers are careful with how they set up their deposit accounts.
 
And what a piggish thing to do:sad2: Know you are going to file and, in the meantime, run up your credit cards for fun:mad:

Hasn't it ever occured to you that if someone actually DID such a thing as what you're describing that the COURTS would catch on and dismiss her case completely? I'm a member of a bk board and, in fact, quite the opposite happened in her case. She sailed right through it with no problems.

Had the poster you're referring to actually CHARGED up her credit cards, knowing she intended to file, the courts would've dismissed her case based on fraud...and that didn't happen.

Quit throwing accusations around. You don't know what someone "intends" to do.
 
Hasn't it ever occured to you that if someone actually DID such a thing as what you're describing that the COURTS would catch on and dismiss her case completely? I'm a member of a bk board and, in fact, quite the opposite happened in her case. She sailed right through it with no problems.

Had the poster you're referring to actually CHARGED up her credit cards, knowing she intended to file, the courts would've dismissed her case based on fraud...and that didn't happen.

Quit throwing accusations around. You don't know what someone "intends" to do.


Um, when you have no money month after month and then you plan a lavish vacation on credit and state "I'll just charge the Disney Dollars" and then they claim BK weeks afterwards...I am pretty sure of their intentions:rotfl:

And I will accuse and I will judge. We will pay for their idiotic ways:sad2:
 
:guilty: I wonder if people realise that it is quite possible, (maybe not probable) that tommorrow they can go to their ATM...and nothing is there. Their bank is closed. For those who have under 100k in any one Institution you are safe, but when will your $ be avaiable is something to wonder.
DO you ever know how the FDIC works?

You will have your money available the very next business day?
 
it is not just one persons fault.....it is not just the DEMS and not just the REP...it is all in congress that dont take ownership in what is wrong....Washington does not just mean Pres. Bush....and much as I cant stand Bush...it is not all his fault.


And what about the responsibility of the individual.....buying homes they cant afford :confused3

500 points...well there goes my investments again....the last time we lost almost $150,000 this time well I have not looked yet. I will start looking tomorrow however to see how much it has dropped. After last time we decided to not invest so much just in case and instead keep our moneys in savings bonds/GOV bonds. And the rest in the banks...banks as in plural.
 
DO you ever know how the FDIC works?

You will have your money available the very next business day?

Interesting tidbit I read today:

The FDIC has about $50 billion dollars but has to protect over a trillion in assets. Clearly, if there was a total collapse the government doesn't have remotely the money to ensure that every accountholder gets their money.
 
Interesting tidbit I read today:

The FDIC has about $50 billion dollars but has to protect over a trillion in assets. Clearly, if there was a total collapse the government doesn't have remotely the money to ensure that every accountholder gets their money.

Well gosh lets just all go pull all of our money out of the bank and stuff it in a mattress :confused3 Actually the reason why the Fed's had to take over IndyMac was because of a run on the Bank by the depositors. With everyone trying to take their money out there was not enough capital to cover it. So as long as everyone doesn't panic and go pull out all of their deposits there should be plenty in the FDIC to cover the few banks that will fail.

Here are some specifics on IndyMac
The FDIC closed IndyMac on July 11 following a run on its deposits.

IndyMac is not completely closed; rather it opened the next business day as IndyMac Federal Bank and is being run by the FDIC. Current reports indicate that the FDIC will soon look for a buyer, which is in line with how the FDIC has historically handled similar bank failures.

IndyMac was a large home mortgage lender, and kept the mortgages it originated in its own portfolio. Therefore, the downturn in residential real estate markets and increasing mortgage delinquencies has a direct negative effect on IndyMac’s portfolio, asset quality and earnings.

Indy Mac was routinely lending 125% loan-to-value on home loans, anticipating that home values would go up in order to bring the value of the collateral up to the loan amount. Now that home values are declining, many of IndyMac’s customers owe more on their mortgages than what their homes are worth, resulting in significant foreclosures.

Roughly ½ of IndyMac’s loan portfolio consists of mortgages that were underwritten based on stated income without verification. This simply means that IndyMac relied on the collateral value more than the customer’s ability to repay in case the loan deteriorated.

These lending issues in IndyMac’s mortgage portfolio are what led to significant problems for IndyMac, and when rumor of these problems became well known, customers ran to withdraw their deposits, ultimately causing a liquidity crisis for that bank.
 
FDIC is a House of Cards and a wind storms coming. Diversify where you keep your money.
 
Well one thing that came out of this that is good is no one will be able to buy a house that they cant afford or if they have bad credit....those days are gone.

And that is how it should have been in the first place and than this could have been avoided. I was glad to here the GOV was done doing bail outs to the banks.

they had to see this coming....:headache:
 
This is how it is pretty much,

Investors start panicking and just selling off everything and it all tumbles.

"Oh noes, the market is going down! Lets pull our money out, sell sell sell, and make all the monies go down even moreso!"

w00t!

No worries though, someone assured us that.."The Fundamentals of our economy are strong". :|
 
Um, when you have no money month after month and then you plan a lavish vacation on credit and state "I'll just charge the Disney Dollars" and then they claim BK weeks afterwards...I am pretty sure of their intentions:rotfl:

And I will accuse and I will judge. We will pay for their idiotic ways:sad2:

How do you know that she didn't have "money" month to month?

I know who you're talking about and not once did she ever post "I'm charging Disney dollars, but I *plan* on not paying for them and filing bankruptcy when I get home". I'm pretty sure she posted about a pay-cut before they filed. How could one "plan" on a paycut? :confused3

Like I said before, her and I are part of the same bankruptcy board. Her bankruptcy and discharge went as smooth as anyone's could go. I think she even kept a well-known luxury SUV in her bankruptcy. ;)

You go right ahead and accuse and judge. Hopefully, you will never know what it's like to be in a position where you're destitute and bankrupt. Hopefully, your life will always "go as planned" and you'll never make mistakes.
 








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