I posted this in another thread, but I think it would be an interesting talking point here and more on topic.
This is my big, pie in the sky, prediction for openings:
Phase 1. Disney Springs will open mid-late May
Phase 2. Disney Hotels will open mid-late June with parks open with limited hours, and open to resort (and good neighbor) hotels only. AP dates will continue to extend throughout this period. There will be social distancing & check point measures such as temperature checks, mask wearing requirements, and virtual queues for high demand rides. There will be no ride with a 10 min or longer standby queue.
Phase 3. Parks expand hours, and then open to people with multi-day tickets & AP. Social distancing perimeters still in place. Probably late July, early August. This is when the APs will stop extending. Disney will definitely have some APs that will get extra time (because they will come during Phase 2), but I believe they will eat those costs.
Phase 4. August & onward, open for full capacity, but still with social distancing perimeters.
Phase 5. Once new cases of COVID are at 0 for multiple weeks, they will remove social distancing perimeters.
This give Disney time to test their virtual queues, get some revenue coming through the parks & resorts, and also mediate the amount of gathering sizes.