Cases rising or dropping by you?

yuma rise made the national ABC news last night.....though I suspect the reporter was here to cover Tuesday's news event, today that it is,..On my daily drive by the hosptial, they had huge trailers outside the large paved driveway that in hindsight they paved all around the building....my radiation nurse is having fatigue issues...not sure if she is pulling doubling duty as , from my perspective, her responsibly in the Cancer center is to monitor rather than administer a health program....i.e taking my vitals as opposed to giving me an IV.....so I would imagine the hospital is asking her to put in hours at the Hosptial beyound her cancer center hours.
 


You can follow their charts or look at the one on hospitalizations from the Florida Agency for Healthcare Administration. Their chart shows there are only 5 counties in Florida that have adequate ICU beds available.

https://bi.ahca.myflorida.com/t/ABI...link&:isGuestRedirectFromVizportal=y&:embed=y
 
We saw huge jumps in cases in my and surrounding counties. Highest single day jump for each of them.
We did in mine as well. However testing jumped as well (up to almost 2,000 tests yesterday). So we still remain at around a 2% positive rate. But the numbers are definitely a little alarming.
 
The first 4-5 charts they post are all of death counts. Isn't it well known that the death counts lag (by 2-3 weeks?) behind the positive case and hospitalization count? Didn't Florida's rise (I won't call it a spike) just start in the last week or so? So we're still at least a week if not more from seeing if death counts rise?

Here's the hospitalization chart they mention:
503603

Sure looks like an increase from early June until now.
 
We did in mine as well. However testing jumped as well (up to almost 2,000 tests yesterday). So we still remain at around a 2% positive rate. But the numbers are definitely a little alarming.
The thing with testing is why were they testing. Mine saw a jump in testing but they were testing BECAUSE of close contact with someone who tested positive. It wasn’t just a jump due to surveillance testing. Our surveillance testing is pretty consistent at this point. So jumps in testing are coupled with people who are symptomatic and those who have had contact with a positive person. Our health officer has said they have to test 1000 people to find 1 positive in surveillance testing. Or at least that was the cause a couple weeks ago.
 
The thing with testing is why were they testing. Mine saw a jump in testing but they were testing BECAUSE of close contact with someone who tested positive. It wasn’t just a jump due to surveillance testing. Our surveillance testing is pretty consistent at this point. So jumps in testing are coupled with people who are symptomatic and those who have had contact with a positive person. Our health officer has said they have to test 1000 people to find 1 positive in surveillance testing. Or at least that was the cause a couple weeks ago.
Wish I knew! I will say that I've been following the breakdown pretty closely and community transmission hasn't increased a lot, but close contact is where it's been rising. And that follows the reports of "clusters" we've been told. We did have one new death yesterday (or Sunday) that came from a long term care facility, so I would imagine that a lot of the testing, and perhaps the new cases, have come from that. We get an excellent break down of numbers/percents/etc, but very little in where they've come.

I think I've mentioned that about 77% of our positive cases were in the Hispanic/Latino community, despite only making up 23% of our county population. It wasn't until about 2 weeks later that we found out they were target testing there. It's hard to know now if that continues to be the case (target testing) or if the Hispanic/Latino community continues to be disproportionately affected naturally.
 
Here's a good tracking site to watch what is happening with Covid. I've linked Florida's data but all of the states are available. This data is driven by information put out by the various state agencies that are reporting statistics.

https://covidtracking.com/data/state/florida
It's easy to see that testing hasn't changed much, but positives have increased and so have hospitalizations.
 
The first 4-5 charts they post are all of death counts. Isn't it well known that the death counts lag (by 2-3 weeks?) behind the positive case and hospitalization count? Didn't Florida's rise (I won't call it a spike) just start in the last week or so? So we're still at least a week if not more from seeing if death counts rise?

Here's the hospitalization chart they mention:
View attachment 503603

Sure looks like an increase from early June until now.
That might not happen, due to the fact that the average age of those they are now finding positive are younger. IOW, there's a good chance they'll survive.
 













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