We bought direct 2x Riviera and would definitely (and are mulling over) adding more Riviera resale points.
We have tried every room category except Tower studios and the 3-bedroom grand villa and love them all. It's a point-heavy chart (but I think the wave of the future, too,) and we enjoy it so much, now we want to go 2x a year; once at "low" season (early December or September) and once at peak-ish season (February vacation/Thanksgiving.). We have our direct Riviera points to sleep around elsewhere, which we're doing a night at Beach Club and hope to get into Copper Creek next December for a couple nights, and/or try Boulder Ridge after their renovations.
I don't see a problem with resale points. You can always rent them out for a year and do a cash stay somewhere else if you were really desperate to move around, but I am assuming anyone buying resale wants Riviera points to stay at Riviera. Everyone screaming the sky is falling because of the resale restrictions -- the resale contracts are going for $140-$150, which I think is totally a great value to buy or sell, if need be.
We've taken several trips on our points bought in 2019 and spent, as of now, over $25,000 if we were to pay cash for the Riviera trips, so that more than paid for our first 100 points direct and is eating into our next 200 points of trips.
To me, I look at the value in terms of recouping the trips cash cost (even with typical 25% discount frequently offered) once I have gone enough for the points to have paid for themselves in trips, I view it as basically "free" after that. If I had to sell in another few years, I'm sure the resale prices would be up to $170ish very soon, and we paid $188 and then $174pp. So, in the grand scheme of things, we'd have over five years of twice-yearly trips in stunning, convenient locations, and could sell for pretty close to what we paid in. Our intention is to keep the points and pass them to the kids, but yeah, stuff happens. If you can hold the points a decade, I think you'll easily break even on resale, and after that probably make some money if you so desired to sell.
Don't forget, we're at 20 years for the 2042 contacts. The BW incentives that were just posted, to me, are a canary in the coal mine. Test a good sale to offload/resell more points there, maybe seeing BW prices softening? There's a LOT of resorts coming offline in 2042. That's a crap of points and rooms lost, and
DVC would be stupid to isolate Riviera as the only property with resale restrictions. Either they abandon the strategy or get cracking building DLT and Reflections 2.0 with restrictions to move the ball forward. Once people accept that this is the new reality going forward, I think it's an easier pill to swallow.
We love the compact (covered!) footprint, great dining, SKYLINER, (anticipated
scooter needed and would rather do the Skyliner for scooters than a bus any day,) and HS and EP are our favorite parks, so we want to be closer to there anyway.
I also am of the belief that the Skyliner will be expanded upon sometime in the next 48 years to Disney Springs, possibly Typhoon Lagoon and OKW/SS, and maybe out to Coronado and Animal Kingdom as an outlier. They did a major renovation to OKW/SS lobbies and just did a nice refurbishment there. Are they thinking of putting a Skyliner hub there? Who knows? It would make sense to create Skyliner access over there and connect to Disney Springs and the (hopeful) Brightliner station. That would move the needle on selling OKW/SS direct at a much higher price, and sell more OKW-X contracts, giving more options to repackage points and sell them direct.
Grand Destino Tower is gorgeous and screams to be turned into a DVC wing, but it only has bus access, right now. What if you built the Skyliner over there with a new high end Spanish DVC wing? Coronado seems to have a lot of nice dining options that are under utilized with decreased conventions post Covid; get a DVC over there and you could have another Topolinos Spanish style.
Point being, yes, this is speculation on my part, but we're in it for the long haul. I think Covid has opened people's eyes to wanting their own space for germs, privacy, cooking, and Disney inflation is crazy on the rooms!
Once people stay at Riviera, they seem to be converted. Not all, and that's fine. I don't care for BLT, and my husband is totally anti AK. No biggie. We don't need to own there for theme park views or concierge level rooms. For those that try it and like it, especially if they want standard views or Tower studios for F&W, they'll need to own there. Why not get a resale contract there?