"But Jollymon has been saying 1) There's no compelling reason to stay at SSR and 2) Because of THAT, more SSR owners trade out than at other resorts. And thus, it's all SSR's fault that he couldn't book at BCV at the 1 month mark....."
Pilferk, you are almost correct in your summary, I would change it to read as follows: "1) There is a large contingent of owners who find no compelling reason to stay at SSR and ...".
But do you have proof that the contingent is larger than, say, OKW owners who do the same thing? Or larger than the contingent of VWL? %-wise, of course....
I cannot, in any way offer any scientific or numerical proof to my beliefs; they are based solely on my observations, conversations with others, and (as I have stated often) based on my current station in life (in terms of likes, dislikes, etc.).
Which, as has been pointed out and debated over and over, in similar threads, simply isn't a compelling basis. Anecdotal evidence is simply that...and without any sort of qualifying statistical data......simply doesn't provide solid ground to a hypothesis...especially this one. Your observations, conversations with others, and current situation in life are all skewed by one very important thing: You. Your perceptions, interpretations, existing opinions, and expereinces all lead that anecdotal data to be...well....junk. Just like any data collected here on the DIS is perverted by being a homogonized sample set. You're making an assumption here, and it's not one that has ever had any compelling evidence presented to support it. You want discussion...that's why you're getting the responses you are.
I think that you will agree that the premise is not without merit and can be construed as a rational conclusion; build an 800 room resort without a compelling reason to stay there, and you will have people flocking to resorts that do offer compelling reasons.
Sure, but just because it's a rational construct in a theoretical sense doesn't mean it's applicable in this situation.
Again, you're playing what if and constructing a straw man......so you can get out the stick and beat it. What if monkey's flew? Disney would be INVADED by flying monkeys and we'd all have to leave Orlando! HELP! QUICK!! We have to kill all the monkeys.
So in essence, we are debating whether or not SSR has compelling enough reasons to stay there, attracting not only its owners but the owners from the other resorts as well.
In this debate, my main point is that if the compelling reasons existed, then SSR would be constantly sold out, which is clearly not the case.
No, you're asserting there isn't. You're not really debating anything. Debate would, to me, imply providing evidence to support your position....
As for your assumption about SSR always being full if it had "compelling reasons": Not true. Look at the breakdown I provided earlier. It's mathematical proof that the above assumption is false. Assuming an exactly like % of trade out across all resorts...SSR still has availability after satisfying 100% of demand from other resorts. That's simply the nature of being larger than the rest....more (numerically) people out and fewer (numerically) people in. It shows there is adequate evidence SSR would have availability (to handle the rest of the "overflow" from other resorts and SSR itself) regardless of "compelling reasons". That's rather the point.
If you want to discuss that adding a LARGE resort was, perhaps, ill advised (I still disagree, but only based on speculation), go for it. At least there's some data to support SSR adding to the overburdening of the small resorts.
But you're not. You're saying SSR is a flawed resort because of it's nature/make up/design/implementation/services/etc. And that because of that, lots and lots and lots of members simply bought to get into the system so they could stay elsewhere. There's NOTHING to support that other than your conjecture based on anecdotal data. I just don't think many people are going to find that compelling.....I certainly don't. Reads more like rabble rousing of the type dumbo71 used to engage in before being banned.