To do this, we're going to make some assumptions that aren't founded on anything other the making some accross the board generalizations to work the equations and make "all things equal". I'm going to assume a 20% trade out rate for all of the 5 "on property" DVC resorts (I'm going to take out VB and HHI because they seem like something of anomalies in regards to trade out and trade in). I'm going to assume equal demand at all 5 resorts (so, in other words, an even distribution of the "trade outs" amongst the 4 possible options). I'm going to assume "full" booking for a given day (meaning all points are used that are available). I KNOW CRO holds back some rooms for booking, but if we ignore it at each resort, it becomes a non-factor. The numbers presented are, obviously, not remotely "fact" but just some comparison "figuring". Here's what I get:
AFTER SSR
SSR has 828 units.
OKW has 709 units
BWV has 383 units
BCV has 205 units
VWL has 136 units
I'm going to round UP on anything >= .5.
SSR * .20 = 166 units
OKW * .20 = 142 units
BWV * .20 = 77 units
BCV * .20 = 41 units
VWL * .20 = 27 units
So, there are more vacancies at SSR, even though the % is equal. Now, lets distribute those trade outs assuming equal demand amongst the trade out population.
SSR owners are going to book 42 units at OKW, BWV, BCV, and VWL.
OKW owners are going to book 36 units at SSR, BWV, BCV, and VWL.
BWV owners are going to book 19 units at SSR, OKW, BCV, and VWL.
BCV owners are going to book 10 units at SSR, OKW, BWV, and VWL.
VWL owners are going to book 7 units at SSR, OWK, BWV, and BCV.
SSR units desired to be booked = 36 + 19 + 10 + 7 = 72 units
OKW units desired to be booked = 42 + 19 +10 + 7 = 78 units
BWV units desired to be booked = 42 + 36 + 10 + 7 = 95 units
BCV units desired to be booked = 42 + 36 + 19 + 7 = 104 units
VWL units desired to be booked = 42 + 36 + 19 + 10 = 107 units
Which means be break down to this:
Resort_________Available__________Demand
SSR_____________166_____________72
OKW____________142______________78
BWV_____________77______________95
BCV_____________41______________104
VWL____________ 27______________107
BEFORE SSR:
OKW has 709 units
BWV has 383 units
BCV has 205 units
VWL has 136 units
I'm going to round UP on anything >= .5.
OKW * .20 = 142 units
BWV * .20 = 77 units
BCV * .20 = 41 units
VWL * .20 = 27 units
So, there are more vacancies at SSR, even though the % is equal. Now, lets distribute those trade outs assuming equal demand amongst the trade out population.
OKW owners are going to book 47 units at SSR, BWV, BCV, and VWL.
BWV owners are going to book 26 units at SSR, OKW, BCV, and VWL.
BCV owners are going to book 14 units at SSR, OKW, BWV, and VWL.
VWL owners are going to book 9 units at SSR, OWK, BWV, and BCV.
OKW units desired to be booked = 26 + 14 + 9 = 49 units
BWV units desired to be booked = 47 + 14 + 9 = 70 units
BCV units desired to be booked = 47 + 26 + 9 = 82 units
VWL units desired to be booked = 47 + 26 + 14 = 87 units
Which means be break down to this:
Resort_________Available__________Demand
OKW____________142______________49
BWV_____________77______________70
BCV_____________41______________82
VWL____________ 27______________87