VGF1 resale now or wait for VGF2?

[Paul Stupin]

Generalizing a bit, there are two camps on this thread. Those who think VGF2 will open at $255pp or higher, and those who think VGF2 will open $210-$235pp.

Either way, buying at $175pp is significantly less.

So the question is, what are you really sacrificing by buying resale?

Do you already have a Blue Card?

Do you plan to use these points to book at RIV or other future DVC resorts?

Yes, agreed, $175 is indeed significantly less! But even at $225 a point, the savings is $10,000. Again, not bad, but a far cry from Aulani last spring. I do already have the blue card, but I’m also a fan of the Riviera, and wouldn’t mind having more points to stay there, as well as the new Disney Tower in Anaheim (we live in LA.) when it opens. Of course it has to get built first!

I have quite a few resale points, and I’m thinking it would be nice to balance things out with more direct points to “future proof” what I’ve got. And what if the new direct price with incentives is less than $225? They’re raising the minimum purchase price anyway, so Disney might very well price the points lower for the illusion of a better deal. And I’m thinking that anything less than $225 will not make the $175 resale price look quite as strong.

I originally offered $170 pp, thinking if the offer was accepted it was a price I couldn’t refuse. I don’t think it was greeted with a ton of enthusiasm since I haven’t heard back, but I do think there’s a pretty good chance at $175. But I’m leaning toward not moving forward.

 

[Nabas]

I originally offered $170 pp, thinking if the offer was accepted it was a price I couldn’t refuse. I don’t think it was greeted with a ton of enthusiasm since I haven’t heard back, but I do think there’s a pretty good chance at $175. But I’m leaning toward not moving forward.

FYI, I recently made a few offers, had them turned down, only to have the buyer's agent contact me later when the DVC membership did not sell.

The larger the contract, the harder it is to sell. The 200-point contract is a bit large for many buyers.

Maybe wait it out?

I've found that something better eventually come along.

 

[Paul Stupin]

FYI, I recently made a few offers, had them turned down, only to have the buyer's agent contact me later when the DVC membership did not sell.

The larger the contract, the harder it is to sell. The 200-point contract is a bit large for many buyers.

Maybe wait it out?

I've found that something better eventually come along.

I agree. I’ll wait it out. If they come back to me at $170, I’ll do it. They came down to $180 from a much higher price, which was appreciated, but still too high. Though I’m sure it’s annoying that I’m not negotiating, I don’t think I’d blow the deal for 2K, if I were them. If it winds up being a no go, I’ll just go direct. Sellers are pricing their VGF resales as if the resort is sold out, which it won’t be as soon as direct sales start. I also don’t think the high priced contracts are selling for anywhere near their asking prices, but new sellers don’t know that, which gives them unrealistically heightened expectations.

 

[pirate33]

Boy Is this a confusing situation. I have one VGF contract I bought resale during the COVID dip last year at a very good price but now have decided I want to change the use year and buy more VGF points. Accordingly, I would like to buy two new contracts and sell my existing one. But the resale prices now are just insane. I think I will wait it out and perhaps it might make sense to buy direct for the first time ever. Although I am not as knowledgeable as many here, given that RIV is priced at $195 one would think VGF will be about the same. That would make buying resale now a mistake.

If I were a real gambler, I’d sell my existing VGF contract now and go all in! (And I’d have to cancel some choice ressies so not happening right now anyway.)

 

[Paul Stupin]

Boy Is this a confusing situation. I have one VGF contract I bought resale during the COVID dip last year at a very good price but now have decided I want to change the use year and buy more VGF points. Accordingly, I would like to buy two new contracts and sell my existing one. But the resale prices now are just insane. I think I will wait it out and perhaps it might make sense to buy direct for the first time ever. Although I am not as knowledgeable as many here, given that RIV is priced at $195 one would think VGF will be about the same. That would make buying resale now a mistake.

If I were a real gambler, I’d sell my exiting VGF contract now and go all in! (And I’d have to cancel some choice ressies so not happening right now anyway.)

I think by the time VGF2 goes on sale, the RIV price will be higher, my guess around $225. But I do think VGF2 will be priced around the same, with incentives for both that will get the price lower.

I agree that buying resale now is a mistake. A 200 point contract came up recently for which I offered $170 per point. I didn’t get it…that was as high as I was willing to go. It sold for $175. Though even that price might appear to be a bargain considering current prices, I’m glad I didn’t get it. I’d rather wait and buy direct.