There's no international feed so I'm anxiously awaiting for someone to put it up on
YouTube and following blogs in the meantime. Simone, Aly and Laurie are locks and I hope all of them get a shot at the AA in QF.
I would add Madison Kocian as a lock too. Yes, she is going as a bars specialist but she has shown lately that she can also hold her own as an AA gymnast, so is a great built in alternate.
You can't swap out athletes after podium training and the US doesn't like to do it anyway (it's a pretty traumatic experience for the athlete) so unfortunately Ashton just isn't an option as she can't be a backup for other events, despite her bars score being the biggest contribution from the possible fifth athletes.
I think prior to P&Gs Gabby was a definite contender, but she has not proved her reliability in all 4 events, nor an extremely high ability in 1 event. She would only be used on bars in the TF, but her scores there really aren't high enough to justify her being taken just for that. Plus, if she does bars in QF then either Aly or Laurie doesn't get a shot at the AA. A lot of people think she will be taken for her marketability, but I think with Simone (the greatest gymnast of all time), Aly (with her chance at redemption after being short changed by the tiebreaker in London) and Laurie (the new kid with the spunky personality) that is plenty for the media to work with.
I'm actually rooting for MyKayla Skinner. I know some people don't like her personality, but I like that she's unashamed to admit how badly she wants it and seems willing to work hard for it (she was actually eligible for the 2012 games and has kept working the entire quad). Based on averages for the last 3 days of competition, having her on the team gives the second highest possible score (just behind having Ashton), but allows for more cushioning in case of injuries. Plus, unlike Gabby, MyKayla stands a shot at an EF medal for vault.
Basically, I'm hoping that the team will be Biles, Raisman, Hernandez, Kocian and Skinner. Not long until we know!