So whether the DVD system has a positive bottom line should not affect you anyways. Only thing that affects all of us directly is if they keep the resort we purchased open. What do I care if Disney sells more resorts if I am not guaranteed to be able to visit them anyways. I would be perfectly happy if they shut down DVD and just kept open the management company and we paid our dues (no matter how high, because they can do that to) and we have our 7 resorts at WDW. I don't care about HH or VB or Aulani or the California DVC. Doesn't affect me, wouldn't care to visit there, so I hope they get rid of them and such. But of course this is just my opinion. Most members wouldn't be happy without the "club" part of DVC. And quite honestly that is what most of us, (possibly not OKW owners) were marketed. I was NEVER told that I only have the rights to stay at BLT. Never. And I resent that once they have a boom in building and a downturn in the economy AND the Disboards spread the word that there is a resale market, that they start changing things to cut off the resale market. It just feels like a switch and bait and unfortunately this along with the other recent changes has caused me to recommend to others to not purchase DVC. Because we all have one thing in common. None of us knows what product will be left in the years that come.
Problem is you aren't thinking big picture. If Disney Vacation Development isn't selling new points, they have no incentive to support the current program. The first thing to happen is member perks would disappear. Why bother giving $100 Annual Pass discounts to people who are already committed to visiting the parks? Dining discounts, spa discounts, free Internet...it would all go away.
And if the program doesn't have any future growth potential, I'm sure Disney would look at getting out of the timeshare management business. The next logical step would be to sell DVC to the highest bidder. DVC the management company, that is. There wouldn't be any property changing hands but owners could suddenly find themselves part of Wyndham or Bluegreen--competing with hundreds-of-thousands of other owners for the limited Disney availability at 7 months.
DVC points would become Wyndham points or some other. (Former) DVC owners would find themselves subject to VIP programs, housekeeping credits, reservation credits, trading fees and all of the other supposedly distasteful aspects of other timeshares. Other developers would have zero interest in ROFR. Resale values would fall completely off the map. Why bother buying Bay Lake Tower Wyndham points when you can get access to the WDW resorts by paying $100 for Wyndham Branson, MO on eBay.
Whether we realize it or not, we all WANT DVD to do well. New destinations, larger guest rooms, extra bathrooms, expanded occupancy levels, more attractive locations, new resort pools, new resort restaurants...all of those moves are primarily designed to sell more points. But fortunately even the class of '91 can benefit from those additions.
If the program suffers, ultimately we all suffer. And it's not too hard to envision scenarios like the above where resale values are much, much lower.
As for DVC expansion, destinations like Aulani, BLT and the Grand Californian may not appeal to YOU but they certainly help the system as a whole. Resale prices are all about supply and demand. The demand side of that equation can can only increase when they add new destinations. Building in locations like Hawaii, Washington DC or Lake Tahoe generates new interest in the program. People who once dismissed DVC due to the lack of at monorail resort or non-Disney destinations will suddenly see DVC as a better match. Ultimately that can only HELP resale prices.
I'm not thrilled with the decision but I have yet to come across an alternative which doesn't carry its own set of consequences.
DVC all but ceased ROFR activity in the last 1-2 years. That move had a MUCH more damaging impact on resale prices than this ever will. I find it increasingly ironic that we have 40+ pages of discussion on this policy change yet nobody batted the proverbial eye over the end to ROFR.