Once more unto the breach, dear friends.
So much for the small contract pass theory
Get back out there and bid again they can’t take them all 
I remain convinced that at least some of the decision is based on the Unit the points belong to. While DVC can change UY's to match direct purchase/add-on requests, they cannot change the Unit the points belong to, and can't combine points from more than one unit to create a larger contract (25 points from Unit ABC, added to 25 from Unit DEF to create a 50-point direct contract for example).
I’m awaiting response on a $124/pt OKW sent 4/21. Starting to get very impatient!
This is a very interesting theory. Not to add more work for Pangyal, but wondering if there's a way to track this? If we figure out that not only is DVD taking a certain resort, but also a certain unit within that resort, then perhaps it would make us more informed on which contracts to bid on with less risk of ROFR.
This idea certainly has merit and would explain why two very similar contracts can have two very different outcomes at relatively the same time. Good point, thanks for sharing.
The people that contribute to this thread is such a small subset of the overall ROFR submissions that it wouldn’t be useful to track that data, or at the very least be very difficult to extrapolate any kind of potential ROFR decision since we also don’t know what units Disney has/needs. Plus there’s the extra work required to get that info that you mention (although I personally immediately look for the seller’s contract on the comptrollers website once I get the initial paperwork). I once walked away from an agreed offer after I found the sellers contract upon receiving the initial paperwork. The seller was essentially flipping a contract (they bought it a couple months prior and didn’t use any of the points and were selling it for a $40/pt profit!). I couldn’t stomach buying the contract anymore knowing that they were making that much of a profit, it no longer felt like a deal to me.
I’m with you on this one. I think it’s part of what makes the numbers look skewed to us.
I'm assuming it could be done as a private sale assuming that one would pay whatever fees are associated with submitting it for ROFR?
Yeah the issue is that If it passes, the sister has to buy it!
What happens if a buyer chooses not to close after passing ROFR? They lose the deposit money? Just curious...
It depends on what the contracts of sale say. Most brokers draft them so that the deposit would be forfeited.
The buyer has 10 days after signing the contract to cancel without penalty. Since ROFR is passed, I would assume it's been more than 10 days, therefore the deposit would be forfeit.
Correct, you'd only be able to tell the unit after you determine the current owner's name and search the deed on the comptroller's website (WDW resorts only). Plus, if they are just picking up specific units here and there as demand dictates, I don't think there'd be any discernible trend.
since the transaction is with a “sister”, I think you can just cancel the contract and say the buyer just forfeited the deposit without actually receiving any payment?
