I think you are spot on with your point above- in fact seems almost everyone says the same things, joe six pack, economists, pols from all parties, etc. Small business job growth is what is/will drive the economy going forward.
So when as i read more and more of my fellow small business owners getting the apparent shaft in this thread, i have to wonder how much damage this giant law with it's mess of related unfocused regulations is going to do to the economy.
I say wonder in that i hope once the smoke clears in a few weeks that the truth is all will be well for this group (who knows, when i asked my broker at renewal a few months ago he sounded optimistic that in fact my deductibles and out of pockets would actually go lower on my old plan...) . But in the vaccum of information today (all we know is our existing plans have been destroyed by the law) it doesn't look good.
i'm fearful for the small businesses in my area, their owners and staff.
beyond the direct implications of the health insurance issues, it's the trickle down effect that I foresee huge implications from. we live in an area with allot of small businesses, and both the locals and college students seem to make an effort to utilize them over the big box or nationalized chain competitors, even if the cost is a bit higher. what I foresee though, is that allot of the locals are like our household-ineligible for tax credits because of employer sponsored insurance. in the bulk of these households premium rates are skyrocketing (if they haven't already gotten layoff notices which are becoming more frequent this month

I don't know too many people in our area that are living large-they get by, save what they can for retirement, build that emergency fund, and help their kids with college if they can. if faced with several hundreds more a month in insurance costs (my personal experience) they will have to cut back where they can. it could be that instead of using the local guy to provide your propane, you opt for the big chain company that offers a few cents off per gallon, instead of going to the local beautician for the kiddos-it's supercuts, instead of the local pharmacy it's mail order b/c your monthly prescription share of cost has quadrupled. if the college student's parents aren't helping out with as much $$$ then those kiddos won't be stopping in at the little local diner-it's the chain sandwich shop or fast food (or brown bagging it).
people who swore they would never abandon their local businesses to shop at big box stores are now finding they have no other option when it comes to the dollars and cents of it.
yes, I know-there will be some who can spend more by virtue of what they will save under this program, but I suspect the larger number will be those who will not and it's that impact I am fearful of for my friends who own their own businesses.