I also think a third gate will eventually happen probably decades from now but it will eventually happen if they really want a world destination in anaheim.
Do they market
Disneyland outside of the US? I'm fairly positive they do WDW but I'm not so sure Disneyland is marketed.
The third gate in Anaheim is interesting to even think about because...where do they put it? The rumors I've heard is it would be away from the other two parks, but if you do that, now you've thrown away the advantage of the compact size that DLR has over WDW - but you still wouldn't have the immersiveness of WDW.
Do they market Disneyland outside of the US? I'm fairly positive they do WDW but I'm not so sure Disneyland is marketed.
As others have said - WDW is a 5-6 hour flight from Europe, but DLR is a 10 hour flight. And the other side of the globe - Japan / China / Asia - have there own Disney Parks with a 3rd one on the way..Basically - I don't think Disneyland has as much of an international market as WDW. But - I am really, really not sure they covet it that much.
Here's the argument why I totally disagree that they are trying to HALVE the number of annual passholder. Yes, they would like to reduce it, but not HALVE it:
In 2014, Disneyland Resort had about 25.6 million day guests.
So - while there are no official numbers - most of what's out there says that there are one million passholders at DLR.
Now - here's the tricky part of my proposition - what would most people think is the "average" number of visits per year for an annual passholder. Certainly there are some that barely use it, and others that go a hundred days a year. What I would say is that a minimum number is at least 10 - would many people renew passes if there were only going a couple days a year? 10 as a minimum would likely make the average somewhere between 15 and 20. Does anyone disagree that that's a reasonable average?
So - if we agree with that - of the 25 million visitors per year - that means 15 to 20 million are AP holders, or somewhere between 60% and 80% of all visitors.
And then if you say they want to reduce the AP holders by 50%, that means they are looking to reduce the number of people in the park by 7.5 to 10 million visitors. I'm afraid I simply don't buy that they are looking to do that. Unless you argue that they want to replace those AP attendees with out of town guests. But to do this - they would need to increase outside visitors by 75 - 200 % over current levels. No-one would consider that possible, even over a 20 year period.
So - i continue to say I think the folks that talk about this massive reduction in AP holders are wrong - and just repeating rumors. DLR/TDA are willing to take less AP holders certainly, and if they can increase prices to make up for the losses that's perfect. But what they really want to do as much as anything is distribute the crowds. The idea is to force more passholders to the less busy times of year. These less busy times of year and the more tourist times of year. (Summer / Christmas / Easter) This makes the experience of the out-of-towners better because the parks aren't as crowded, and you can get some increase from those people, but still if you increase that 10% over the next 5 years that's huge.
The risk Disney is making is if they DO manage to drive away the locals, and then can't increase the out-of-towners to make up for it. Which is why I don't think they want it to go THAT quickly. Actual attendance drops would be near-disastrous for the business, unless they were able to also significantly increase individual guest inpark spending. (A difficult feat.)