I have never seen a poll for this question, but with the "old" system how many days past January 26 were people able to book a reservation starting on December 25? Not counting the cancelations that do occur, but just by calling DVC some date after the 26th of January were people able to book for Christmas day. I don't think it's too far past that date, so to me the date is very very popular.
I don't think that Christmas week is as popular as you suggest. New Year's Eve is VERY popular, but not that entire week since the points are so high.
But that's splitting hairs because there certainly are periods with excessively high demand. In my mind, the question is really one of how wide that gulf is
right at 11 months.
Will BWV Standard View for December be available at 7 months? No way.
Will BWV Standard View for December be available exactly at 11 months? Absolutely--at least with day-by-day bookings.
Will BWV Standard View for December be available at 10 1/2 months? That's where we start to get into the gray area.
The perception seems to be that certain room classes are booking up right at 11 months and this staggered reservation system will mean that some of those classes will already be completely unavailable at 11 months. That's where I'm unwilling to drink the kool aid.
The other category that this affects even more are the GV's and AK Conceirge rooms, which already demand an 11 month booking during most of the year, and typically don't take a full 7 day vacation, they do, but most I've read only do AK Conceirge for a much smaller number of days.
The GVs are certainly in demand, but the vast majority of the year they aren't being booked solid 11 months to the day.
AK Concierge is difficult to discuss simply because it was so ill-conceived from the start. Even under the old day-by-day system there was a very, very high chance that someone calling at 9:10am wouldn't be be locked-out of the size room they had already booked for 2-3 nights. No booking system is going to "fix" AKV conceirge.
Do you really think bumping up the points required to book high demad will actually reduce the demand for those times. I think all that would do is sell more points for Disney as people really do want to travel during those times. Yes, for me higher points for those times, would give me more value for my points, as I typically go during the off times.
Supply and demand says it would help.
The entire reason for the point system is to balance demand. If the comments here are accurate, resorts are nearly full for early December 11 months out to the day. Why in the world do those dates remain classified as the lowest point cost of the year?!?!
At the other end of the spectrum you've got the month of May where you pretty much have your choice of resorts at 7 months. Rooms cost about 30% more points in May than early December.