Merged Irma impact on The Fort threads here

[tltay2005]

Two early for any definite paths and predictions, but those planning a trip during this time frame, please keep an eye out for updates on Irma. Myfoxhurricane.com and the NOAA web sites have very accurate information. This is the 11am update from today, 9/4/17.

 

[tiggerdad]

I'm just not buying that sudden turn north on Fox showing Irma suddenly going right up middle of Florida. I saw that and something about it just says "let's show worse case scenario". In other words, I hope they are bad off as a direct path up the panhandle would be horrible.

I usually stick with your second mentioned option which is NOAA and their forecast discussion. Latest maps are pulling path now just north of Cuba.

Either way, this thing rolls into the Gulf and it's bad news for lots of people.

Originally they said it would curl out into the Atlantic and just over last few days have big time changed to a more Westward course, so like you said, lot of time for a lot to change.

Latest map as of now

Will be interesting to keep posting these updates to track it.

 

[Teamubr]

This could make for an entertaining drive down on 9/15.

It's fascinating that all the models seem to be lining up on a similar path. It should make for some drama over the next 10 days.

j

 

[tripleb]

This is basically all the models 5 days out from today 09/04/2017.

 

[tiggerdad]

Hmmmm, might bit of variance there.

 

[tltay2005]

This is basically all the models 5 days out from today 09/04/2017.

View attachment 267132

I am pulling for the purple one at the bottom

 

[PaHunter]

I am pulling for the purple one at the bottom

I was pulling for the purple one in the upper right.

 

[snowmedic]

^^

 

[Teamubr]

Hmmmm, might bit of variance there.

That's why the Weather Channel keeps saying anything beyond 5 days is a guess.

 

[tiggerdad]

I thought it was an instructional picture for herding cats.

 

[tripleb]

I am pulling for the purple one at the bottom

Well titay2005, the bottom purple one is the straight line track if the storm never deviates from it last course ... ain't gonna happen

 

[morrik5]

Thoughts are with everyone regardless of which path it takes - keep safe everyone!

 

[TheRustyScupper]

1) Remember, if Irma even gets close, ALL camping guests MUST leave The Fort.
. . . it is a forced evacuation
. . . if possible, leave with your camper/RV
. . . if not, WDW will try to put you up in a WDW resort room.
2) I have been through two hurricanes at WDW, and so far, no major impact.
3) But, I would never try to outguess a hurricane.

NOTE: We lived through a direct hit from Hugo in Charlotte, and do not want that experience again.

 

[babynursedawn]

We still plan on leaving Michigan on Sunday, watching the weather on the way. Guess we will play it by ear. Pack some extra food and water. Not sure what to do.

 

[tiggerdad]

As of this morning


We live about 200 miles inland in Mississippi. When hurricane Katrina reached my home of Meridian it was still a category 1. I don't want to see that ever again myself.

 

[tripleb]

The GFS model is one of the more reliable models that the weather prognosticators rely on. Here is a link to the GFS model "storm track" starting this morning and ending September 12. Click on the FWD button to put it in motion.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.cgi?time=2017090506&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=Animation

 

[Bay Max]

Ugh I'm scheduled to fly in to Orlando on Saturday. Not looking good for me.

 

[tripleb]

FAQ on Disney's hurricane policy: https://disneyworld.disney.go.com/faq/hurricane-policy/

 

[tiggerdad]

The GFS model is one of the more reliable models that the weather prognosticators rely on. Here is a link to the GFS model "storm track" starting this morning and ending September 12. Click on the FWD button to put it in motion.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.cgi?time=2017090506&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=Animation

Ugh, right up the East coast of Florida and Georgia before running into the Carolinas. That old girl has reached Category 5 as of now. I'm really hoping it turns more out to the Atlantic and sooner than this projection.

 

[PaHunter]

Ugh, right up the East coast of Florida and Georgia before running into the Carolinas. That old girl has reached Category 5 as of now. I'm really hoping it turns more out to the Atlantic and sooner than this projection.

As a category 5 the size of Pennsylvania, no track she can take is going to be good, unless it went hard right and stayed out to see. Unfortunately the Bermuda high is going to prevent that.