we were there last year around those dates...it was after New Years Day...think we were there the 3rd through the 6th? Anyway, there were similar differences in the easywdw calendar and the TP calendar then, too...same kind of difference with TP being much higher on the crowd level. Turned out that easywdw was much closer on those...smaller crowds than touring plans predicted, for sure.
NOW...that, said...have to say we have been there this year...and the crowd predictions this Fall all all under-predicting the crowds for sure. We were here for one afternoon September visit, then a 3 night /3 day September visit...and here now for a 4 night/4 day visit. Crowds were predicted at 4s turned out to be 5s and 6s. Surprising for a "slow" time of year. We'll see what today turns out to be.
So I guess I'm thinking all bets are off for upcoming months...I think the "masses" are returning to WDW.