Dorian expected to strengthen to Cat 3 Hurricane

hertamaniac

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To all those traveling to or will be in central Florida later this weekend and early next week, you may want to start tracking TS Dorian. She is currently projected to be a Cat 3 hurricane landing near Cape Canaveral Sunday/Monday.
 
these types of threads are just so inflammatory. There is no way of knowing where/when/how strong it might be at this point. Last night it was expected to hit the mountains in Haiti, and now it is going to miss PR to the east, which is out of the predicted cone within 24 hours. Some models have it hitting North Carolina, others South Florida, and the NHC track splits the middle. Who knows. Pay attention and be prepared, but lets leave the hype to the news channels who can't get enough of it.
 
these types of threads are just so inflammatory. There is no way of knowing where/when/how strong it might be at this point. Last night it was expected to hit the mountains in Haiti, and now it is going to miss PR to the east, which is out of the predicted cone within 24 hours. Some models have it hitting North Carolina, others South Florida, and the NHC track splits the middle. Who knows. Pay attention and be prepared, but lets leave the hype to the news channels who can't get enough of it.
Yeah I don’t even live in Florida and know it’s far too early to say how this might impact the theme park area if at all.
 

these types of threads are just so inflammatory. There is no way of knowing where/when/how strong it might be at this point. Last night it was expected to hit the mountains in Haiti, and now it is going to miss PR to the east, which is out of the predicted cone within 24 hours. Some models have it hitting North Carolina, others South Florida, and the NHC track splits the middle. Who knows. Pay attention and be prepared, but lets leave the hype to the news channels who can't get enough of it.

I don't think people should start cancelling vacations but I think people should at the very least start keeping an eye on it just in case.
 
these types of threads are just so inflammatory. There is no way of knowing where/when/how strong it might be at this point. Last night it was expected to hit the mountains in Haiti, and now it is going to miss PR to the east, which is out of the predicted cone within 24 hours. Some models have it hitting North Carolina, others South Florida, and the NHC track splits the middle. Who knows. Pay attention and be prepared, but lets leave the hype to the news channels who can't get enough of it.

I don't think the thread was intended to be inflammatory at all. The OP just wanted to bring the storm to the community's attention and recommended tracking it. Thanks @hertamaniac.
 
We are supposed leave Sat. on the Auto Train to arrive Sunday am. We are monitoring the storm progress and figure we'll be able to make a decision sometime on Friday about what to do. Until then anything can happen, though with my luck it'll be a Cat 3 hurricane that strikes Florida making landfall at Port Canaveral sometime Sunday AM.
 
these types of threads are just so inflammatory. There is no way of knowing where/when/how strong it might be at this point. Last night it was expected to hit the mountains in Haiti, and now it is going to miss PR to the east, which is out of the predicted cone within 24 hours. Some models have it hitting North Carolina, others South Florida, and the NHC track splits the middle. Who knows. Pay attention and be prepared, but lets leave the hype to the news channels who can't get enough of it.
These types of threads are so useful. Airlines might be cancelling flights. Airlines are waiving change fees and or fare differences if passengers want to change their flights.

An example. Southwest has a travel advisory for Orlando from August 31 to September 2. Passengers who have flights booked within those dates can change their flights, without any charge (including fare difference) within 14 days of their original flight. Some guests might want to leave early.

I think this thread might be more useful in the transportation forum.
 
I was at SSR in 2017 when IRMA was on the way. Was lucky to get on one of the last flights out of Orlando--as it turns out may not have been my best decision. I ran into several fellow guests some months later and was told how fantastic Disney treated them. They had so much fun and good times they forgot all about the Hurricane going on around them. Just goes to show you it is always magical at WDW.
 
these types of threads are just so inflammatory. There is no way of knowing where/when/how strong it might be at this point. Last night it was expected to hit the mountains in Haiti, and now it is going to miss PR to the east, which is out of the predicted cone within 24 hours. Some models have it hitting North Carolina, others South Florida, and the NHC track splits the middle. Who knows. Pay attention and be prepared, but lets leave the hype to the news channels who can't get enough of it.
Exactly .. one thing I learned about Florence last year .. you just spend a lot of energy worrying for a week until it is more definitive (like a day or two out) where it will be going.

The weather channels give you the WORST case scenario.
Florence was predicted roaring in at a CAT 4 .. and came in as a CAT 1-2. Still very damaging .. but really it was all the rain AFTER the landfall that was the issue (and the flooding), not the winds itself.

Be prepared .. be very flexible and while it will affect flights and travel plans, no need to panic ... yet.

I will say this .. after having stayed for Florence (it made landfall maybe 4-5 miles from my house) .. if you are near the coast and near landfall .. get out if you have the ability to do so. It's no fun wondering if a tree will break and hit the house (with little kids in the house), worrying if your house will flood (water came about 6 inches from my foundation on all sides) and no fun being in a house with no power for a week, but if you do leave, it may be a week or two before you can even make it back from your house.

I wish we would have vacated to Disney World for Florence - my son was out of school for a month and I didn't have power to work for over a week :)
(Going to WDW not an option for Dorian though it appears).
 
Exactly .. one thing I learned about Florence last year .. you just spend a lot of energy worrying for a week until it is more definitive (like a day or two out) where it will be going.

The weather channels give you the WORST case scenario.
Florence was predicted roaring in at a CAT 4 .. and came in as a CAT 1-2. Still very damaging .. but really it was all the rain AFTER the landfall that was the issue (and the flooding), not the winds itself.

Be prepared .. be very flexible and while it will affect flights and travel plans, no need to panic ... yet.

I will say this .. after having stayed for Florence (it made landfall maybe 4-5 miles from my house) .. if you are near the coast and near landfall .. get out if you have the ability to do so. It's no fun wondering if a tree will break and hit the house (with little kids in the house), worrying if your house will flood (water came about 6 inches from my foundation on all sides) and no fun being in a house with no power for a week, but if you do leave, it may be a week or two before you can even make it back from your house.

I wish we would have vacated to Disney World for Florence - my son was out of school for a month and I didn't have power to work for over a week :)
(Going to WDW not an option for Dorian though it appears).
I guess I'm a weather nerd. I watch them until they are no longer a threat. I especially like to track the spaghetti charts to see if and how the various models converge.
 
I was at SSR in 2017 when IRMA was on the way. Was lucky to get on one of the last flights out of Orlando--as it turns out may not have been my best decision. I ran into several fellow guests some months later and was told how fantastic Disney treated them. They had so much fun and good times they forgot all about the Hurricane going on around them. Just goes to show you it is always magical at WDW.

It was extra special during that time with Irma. I was there and enjoyed the very low low crowds. Yes the parks were closed down for two days but the low low crowds more than made up for it. I was in a one bedroom at the boardwalk so it wasn’t bad at all. I never want to see a hurricane come but if it comes while I’m going to be at wdw im going to enjoy the low low crowds.
 
I guess I'm a weather nerd. I watch them until they are no longer a threat. I especially like to track the spaghetti charts to see if and how the various models converge.
Oh trust me .. it is addicting to watch these things. It feels like all we did for a week and half before Florence was watch the weather channel.
 
I'm trying to stay positive I'm suppose to leave Sunday afternoon to the world. I have readied on Monday as well as tickets to mnsshp. Just have to make the best of it. Need pixie dust!!!
 
These types of threads are so useful. Airlines might be cancelling flights. Airlines are waiving change fees and or fare differences if passengers want to change their flights.

An example. Southwest has a travel advisory for Orlando from August 31 to September 2. Passengers who have flights booked within those dates can change their flights, without any charge (including fare difference) within 14 days of their original flight. Some guests might want to leave early.

I think this thread might be more useful in the transportation forum.
I don't disagree about people looking at getting flight changes and the like, but the prediction of landfall location and strength is what is problematic to me. Many people are going to pick up on these threads over the next few days and many will complain that their airline or the DCL is not giving them any info or allowing changes if the storm is going to hit Orlando / Central Florida. But the airlines and DCL typically wait as long as possible to make any commitments due to the inaccuracy of tracks until closer to landfall. After living in Orlando for 25 years. I have seen the wide variety of news outlets, especially national news or stations away from central Florida predict and sesationalize the storms, and then be dissapointed when they make landfall elsewhere or not at all. The pictures of tracks that they show are misleading as most focus on the center of the track as a straight line, rather than focusing on the wide cone. The way this storm is set up, it won't likely be until Friday night or Saturday morning before it would make a western turn towards Florida (if it does at all), so this speculation just feeds the fires. I'm all for being prepared or adjusting your plans if you want to, but leave the forecasting and speculation to others.
 



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