I'm not sure if I read the same thing as joannjoe but I also read on the DVC boards that someone talked to a housekeeping supervisor about the BCV refurb. They said the BCV refurb will start in January 2016 upon completion of the BC and YC. So to me it seems like they want to get the YC done before they go to the BCV.
The time frame math is not adding up for this. They have not even completed the BC renovations with the first floor still in need of renovations. If you figure that it will take at least a year for a resort the size of the Yacht or Beach Club to be refurbished then the January 2016 date for a renovation start would only make sense if it was either the Yacht Club STARTING OR the Beach Club Villas STARTING, not completing the Yacht Club in addition to having completed the Beach Club, (which still has what remains of the second floor to finish as well as the entire first floor.).
I think a lot of the speculation about renovation times is being driven by people who have a trip to (Fill in the Blank: _______ A)Polynesian, B) Beach Club, C) Beach Club Villas, or D) Yacht Club.) The one thing we know for sure is that these renovations take forever. Case in point: The Beach Club started renovations in October 2014 and is currently only on the second floor after renovating the small 5th floor, the 4th floor and the 3rd floor.
So the moral of my story is that we can project all we want but until we have eyewitness reports that an area or resort has actually been started we won't really be able to know for sure what the start date will be. Anyone who has ever worked with contractors and construction projects knows that dates are arbitrary and delays are inevitable.
For those of you planing trips in the future and are trying to figure out whether or not the construction will be completed, you will need to rely on Ninja Mom's Rules of Disney Construction!
1) If you have a trip planned and are desperate for construction to be completed it will not be finished in time.
2) If you have no idea that construction is even happening at your resort, chances are you won't realize that it is actually happening and will be amazed after your trip is over to find out that the entire Polynesian resort was covered in polyethylene sheeting during the entire length of your stay.
3) The jackhammers and circular saws will only be heard by people that are especially sensitive to noise, meaning those with bionic hearing. People who have more than one child will NOT be able to hear the noise from construction equipment over the roar of their family's sibling rivalries.
4) The chances of you receiving a refurbished room are directly inverse in proportion to the number of rooms that have been refurbished.
5) If the manager of the resort tells you that construction will be: Pick one, A) Started, B) Finished this information will be unreliable but if a BUS DRIVER tells you his cousin heard a bait shop salesman with a cousin that worked at Sea World say that the renovations would be completed yesterday then you can count on that as an indisputable fact.
6) There are no construction problems that 6 Sunken Treasures and a pile of Modern Art towel animals can't solve.
~NM