andyman8
DIS Veteran and WDW Passholder
- Joined
- Mar 17, 2011
I really think my whole point is being missed. Folks on here tend to talk about WDW as simply “open” or “closed,” and what I’m saying is that the more relevant/plausible conversation to be having might be the extent to which WDW fully operates in the coming months. There’s a lot of room between fully open (or even “open” to the extent WDW is now) and fully closed. Disney won’t extend park hours, bring more QSRs and shops online, reopen more resorts and restaurants, and resume more offerings if it isn’t seeing growing demand and revenue. Local APs may bring demand but they’re not bringing revenue.
If a major city rolls back certain reopenings or reverts to a lockdown, does that mean literally every person within a hundred miles of that city is going to cancel their WDW vacation? Of course not. But “average” Guests look for signals that inform their confidence level in travel. The narrative about increasing prevalence of the virus is bound to resonate with more people if they start seeing headlines about cities rolling back restrictions or reverting to a lockdown. Just because it doesn’t deter people like me doesn’t mean it won’t deter some people. This thread or these Boards isn’t representative of the “average” WDW guest. When a hurricane is projected to hit Central Florida, there are folks on this board that will book a trip to WDW because they want to be there during a hurricane.
While the vast majority of “average” Guests aren’t even considering traveling to WDW now, if confidence starts to lower in even a few corners of that already small pool of out of town guests that are showing up, that will absolutely have an effect on the parks. I think about DVC members for example (many of whom are from the NY and Chicago areas). Not all DVC members are super-Disney fans or DISers, and while on here, it’s borderline criminal to admit you’re letting your points just expire, I know a number of couples who’ve done just that since they weren’t really comfortable with a WDW vacation this year. And even if most DVC members still came, them and APs are not enough to sustain four parks (each with hundreds of shops, carts, restaurants, and kiosks), two water parks, DS, and 30 hotels. WDW desperately needs out of town Guests and an erosion of the already-minuscule group they’re currently getting will affect every WDW guest. It’s business model isn’t built to cater just to APs, locals, DVC members, and Disney diehards. There’s just not enough of them.
All in all what I’m saying is that, if you’re planning a visit at some point this winter after the new year, I’d heavily manage my expectations if the current situation continues on this path.
If a major city rolls back certain reopenings or reverts to a lockdown, does that mean literally every person within a hundred miles of that city is going to cancel their WDW vacation? Of course not. But “average” Guests look for signals that inform their confidence level in travel. The narrative about increasing prevalence of the virus is bound to resonate with more people if they start seeing headlines about cities rolling back restrictions or reverting to a lockdown. Just because it doesn’t deter people like me doesn’t mean it won’t deter some people. This thread or these Boards isn’t representative of the “average” WDW guest. When a hurricane is projected to hit Central Florida, there are folks on this board that will book a trip to WDW because they want to be there during a hurricane.
While the vast majority of “average” Guests aren’t even considering traveling to WDW now, if confidence starts to lower in even a few corners of that already small pool of out of town guests that are showing up, that will absolutely have an effect on the parks. I think about DVC members for example (many of whom are from the NY and Chicago areas). Not all DVC members are super-Disney fans or DISers, and while on here, it’s borderline criminal to admit you’re letting your points just expire, I know a number of couples who’ve done just that since they weren’t really comfortable with a WDW vacation this year. And even if most DVC members still came, them and APs are not enough to sustain four parks (each with hundreds of shops, carts, restaurants, and kiosks), two water parks, DS, and 30 hotels. WDW desperately needs out of town Guests and an erosion of the already-minuscule group they’re currently getting will affect every WDW guest. It’s business model isn’t built to cater just to APs, locals, DVC members, and Disney diehards. There’s just not enough of them.
All in all what I’m saying is that, if you’re planning a visit at some point this winter after the new year, I’d heavily manage my expectations if the current situation continues on this path.