Ok, indepth numbers look here, but I had to just figure it out for myself how many people will be there in the opening couple of weeks.
When counting the number of DVC rooms, it's hard to figure because there are 1444 lockoff 2 Bedrooms that any and all can turn into separate Studio and 1 Bedroom. So I went through each category of DVC room and counted what I thought would be the average number of people in each room.
-For studio I said 3, 1 Bedroom 3.5, dedicated 2 Bedroom 5.5, 2 Bedroom lockoff 6.5 (used the sum of studio and 1 bedroom), and Grand Villas 8. Adding all those totals up gives a DVC room population of 19,540 at capacity.
-Then Contemporary has 655, Pop has 2880. I used an average of 3.5 people per room there and it came to another 12,372 guests at capacity.
-FW is listed as 409 rooms so I just said 4 people per room there for 1636 total.
Now my assumptions for average number in rooms could certainly be off some, but I think this gives you the ballpark if everything is open is at 100% capacity. That is total number of resort guests of 33,548.
Now, how big are the parks? Numbers of course always vary, but typically I see max capacity listed as 80,000 for MK, 60,000 for AK and HS each, and 110,000 for Epcot.
We don't know what new capacity will be but 25% has been floated out there online as a possibility.
That would then be 20,000 for MK, 15,000 for AK and HS, and 27,500 for Epcot. Total of 77,500.
So these ballpark numbers would seem to indicate that all resort guests could fit in MK and HS combined. All together, there should be about 40,000 spots for all other APs and non-resort guests (including the Disney Springs Hotels that theoretically can book tomorrow as well). Though if the resorts are at full capacity, the first 4 days without Epcot and HS could be pretty tight, even for resort guests and very difficult for non-resort APs.
