Cases rising or dropping by you?

[RamblingMad]

According to that logic, I guess the coronavirus is all behind us now. Every state is opening up more and more, meaning nothing to worry about anymore?

They want to free up 55+ housing inventory.

 

[Powerline13]

They want to free up 55+ housing inventory.

Sad but true.....hopefully not intentional

 

[godisney14]

I would assume a lot since only 5% of people tested are positive in Florida?

Although there are no broad official stats that follow this specific case (of asymptomatic patients being widely tested) to say one way or another, I don’t believe many asymptomatic people are voluntarily choosing to get tested. On the flip side, this would have to mean that symptomatic patients have tested with a higher percent positive. But, looking at available data, that is not the case.

 

[godisney14]

They want to free up 55+ housing inventory.

Hmmm....
I should reach out to some of my clients to see whether they’ve recently been moved up quicker than usual on the waitlist for some of the popular senior living and assisted living communities.

 

[RamblingMad]

Hmmm....
I should reach out to some of my clients to see whether they’ve recently been moved up quicker than usual on the waitlist for some of the popular senior living and assisted living communities.

AZ and FL have the most new cases reported today.

 

[katie01]

They may test people if they want it but how many people without symptoms want to go through the invasive test up the nasal cavity?

Are they not doing the saliva tests widely? Last I’d heard those tests were just as or even more accurate as the nasal swabs, but perhaps that has changed or maybe those tests are more expensive?

 

[katie01]

The thing I find startling about your numbers is the huge percentage of hospitilazed patients that are in ICU. I wonder why that is? Although the numbers here are far smaller, one would expect things to be somewhat proportional. As of today In our province there are 54 people currently in hospital and only 6 are in intensive care. It’s 11% compared to 44% and I really wonder why that situation is so different.

maybe the demographics? Could be an older population, or other higher risk factors in CA vs your community?

 

[Powerline13]

Are they not doing the saliva tests widely? Last I’d heard those tests were just as or even more accurate as the nasal swabs, but perhaps that has changed or maybe those tests are more expensive?

My wife was recently tested (a week ago) because she had symptoms and is in a high risk job. Negative, thankfully but they did the invasive nasal test still.

 

[Aladora]

We dropped to zero cases yesterday in my area with no new cases in over 3 weeks. Out of a population of 785,500 there were only 130 cases, which is 0.02% of our population.

 

[EveDallas]

To the moon. We’ll see a spike soon from the protests. This should start hitting this weekend and continue through next week.

People said the same thing about Memorial Day. Haven't seem it materialise.

 

[mi*vida*loca]

People said the same thing about Memorial Day. Haven't seem it materialise.

Same with Mother’s Day. They expected a rise but Our admissions never went up at the hospital I work for. They actually went down.

 

[Searc]

Cases in AZ have risen, but testing also dramatically increased since the beginning of May. I am not concerned about it because if it was a serious concern for the state health department, then they wouldn't be re-opening the state.

Total ICU beds available today in AZ = 508
Total ICU beds needed today in AZ = 160
Source: click here

Similar trends in 'hot spot' states like Texas, which the national news has talked a lot about in recent days.

Science doesn't have anything to do with the rush to reopen everything.

 

[RamblingMad]

Science doesn't have anything to do with the rush to reopen everything.

Money. Money. Money.

 

[Searc]

Money. Money. Money.

Yep and Karen wants a haircut.

 

[RamblingMad]

Yep and Karen wants a haircut.

At the low price of 30 thousand dead a month.

 

[DisneyJamieCA]

Cases are rising in my area but hospitalizations are dropping relative to the number of cases. More testing is going to equal more cases. It's the number of hospitalizations/deaths that most people are focusing on.

I wish more people could understand this. More cases isn’t always a bad thing - and to be expected since we were never in a position to eliminate the virus. Looking at hospitalizations and deaths is what matters.

This is official data from the CA website.
Daily new cases have been going up ever since the beginning. A 1,000% increase in daily cases compared to when shelter in place for the state first went into effect. As a result, the governor has allowed for pretty much everything besides large gatherings and gyms to open, leaving it to individual counties to make their own decisions.

View attachment 499220

I know most people can figure it out, but you need to put some context with those numbers. CA is a state with 39.5 million people. That total case load, while high in numbers, is still very small in percentage.

People with no symptoms or mild symptoms are not tested. Asymptomatic/mild symptom people can still spread the virus.

In CA they are. Anybody who wants a test, can get a test.

 

[disneychrista]

Same with Mother’s Day. They expected a rise but Our admissions never went up at the hospital I work for. They actually went down.

My area DID see an increase from Mother’s Day. Might take a few more days to really see if Memorial Day did the same.

 

[DisneyJamieCA]

My area DID see an increase from Mother’s Day. Might take a few more days to really see if Memorial Day did the same.

It's hard to tell here. In my county our cases went from about 4 a day to 15 a day. But our testing went from about 200 a day to 1200 a day. So it's possible cases would have gone up either way, but hard to extrapolate that from the tests also increasing so much. Either way though, from a county of 500,000 people, it's not terrible. And remain steady at 42 total hospitalizations and 4 deaths.

I think the next week or so will be very telling for our area - Memorial Day, graduation parties (which I know were not socially distanced nor had masks) and protests that had upwards of 500 people.

 

[Mackenzie Click-Mickelson]

They may test people if they want it but how many people without symptoms want to go through the invasive test up the nasal cavity?

Valid point but people still do it. I don't have context for the breakdown of the numbers but according to my County's graph on 5/29 they completed 1,329 tests and 15 came back positive. That day they had a drive-thru on a first come first serve for any resident of the county symptoms or no symptoms (first time they've done that--prior to that it was randomly selected from survey participants for general population testing). They ran out of tests about an hour early and the line from the police department's information was quite long (they had to prematurely stop cars from lining up). Although I don't have the context for how many of those tests were administered through the drive-thru even with the 6inch swab people did show up.

 

[RamblingMad]

So it’s takes 5 days to show symptoms and a couple more days to receive your test results. There’s going to be a lag.