Arrgh-cant decide if should buy some US cash before election today

alohamom

DIS Veteran
Joined
Oct 31, 2003
Messages
3,980
I am going back and forth about this, I have heard numerous commentators speculate that the Canadian dollar will sink if Liberals or NDP take power this evening/tomorrow so I am thinking it might be a good idea to buy up some cash today BUT if the Conservatives win the analysts say it will stay where it is or even rise a bit! Are any of you thinking the same thing or even acting on it?
 
Personally, I have noted over the past several elections that economic indicators seem to take a quick uptick just after the elections no matter what party wins. My feeling is that markets don't like uncertainty, and globally an election is seen as uncertainty. Once the country makes its decision (even a minority one) things seem to improve at least for a few days. Of course this year could be the one to prove me wrong!

If you are worried, your best approach is probably to hedge and take a dollar cost averaging approach. If you want to convert C$1,000, do $500 today, and $500 a couple of days out. At least you'll be half right and will get either half the gain or only suffer half the loss. Of course, that assumes that the risk is worth your time standing in line at the bank twice to make the exchanges. I doubt the shift will be so great that two bank visits will be worthwhile.
 
Thanks for being such a clear voice of reason, this is kind of why I was debating it. I rationalized a little later today that I am feeling anxious because the dollar slid so quickly over the last little while and vowed not to worry about it but thanks for you input!
 

I read a report today that with the strong majority its projected to raise a bit more im going to wait a lil bit
 







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