I have gathered from some posts that touringplans is not all that accurate in their predictions for DL crowds. Do you agree/disagree?
I posted in another thread after looking at Touring Plans crowd projections for October. I'd say it was accurate -- for 10 years ago!
Is there somewhere that has better predictions?
Other than anecdotal reports, I find one of the best "predictors" of DL crowds to be DLR itself. If the Park is scheduled to be open, say, from 10:00AM-8:00PM, that means they are expecting lower crowds. At the other end of the spectrum: 8:00AM-Midnight = super busy.
That said, October's schedule is still a bit wonky. First, you have Mickey's Halloween Party scheduled on some nights, so that throws things off. Also, the Park has been known to suddenly extend the hours when the crowds warrant. (It's happened to me twice in October over the past several years.)
It seems like crowd flow is a whole different thing at DL vs WDW.
Overall attendance at DL has been on an upward swing ever since the 50th, and major promotions like HalloweenTime have also had a big effect. Also, you have to realize that
Disneyland is very much a LOCAL park. It is estimated that the number of Annual Passholders is around 1
million. Popping in for half a day or for an evening after work is "the thing to do" for many AP holders.
Is DL always more crowded than DCA?
Yes, but DL is a bigger park with more to do, so it can absorb more people than DCA. Don't be surprised if TSMM in DCA is one of the most crowded rides during your visit.
Do I need to give up my WDW-type crowd planning and just go with the flow?
EXCELLENT IDEA! Go with the flow, enjoy what you can every minute and don't overly stress about crowds, schedules, etc. You don't need to micro-manage your time. Disneyland is a lot more compact than Magic Kingdom, so you can cover much more ground. Also unlike WDW, the two parks are a few minutes walk apart, so you don't have to plan which bus you're going to catch that morning or how you're going to park hop later in the day.
My advice: Have a general plan of attack each day -- as far as which Park/Land/Ride/etc. you want to hit first and what show/parade/etc. you want to try and catch later -- and then just HAVE FUN!