I'm not quite there yet, but I'm close.
People, including our leaders on both sides of the aisle, are completely misunderstanding the value of flattening the curve and rather than enabling a coordinated response, lockdown has *replaced* other response measures. Unfortunately, that means there is no end game to this. Just lockdown until such time as there is a vaccine and enough supply for the entire country/world. I totally support social distancing and quarantine measures if they're done in service of actually addressing the virus and developing ways to get to a new normal, but if they're being done for their own sake with no bigger plan, well, then enough is absolutely going to be enough at some point. Because in essence, if we're not using the time lockdown buys to actually address the pandemic head-on, we're asking people to sacrifice their businesses and their jobs and their extended families and their mental well being for absolutely no reason.
This analogy is actually really good:
Except that in our current response, we're not sending out bomb sniffing dogs or squads to disarm the devices. We're not trying to find the bomber to ensure no more bombs are set. We're just telling people to stay inside because the bombs are out there and treating those who don't listen or who have no choice but to continue to work and end up getting blown up. And we're telling them they're going to have to do this for an indeterminate period of time while someone works to develop and mass produce armor to protect against the blast.
People were willing to make sacrifices during the World Wars because they saw the fight. They knew their leaders were doing everything possible to make those sacrifices worthwhile and as short-lived as possible. They aren't seeing that now. And there's another fundamental difference. The rationing and shared sacrifice of the World Wars was just that - shared. It brought communities together, which makes anything more endurable on a human level. This is doing just the opposite.
That model assumes our current level of social distancing continues through the entire modeling period - that is, until August 1. So we get COVID19 deaths down to nothing, but it comes at a massive economic cost and does nothing to support a return to normal.