Lumpy1106
DIS Veteran
- Joined
- Jul 2, 2010
- Messages
- 4,484
When we purchased I built a spreadsheet that factored in a "Disney Inflation" number for the room rate and a modest, albeit smaller rate of inflation on the MFs. The room I was using as a comparison was an 5 night stay, AoA 1 br suite, and we were getting enough points to stay 5 nights mid-week, 1 br, standard view @ BLT, late summer, buying resale. I am only 2 years in, and well, COVID, but so far my guesses on the inflation rates have been pretty spot-on. What did I determine with the spreadsheet? My "payoff" would be about 9 years. I did not compare studios as my family is 5 people and we are pretty locked in to our typical stay. The numbers could be quite a bit different - I really don't know. What I would guess though is if you think it takes a whole lot longer than that, you probably aren't figuring in inflation.
But wait!!
Say we get 5 years in and decide, nah, we don't want to do this anymore. OK, that's the beauty of resale. We can sell our contract, get back most, if not all what we paid for it and be out only MFs for 5 years. MF's are roughly $1000/year for the contract we own. The AoA suite is running about $422/night AFTER discounts, so for 5 nights that would be $2110 for the same 5 nights. Not only that, there is no way a 1br BLT room would cost the same as a 1 br AoA room. A Contemporary STUDIO is $771/night after discounts, $3855 for our stay. Does DVC save us money? I don't know on what planet you could argue it doesn't.
BUT....
DVC does not save you money, in the same way that going on ANY vacation does not save you money. If you want to save money, stay home. But that brings up what has truly been the most valuable thing about DVC - it commits us to going on vacation, and boy do we need that! Just this last year, everything got shut down, it didn't look like we were going to go, and then thankfully FL allowed WDW to open, but only DVC and a limited number of other accommodations, the AoA 1 br suites NOT among them. We would have cancelled FOR SURE, 100%, no doubt in my mind...but we had DVC. WE WERE GOING! And boy did we need it. You can't put a value on that. I hear you though, yeah, but COVID. It almost doesn't matter. There is always SOMETHING that keeps us from going on vacation. You book DVC 11 months out, you ARE going, it becomes your priority.
But wait!!
Say we get 5 years in and decide, nah, we don't want to do this anymore. OK, that's the beauty of resale. We can sell our contract, get back most, if not all what we paid for it and be out only MFs for 5 years. MF's are roughly $1000/year for the contract we own. The AoA suite is running about $422/night AFTER discounts, so for 5 nights that would be $2110 for the same 5 nights. Not only that, there is no way a 1br BLT room would cost the same as a 1 br AoA room. A Contemporary STUDIO is $771/night after discounts, $3855 for our stay. Does DVC save us money? I don't know on what planet you could argue it doesn't.
BUT....
DVC does not save you money, in the same way that going on ANY vacation does not save you money. If you want to save money, stay home. But that brings up what has truly been the most valuable thing about DVC - it commits us to going on vacation, and boy do we need that! Just this last year, everything got shut down, it didn't look like we were going to go, and then thankfully FL allowed WDW to open, but only DVC and a limited number of other accommodations, the AoA 1 br suites NOT among them. We would have cancelled FOR SURE, 100%, no doubt in my mind...but we had DVC. WE WERE GOING! And boy did we need it. You can't put a value on that. I hear you though, yeah, but COVID. It almost doesn't matter. There is always SOMETHING that keeps us from going on vacation. You book DVC 11 months out, you ARE going, it becomes your priority.