How many points do you normally own to rent out a year, I wonder If this a good time to do this
150 point contract will cost more per point than a 200 point contract. I recently pulled the trigger for VGF at 148 for 200, with current year points. I would not buy a stripped contract.
I just rent excess points. I did have four rentals last year and have two pending later this year and into next. I will only rent privately from now on. Some years we don't rent at all and we'll likely upgrade our villa or stay longer. It's not a moneymaker, I just hate to lose points.
I can't believe it, but I agree with you - I hope your wife forgives me! Prices certainly won't go up for a long time and ROFR will likely be on hold for quite some time too. No one really knows, but I'm waiting to buy again.
When you find the person with the crystal ball, will you let me know what they say?
Addonitis.. before even hearing back on my first contract, currently in ROFR! 
I pulled the trigger on a 'perfect' contract, despite knowing that it could go down a little more in the next 6 months or so because of I hope to slide through ROFR. We are not financing and it doesn't pose a significant drain of resources in the grand scheme of things (thanks to cancelled vacations this year, and we are buying at a cheaper resort). Unless it drops by $10-$15 per point, it's not worth waiting. If your savings is significant, it's worth waiting for. But only you would know your risk tolerance. We missed a contract earlier because my spouse wanted a lower price, but the one we found and bought, was priced better. But he did get evil eyeball from me for a few days. But if we don't pass ROFR (still waiting on that), he will get more evil eyeball from me because it took a few more weeks to find something similar. But in the grand scheme of things, if it gets taken, I would take it as not meant to be and save our resources for other household projects. So, what is your evil eyeball tolerance? Ha-ha. Or, "Remember that time when I was right as usual and you didn't listen" tolerance? Yes, my spouse thinks I'm a barrel of laughs.
I completely agree with you.... I found a contract I’m interested in but I just can’t let myself buy it until I know more about what is going to happen with Disney and the world in general in the short and long term.
Same here. We are ready to buy more points but so unsure whats going on. We are only planning on using them next summer or maybe this november over thanksgiving but who knows what's going to happen really.
3X listings?
It is possible that VGF goes down to $130. The problem is, if it does go down to $130 it will be because there is a long term shutdown at Disney with no clear end in sight. Or it could mean a series of startups and shutdowns that are unpredictable as cases of corona virus spike up. To put it another way, if the price goes to $130, it would mean that the true value is somewhere between $75 and $200, and the standard deviation is large and unstable.
The only two resorts that I’ve seen people complaining over lack of inventory are VGC, which is normal, and AKL, which does seem abnormal. But I don’t believe that prices are going upward. If this broker was the only game in town, perhaps they would be right. But there are lots of other brokers, and from what I have seen, the listing prices can vary significantly between brokers.
