What's in a BLT? - Or, Configuration of the Tower *UPDATED 11/23*

[dizfan]

Sales numbers for contracts I've found on the Orange County Comptroller's web site for contracts through 10/31/2010.

24,083 total contracts
3,962,632 total points sold

Unit	UY	#Cont	Sold	Total
02A	Feb	232	38577	39280
02B	Mar	137	19238	19640
03A	Mar	278	39002	39280
03B	Apr	137	19243	19640
04A	Apr	266	38336	39280
04B	Jun	128	19283	19640
05A	---	0	---	---
05B	Aug	142	19449	19640
05C	Aug	131	19243	19640
06A	Sep	253	38445	39280
06B	Sep	134	19229	19640
07A	Oct	142	19222	19640
07B	Oct	153	19233	19640
07C	Dec	133	19091	19640
08A	Dec	279	38696	39280
08B	Feb	102	19436	19640
09A	Dec	123	19233	19640
09B	Feb	119	19233	19640
09C	Feb	115	19229	19640
10A	Mar	266	39734	39280
10B	Apr	149	19224	19640
11A	Feb	108	19222	19640
11B	Feb	99	19236	19640
11C	Feb	121	19501	19640
12A	Jun	328	38470	39280
12B	Feb	107	19243	39280
13A	Aug	170	19384	19640
13B	Feb	109	19244	19640
13C	Feb	99	19233	19640
14A	Feb	197	38844	39280
14B	Oct	138	19420	19640
15A	Feb	99	19222	19640
15B	Dec	197	19050	19640
15C	Feb	111	19241	19640
16A	Dec	266	38472	39280
16B	Feb	99	19145	19640
17A	Feb	104	19408	19640
17B	Feb	106	19232	19640
17C	Feb	101	19237	19640
18A	Dec	290	38246	39280
18B	Feb	104	19337	19640
19A	Feb	105	19240	19640
19B	Sep	123	19404	19640
19C	Jun	227	38547	39280
20A	Feb	243	38630	39280
20B	---	0	---	---
21A	Sep	140	18419	19640
21B	Sep	129	19432	19640
21C	Sep	144	19044	19640
22A	Feb	200	38121	39280
22B	Aug	159	19223	19640
23A	Feb	206	38790	39280
23B	Oct	130	18892	19640
24A	Feb	112	19545	19640
24B	Feb	102	19179	19640
24C	Feb	103	19450	19640
25A	Feb	204	38818	39280
25B	Feb	113	19063	19640
26A	Feb	103	19047	19640
26B	Feb	111	19080	19640
26C	Feb	208	38900	39280
27A	Feb	196	38483	39280
27B	Feb	108	19230	19640
28A	Feb	107	18871	19640
28B	Feb	101	19234	19640
28C	Feb	106	18819	19640
29A	Feb	199	38606	39280
29B	Feb	106	19231	19640
30A	Feb	200	38476	39280
30B	Feb	107	19531	19640
31A	Apr	134	18882	19640
31B	Feb	115	19487	19640
31C	Feb	115	19292	19640
32A	Aug	276	38622	39280
32B	Jun	107	17835	19640
33A	Jun	124	19233	19640
33B	Oct	143	19022	19640
33C	Feb	204	38314	39280
34A	Feb	203	38066	39280
34B	Feb	116	19060	19640
35A	Feb	106	19121	19640
35B	Feb	107	19392	19640
35C	Jun	130	19177	19640
36A	Feb	202	38673	39280
36B	Feb	110	19228	19640
37A	Feb	202	38175	39280
37B	Feb	111	19217	19640
38A	Oct	133	18231	19640
38B	Oct	112	18573	19640
38C	Oct	127	18205	19640
39A	Feb	213	38466	39280
39B	Oct	85	14474	19640
40A	Oct	25	4255	19640
40B	Oct	2	450	19640
40C	Feb	211	38101	39280
41A	Feb	200	38163	39280
41B	Feb	103	19045	19640
42A	Mar	108	19060	19640
42B	---	0	---	---
42C	Feb	117	19175	19640
43A	Feb	225	38323	39280
43B	Feb	107	19176	19640
44A	Feb	203	38023	39280
44B	Mar	108	18787	19640
45A	Aug	115	18482	19640
45B	Apr	117	18657	19640
45C	Mar	116	19235	19640
46A	Mar	197	38440	39280
46B	Mar	116	19110	19640
47A	Feb	137	18993	19640
47B	Jun	107	18835	19640
47C	Dec	268	37636	39280
48A	Apr	177	31650	39280
48B	Jun	103	19083	19640
49A	Mar	126	19202	19640
49B	Feb	113	19011	19640
49C	Feb	128	18873	19640
50A	Feb	283	37874	39280
50B	Jun	125	18560	19640
51A	Feb	243	34007	39280
51B	Feb	115	19171	19640
52A	Feb	112	19087	19640
52B	Aug	108	19069	19640
52C	Mar	115	19109	19640
53A	Apr	222	38347	39280
53B	Mar	101	15123	19640
54A	Apr	8	1160	19640
54B	Apr	30	3895	19640
54C	Apr	5	1325	39280
55A	Apr	164	31328	39280
55B	Sep	127	18609	19640
56A	Aug	119	17963	19640
56B	Jun	106	18677	19640
56C	Dec	126	18973	19640
57A	Jun	185	37209	39280
57B	Dec	121	17629	19640
58A	Jun	200	38223	39280
58B	Jun	58	7795	19640
59A	Jun	73	13675	19640
59B	Aug	122	18509	19640
59C	Aug	108	18177	19640
60A	Jun	199	34720	39280
60B	Aug	104	16513	19640
61A	Aug	98	17560	19640
61B	Sep	92	16225	19640
61C	Dec	198	32907	39280
62A	Aug	189	35013	39280
62B	Aug	115	17797	19640
63A	Sep	97	17278	19640
63B	Aug	95	17387	19640
63C	Dec	58	9510	19640
64A	---	0	---	19640
64B	Aug	15	2935	19640
65A	---	0	---	39280
65B	Aug	106	17218	19640
66A	Sep	86	15375	19640
66B	Sep	111	16461	19640
66C	Sep	82	15661	19640
67A	---	0	---	39280
67B	Sep	75	13322	19640
68A	Feb	65	10450	19640
68B	Mar	46	8240	19640
68C	Sep	84	15785	39280
69A	Feb	155	25635	39280
69B	Mar	19	3050	19640
70A	---	0	---	19640
70B	Mar	17	2700	19640
70C	---	0	---	19640
71A	---	0	---	39280
71B	---	0	---	19640
72A	---	0	---	39280
72B	---	0	---	19640
73A	---	0	---	19640
73B	---	0	---	19640
73C	---	0	---	19640
74A	---	0	---	39280
74B	---	0	---	19640
75A	---	0	---	19640
75B	---	0	---	19640
75C	---	0	---	39280
76A	---	0	---	39280
76B	---	0	---	19640
82A	Mar	226	33598	34975
82B	Feb	194	34250	34975
82C	Jun	244	33820	34975
87A	Feb	183	33852	34975
87B	Feb	188	34450	34975
87C	Feb	108	19361	19640
88A	Feb	198	34036	34975
88B	Feb	196	34422	34975
88C	Feb	124	19404	19640
89A	Feb	197	34099	34975
89B	Feb	175	34408	34975
89C	Apr	100	17118	19640

Month		#Cont	Points
Oct08		181	29849
Nov08		1362	215967
Dec08		867	147293
Jan09		1211	199114
Feb09		1258	190615
Mar09		1383	237144
Apr09		1328	232902
May09		938	164890
Jun09		1177	204704
Jul09		1804	289668
Aug09		1362	227660
Sep09		1188	199099
Oct09		1230	210144
Nov09		863	127480
Dec09		542	85459
Jan10		646	107887
Feb10		469	75148
Mar10		650	109520
Apr10		703	116301
May10		701	115602
Jun10		767	125725
Jul10		778	124071
Aug10		1035	167356
Sep10		750	118854
Oct10		889	140080

 

[spiceycat]

boy disney does not tell the truth to their employees - was talking to one of the CM that does the DVC booth.

he was told that BLT was 90% sold out.

not the 70% your numbers show.(or even the 79% of the declared units) - but are pretty far from 90%

 

[wdrl]

I have updated my chart of BLT point sales to include data for October 2010.

As noted by dizfan in Post #201, October 2010 was a good month for BLT sales. The monthly total was the second best month in the last 12 months.

I had expected DVD to begin using December as the Use Year for new sales. However, it appears that March has become the default UY for recent sales. On another thread someone posted that he asked about December UY and getting 2009 points, but was told by his Guide that 2009 points were no longer available.

It will be interesting to see how the proposed base price increase from $120 to $130/point will affect BLT's sales. BLT's sales dropped significantly after BLT's base price increased from $112 to $120 in October and November 2009. I expect a downturn in sales at BLT unless new incentives effectively minimize the jump to $130.

If BLT sales maintain the current rate of 140,000 points a month, then it will take about 12 months for it to have 98% of its total points sold. As specified in the Master Declaration of Condominium, Disney cannot sell more than 98% of a DVC resort to the public.

DVD still has about a million points that it has declared for the membership but has not yet sold. Thus, there is no need for it declare more Units for the membership in the near future. I'm thinking that the last 31 Units (which comprise 5 Grand Villas and 30 two-bedroom villas) will not be declared until Spring 2011.

Readers may notice a slight difference between the numbers compiled by dizfan and me. I use an entirely manual process in adding up the numbers. Although I try to check my numbers, I'm sure some errors still occur. Between the two of us, I think we have a good feel for how sales are going at BLT.

 

[cwdefouw]

boy disney does not tell the truth to their employees - was talking to one of the CM that does the DVC booth.

he was told that BLT was 90% sold out.

not the 70% your numbers show.(or even the 79% of the declared units) - but are pretty far from 90%

They are going to tell you whatever they think is necessary to get you to buy points. This may be Disney, but sales tactics are the same everywhere. If a customer is told that a particular item is 90% sold out, which implies that if the customer wants some of that item, they better do it now, because there is only 10% left.

 

[dizfan]

Sales numbers for contracts I've found on the Orange County Comptroller's web site for contracts through 11/30/2010.

25,108 total contracts
4,114,609 total points sold

02B	Mar	138	19338	19640
03A	Mar	279	39102	39280
03B	Apr	137	19243	19640
04A	Apr	266	38336	39280
04B	Jun	129	19483	19640
05A	---	0	---	---
05B	Aug	142	19449	19640
05C	Aug	131	19243	19640
06A	Sep	253	38445	39280
06B	Sep	134	19229	19640
07A	Oct	142	19222	19640
07B	Oct	153	19233	19640
07C	Dec	133	19091	19640
08A	Dec	280	38796	39280
08B	Feb	103	19536	19640
09A	Dec	123	19233	19640
09B	Feb	119	19233	19640
09C	Feb	116	19389	19640
10A	Mar	268	39799	39280
10B	Apr	149	19224	19640
11A	Feb	108	19222	19640
11B	Feb	99	19236	19640
11C	Feb	121	19501	19640
12A	Jun	328	38470	39280
12B	Feb	107	19243	39280
13A	Aug	170	19384	19640
13B	Feb	109	19244	19640
13C	Feb	99	19233	19640
14A	Feb	197	38844	39280
14B	Oct	138	19420	19640
15A	Feb	99	19222	19640
15B	Dec	197	19050	19640
15C	Feb	111	19241	19640
16A	Dec	266	38472	39280
16B	Feb	100	19395	19640
17A	Feb	104	19408	19640
17B	Feb	107	19357	19640
17C	Feb	102	19387	19640
18A	Dec	292	38446	39280
18B	Feb	105	19497	19640
19A	Feb	106	19400	19640
19B	Sep	123	19404	19640
19C	Jun	227	38547	39280
20A	Feb	243	38630	39280
20B	---	0	---	---
21A	Sep	140	18419	19640
21B	Sep	129	19432	19640
21C	Sep	144	19044	19640
22A	Feb	202	38471	39280
22B	Aug	159	19223	19640
23A	Feb	206	38790	39280
23B	Oct	130	18892	19640
24A	Feb	113	19705	19640
24B	Feb	104	19404	19640
24C	Feb	103	19450	19640
25A	Feb	205	38843	39280
25B	Feb	115	19403	19640
26A	Feb	104	19207	19640
26B	Feb	113	19205	19640
26C	Feb	209	39110	39280
27A	Feb	198	38633	39280
27B	Feb	109	19530	19640
28A	Feb	107	18871	19640
28B	Feb	101	19234	19640
28C	Feb	106	18819	19640
29A	Feb	201	38806	39280
29B	Feb	106	19231	19640
30A	Feb	201	38576	39280
30B	Feb	108	19671	19640
31A	Apr	134	18882	19640
31B	Feb	115	19487	19640
31C	Feb	115	19292	19640
32A	Aug	276	38622	39280
32B	Jun	110	18185	19640
33A	Jun	124	19233	19640
33B	Oct	143	19022	19640
33C	Feb	205	38444	39280
34A	Feb	205	38436	39280
34B	Feb	117	19194	19640
35A	Feb	107	19221	19640
35B	Feb	107	19392	19640
35C	Jun	131	19377	19640
36A	Feb	202	38673	39280
36B	Feb	110	19228	19640
37A	Feb	202	38175	39280
37B	Feb	111	19217	19640
38A	Oct	133	18231	19640
38B	Oct	112	18573	19640
38C	Oct	129	18380	19640
39A	Feb	213	38466	39280
39B	Oct	104	17014	19640
40A	Oct	45	7040	19640
40B	Oct	2	450	19640
40C	Feb	212	38261	39280
41A	Feb	203	38413	39280
41B	Feb	103	19045	19640
42A	Mar	109	19240	19640
42B	---	0	---	---
42C	Feb	117	19175	19640
43A	Feb	225	38323	39280
43B	Feb	107	19176	19640
44A	Feb	205	38223	39280
44B	Mar	110	18997	19640
45A	Aug	115	18482	19640
45B	Apr	118	18707	19640
45C	Mar	116	19235	19640
46A	Mar	198	38500	39280
46B	Mar	116	19110	19640
47A	Feb	138	19243	19640
47B	Jun	107	18835	19640
47C	Dec	269	37869	39280
48A	Apr	178	31810	39280
48B	Jun	104	19193	19640
49A	Mar	126	19202	19640
49B	Feb	114	19061	19640
49C	Feb	132	19433	19640
50A	Feb	286	38304	39280
50B	Jun	126	18770	19640
51A	Feb	258	36437	39280
51B	Feb	115	19171	19640
52A	Feb	112	19087	19640
52B	Aug	108	19069	19640
52C	Mar	115	19109	19640
53A	Apr	222	38347	39280
53B	Mar	119	17753	19640
54A	Apr	8	1160	19640
54B	Apr	47	5685	19640
54C	Apr	5	1325	39280
55A	Apr	181	34114	39280
55B	Sep	127	18609	19640
56A	Aug	122	18298	19640
56B	Jun	107	18727	19640
56C	Dec	126	18973	19640
57A	Jun	188	37509	39280
57B	Dec	125	17954	19640
58A	Jun	200	38223	39280
58B	Jun	103	14080	19640
59A	Jun	90	16265	19640
59B	Aug	126	19070	19640
59C	Aug	108	18177	19640
60A	Jun	209	36510	39280
60B	Aug	107	17023	19640
61A	Aug	99	17660	19640
61B	Sep	98	17025	19640
61C	Dec	221	35638	39280
62A	Aug	208	37368	39280
62B	Aug	124	18657	19640
63A	Sep	101	17798	19640
63B	Aug	95	17387	19640
63C	Dec	102	15440	19640
64A	---	0	---	19640
64B	Aug	19	3490	19640
65A	Dec	3	360	39280
65B	Aug	107	17328	19640
66A	Sep	92	16355	19640
66B	Sep	122	17641	19640
66C	Sep	96	17461	19640
67A	---	0	---	39280
67B	Sep	80	13932	19640
68A	Feb	96	14800	19640
68B	Mar	84	14805	19640
68C	Sep	98	17705	39280
69A	Feb	200	32360	39280
69B	Mar	89	13735	19640
70A	Mar	83	13475	19640
70B	Mar	79	12540	19640
70C	Mar	83	12852	19640
71A	Feb	16	2490	39280
71B	Mar	69	11100	19640
72A	Jun	55	9795	39280
72B	Mar	28	4555	19640
73A	---	0	---	19640
73B	Feb	3	510	19640
73C	Dec	4	430	19640
74A	---	0	---	39280
74B	---	0	---	19640
75A	---	0	---	19640
75B	---	0	---	19640
75C	---	0	---	39280
76A	---	0	---	39280
76B	---	0	---	19640
82A	Mar	226	33598	34975
82B	Feb	194	34250	34975
82C	Jun	245	34070	34975
87A	Feb	184	34062	34975
87B	Feb	192	34790	34975
87C	Feb	109	19511	19640
88A	Feb	199	34196	34975
88B	Feb	196	34422	34975
88C	Feb	124	19404	19640
89A	Feb	197	34099	34975
89B	Feb	175	34408	34975
89C	Apr	101	17168	19640

Month		#Cont	Points
Oct08		181	29849
Nov08		1362	215967
Dec08		867	147293
Jan09		1212	199314
Feb09		1259	190775
Mar09		1385	237514
Apr09		1328	232902
May09		939	165100
Jun09		1177	204704
Jul09		1805	289768
Aug09		1363	227820
Sep09		1188	199099
Oct09		1231	210184
Nov09		863	127480
Dec09		542	85459
Jan10		646	107887
Feb10		469	75148
Mar10		651	109680
Apr10		703	116301
May10		701	115602
Jun10		770	126295
Jul10		778	124071
Aug10		1035	167356
Sep10		750	118854
Oct10		888	139920
Nov10		1014	150167

NOTE: some of my numbers from earlier numbers have been updated as a few more contracts were found and at least one of the deeds previously counted was actually a corrective deed (not a new deed).

 

[wdrl]

I have updated my chart on BLT points and Use Years to reflect deeds recorded with the Orange County Comptroller through November 2010. November was a good month for BLT sales with over 151,000 points sold. If sales were to continue at that rate, by October 2011 BLT will have sold 98% of its points, which is the maximum permitted by the Master Declaration. However, I expect that BLT's sales may slip a little now that its base price was recently increased to $130/point. Nevertheless, I think its likely that BLT will be "sold out" by the end of 2011.

Based on deeds recorded in November, it appears that DVD is using both March and June as the 'default' UY. The February UY, however, is the predominant UY at BLT. To date, over 48% of all points sold at BLT are in the February UY. By comparison, only 4.27% of BLT's points have been sold for the October UY. None of the WDW DVC resorts have their points equally distributed among the eight UYs, but none are so heavily skewed toward a single UY like BLT is toward the February UY.

BLT still has 5 Grand Villas and 30 two-bedroom villas (representing 31 Units and about 764,075 points) that have not been declared for the DVC membership. I would expect some or all of those Units to be declared within the next 2-3 months. Of course, I have been wrong in the past with my predictions about future declarations, so don't bet your FastPasses on my guesses.

Readers of this thread will notice that my numbers and dizfan's numbers are quite close to each other, but that they don't match. Extracting the data from the OCC website is a manual process and is dependent on records being properly labeled by OCC and DVD. A deed can be overlooked if its mislabeled, not to mention simple math errors can occur as I try to count the deeds and the points. But between dizfan's data and my mine, I think we have a good feel for how sales are progressing at BLT.

 

[dizfan]

Sales numbers for contracts I've found on the Orange County Comptroller's web site for contracts through 12/29/2010.

26,561 total contracts
4,320,117 total points sold

Month		#Cont	Points
Oct08		181	29849
Nov08		1362	215967
Dec08		867	147293
Jan09		1212	199314
Feb09		1259	190775
Mar09		1385	237514
Apr09		1328	232902
May09		939	165100
Jun09		1177	204704
Jul09		1805	289768
Aug09		1363	227820
Sep09		1188	199099
Oct09		1231	210184
Nov09		863	127480
Dec09		542	85459
Jan10		646	107887
Feb10		469	75148
Mar10		651	109680
Apr10		703	116301
May10		701	115602
Jun10		770	126295
Jul10		778	124071
Aug10		1035	167356
Sep10		750	118854
Oct10		888	139920
Nov10		1014	150167
Dec10		1454	205608

 

[nakraza]

 

[wdrl]

I have updated my chart on BLT points and Use Years to reflect deeds recorded with the Orange County Comptroller through December 2010. December was the third month in a row with increased sales at BLT. In fact December was the best month of the year for BLT sales, and the best month since October 2009.

With the recent base price increase to $130/point, I doubt BLT can maintain monthly sales at the 200,000+ point level. But even if its monthly sales drop to 150,000 points, BLT should sell 98% of its points by September 2011. As with all DVC resorts, DVD cannot sell more than 98% of a resort's total points to the public. It would not surprise me if DVD announces that BLT has reached its final "sell-out" phase this Spring.

Based on deeds recorded in December, it appears that DVD is using June as the default UY. The February UY, however, is the predominant UY at BLT. Even if no more Units were declared for the February UY, BLT will have almost 37% of its total points in that UY. No other WDW DVC resort is that heavily skewed toward a single UY.

BLT still has 5 Grand Villas and 30 two-bedroom villas (representing 31 Units and about 764,075 points) that have not been declared for the DVC membership. However, at the rate DVD is selling points, I expect another BLT declaration to be made before the end of January 2011. It will be interesting to see whether DVD declares all the remaining Units, or whether it holds back some for another declaration later in the year.

Readers of this thread will notice that my numbers and dizfan's numbers are quite close to each other, but that they don't match. Extracting the data from the OCC website is a manual process and is dependent on records being properly labeled by OCC and DVD. A deed can be overlooked if its mislabeled, not to mention simple math errors can occur as I try to count the deeds and the points. But between dizfan's data and my mine, I think we have a good feel for how sales are progressing at BLT.

 

[dizfan]

Looks like another BLT declaration is on the OCC today. Justing waiting for them to upload the documents.

 

[wdrl]

DVD has declared more BLT Units for the DVC membership. On January 12, 2011, DVD made the 14th Amendment to BLT's Master Declaration of Condominium, declaring 13 Units containing 16 two-bedroom villas for the DVC inventory. The 16 villas include 7 dedicated two-bedroom villas and 9 lockoff two-bedroom villas. The villas are located on the south wing of the 12th floor and on the 14th floor from the north crescent around to center portion of the crescent facing the pool (Note: There is no 13th floor at BLT). This new declaration brings a total of 314,240 points into the DVC inventory. The 14th Amendment was recorded with the Orange County Comptroller on January 18, 2011.

With this latest declaration, it appears that DVD has declared 92.15% of BLT for the DVC membership. There are only 449,835 points left at BLT before it will be completely declared for the DVC. The undeclared inventory at BLT now consists of 14 two-bedroom villas and 5 Grand Villas. Actually, since DVD cannot sell more than 98% of a resort, there are only 335,164 points left to be declared for the Membership. I expect DVD to make only one more Declaration, perhaps in late Spring, before BLT is sold out.

Although 92.15% of BLT has been declared, only 76.47% of BLT's estimated 5,733,530 points have been sold, based on deeds recorded with the Orange County Comptroller through January 11, 2011. However, based on the rate of sales at BLT for the last 2-4 months, BLT should be sold out by September or October 2011.

 

[dizfan]

wdrl thank you for analyzing the information and keeping us informed.

 

[work2play]

wdrl- Great info! Thank you! You would think with the price at $130 a point it would slow down, but location, location, location!!

 

[wdrl]

I have updated my chart on BLT points and Use Years to reflect deeds recorded with the Orange County Comptroller through January 2011.

With only 146,151 points sold in January, BLT saw a drop in sales of about 60,000 points compared to December 2010. This drop was not unexpected since its base price was increased to $130. Although BLT outsells the other WDW resorts by a wide margin, it appears that some of DVD's sales efforts are beginning to shift away from BLT. AKV saw an increase of about 30,000 points in its sales. It also appears that DVD has plans to replace the BLT models at the SSR DVC sales center with models of the Aulani villas.

Even if sales drop at BLT, I expect it to be sold out before the end of 2011. DVD can only sell 98% of a DVC resort and it has sold about 77.9% of BLT to date. BLT has to average only 105,000 points in monthly sales to reach the 98% mark by December 2011. Since BLT has averaged about 155,000 points in monthly sales the last six months, its reasonable to think BLT will sell out soon.

Based on deeds recorded in January, it appears that DVD is using June and August as the default UYs. The February UY, however, remains the predominant UY at BLT.

There are only 449,835 points left at BLT before it will be completely declared for the DVC. The undeclared inventory at BLT now consists of 14 two-bedroom villas and 5 Grand Villas.

 

[dizfan]

Sales numbers for contracts I've found on the Orange County Comptroller's web site for contracts through 1/31/2010.

You will notice wdrl and I are very similar in our numbers. Considering the number of deeds and the work of going through thousands of contracts, it's impressive that we are so close.

Also, my June 2010 numbers are slightly different than my early posts because I found one of the deeds I previously credited was a corrective deed.

27,535 total contracts
4,465,238 total points sold

Month		#Cont	Points
Oct08		181	29849
Nov08		1362	215967
Dec08		867	147293
Jan09		1212	199314
Feb09		1259	190775
Mar09		1385	237514
Apr09		1328	232902
May09		939	165100
Jun09		1177	204704
Jul09		1805	289768
Aug09		1363	227820
Sep09		1188	199099
Oct09		1231	210184
Nov09		863	127480
Dec09		542	85459
Jan10		646	107887
Feb10		469	75148
Mar10		651	109680
Apr10		703	116301
May10		701	115602
Jun10		769	126195
Jul10		778	124071
Aug10		1035	167356
Sep10		750	118854
Oct10		888	139920
Nov10		1014	150167
Dec10		1454	205608
Jan11		974	145121

 

[dizfan]

Sales numbers for contracts I've found on the Orange County Comptroller's web site for contracts through 2/28/2011.
(All corrective deeds that I noticed are not included in my totals because they are replacements for earlier deeds). There were two corrective deeds that I noticed in the Feb 2011 deeds.

28,177 total contracts
4,564,073 total points sold

Month		#Cont	Points
Oct08		181	29849
Nov08		1362	215967
Dec08		867	147293
Jan09		1212	199314
Feb09		1259	190775
Mar09		1385	237514
Apr09		1328	232902
May09		939	165100
Jun09		1177	204704
Jul09		1805	289768
Aug09		1363	227820
Sep09		1188	199099
Oct09		1231	210184
Nov09		863	127480
Dec09		542	85459
Jan10		646	107887
Feb10		469	75148
Mar10		651	109680
Apr10		703	116301
May10		701	115602
Jun10		769	126195
Jul10		778	124071
Aug10		1035	167356
Sep10		750	118854
Oct10		888	139920
Nov10		1014	150167
Dec10		1454	205608
Jan11		974	145121
Feb11		642	98835

For reference of drop offs,
BLT went from $112 to $120/pt on November 1, 2009.
BLT went from $120 to $130/pt in early December, 2010.
BLT going to $140/pt this month, so I expect another slowdown in BLT sales to appear within the next couple months.

It will be interesting to see wdrl's numbers for both AKV and SSR/THV.

 

[wdrl]

As noted by dizfan, February 2011 was a slow month for sales at BLT. For the first time since February 2010, less than 100,000 points were sold at BLT, based on deeds filed by DVD and recorded with the Orange County Comptroller. The drop in sales from the previous months may be due the recent increase in BLT's base price to $130, or it might reflect the normal seasonal downturn in sales after the Holiday season.

Despite the downturn in sales, BLT should still sell out by the end of 2011. Over 79% of BLT's total points have been sold and it is only 1,051,486 points shy of reaching 98% of total point sold, which is the maximum percentage that DVD can sell to the public. It will be interesting to see how many points DVD decides to retain for itself after BLT is declared to be sold out.

During February, it appeared that DVD was using August and September as the default UY. However, the February UY remains the predominant UY at BLT.

 

[wdrl]

On March 21, 2011, Disney Vacation Development (DVD) made the 15th Amendment to BLT's Master Declaration adding seven more Units to the DVC inventory. The seven Units contain three Grand Villas and six two-bedroom villas and account for 222,765 points.

DVD has now declared 96.04% of BLT for the DVC inventory. This means that on any given Use Day Members can use points to book up to but not exceeding 96.04% of BLT's villas. This includes any points traded out of the Vacation Club by BLT owners to use for the Disney Cruise Line, Concierge Collection, RCI, and other exchanges.

Still undeclared at BLT are two Grand Villas and eight two-bedroom villas. I suspect that DVD will declare those villas for the DVC inventory early this summer.

Despite the recent hikes in BLT's base price per point, sales have remained strong. As can be seen in the chart below, about 81.48% of BLT's total points have been sold to the general public. At the current rate of sales, BLT should be sold out before the end of this year.

 

[dizfan]

Sales numbers for contracts I've found on the Orange County Comptroller's web site for contracts through 3/31/2011.

29,225 total contracts
4,724,860 total points sold

Month		#Cont	Points
Oct08		181	29849
Nov08		1362	215967
Dec08		867	147293
Jan09		1212	199314
Feb09		1259	190775
Mar09		1385	237514
Apr09		1328	232902
May09		939	165100
Jun09		1177	204704
Jul09		1805	289768
Aug09		1363	227820
Sep09		1188	199099
Oct09		1231	210184
Nov09		863	127480
Dec09		542	85459
Jan10		646	107887
Feb10		469	75148
Mar10		651	109680
Apr10		703	116301
May10		701	115602
Jun10		769	126195
Jul10		778	124071
Aug10		1035	167356
Sep10		750	118854
Oct10		888	139920
Nov10		1014	150167
Dec10		1454	205608
Jan11		974	145121
Feb11		642	98835
Mar11		1048	160787

For reference of price changes and how they impact sales. Keep in mind contracts take 2+ weeks to show up on the OCC.
BLT went from $112 to $120/pt on November 1, 2009.
BLT went from $120 to $130/pt in early December, 2010.

It will be interesting to see wdrl's numbers for both AKV and SSR/THV.

 

[wdrl]

After posting a 12-month low in February 2011, sales at BLT rebounded in March 2011. Based on deeds filed and recorded with the Orange County Comptroller, BLT sold 162,564 points, the second highest monthly total since August 2010. Total sales have now reached 4,729,937, about 82.5% of BLT's 5,733,530 total points. At the current rate of sales, DVD should reach 98% of sales -- the maximum allowed by the Master Declaration -- before the end of 2011.

As shown in the chart below, DVD has declared 96.04% of BLT for the DVC inventory. There are only 227,070 points -- the equivalent of two Grand Villas and eight two-bedroom villas -- left to be declared.

My numbers and those of dizfan don't match exactly. Extracting the data from the OCC website is a manual process and is dependent on records being properly labeled by OCC and DVD. A deed can be overlooked if it is mislabeled, and simple math errors can occur as I try to count the deeds and the points. But between dizfan's data and my mine, I think we have a good feel for how sales are progressing at BLT.