Here's more good news!
Bada Bing, Bada Bang, McCain Pulls Ahead in Gallup Poll
September 7th, 2008 10:37 am
The latest Gallup Poll shows McCain in the lead for the first time erasing an eight point deficit and turning it into a three point lead. Thats an eleven point turnaround and points to a Palin-induced bounce.
The latest Gallup Poll Daily tracking update shows John McCain moving ahead of Barack Obama, 48% to 45%, when registered voters are asked for whom they would vote if the presidential election were held today.
McCains 48% share of the vote ties for his largest since Gallup tracking began in early March. He registered the same level of support in early May. This is also McCains largest advantage over Obama since early May, when he led by as much as six percentage points. Obama has led McCain for most of the campaign, and for nearly all of the time since clinching the Democratic nomination in early June.
This is obviously good news for the McCain campaign and I have to believe that movement in the race is amongst the blue collar demographic the so-called Reagan Democratics but really now Clinton Democrats.
Janet Smith, 41, a special education teacher from Flint Township is a registered Democrat who supported Mrs Clinton in the Democratic primary. But she said she was now backing Mr McCain: I just dont have a good gut feeling that Obama has what it takes to lead this country. Im an American first before Im a party member. McCain is an American first; hes bringing back patriotism.
Barbara Fee, 50, another Democrat for McCain who works for a car supplier, said: I just dont like Obama. Hope and change are just words. I believe his ideas are socialist. I love Sarah Palin. I like what shes done and how shes done it. Shes got spunk.
It now remains to be seen how Obama answers back. Ill note that in the Rasmussen Reports poll the race is tied at 45% among registered voters and with leaners included its 48% apiece. While I personally think that the race is effectively tied at this moment, the momentum is shifting in McCains favour and I largely believe that is due to the selection of Sarah Palin as his running mate. The dynamics in the race have shifted and the Democrats have little to no idea how to respond.
Below the fold an article from the UK Telegraph on Palins appeal to blue collar Democrats.
The Republican presidential candidate signalled his intentions by using his first weekend of campaigning since his partys convention to launch a political raid into the heart of Reagan-Democrat country, home of the fabled blue collar voters who Mr Reagan captured from the Democrats in the 1980s.
Mr McCain, and particularly Mrs Palin, met with a rapturous reception as they held a rally in Macomb County, Michigan, where pollsters first identified the breed of patriotic conservative, blue collar workers who the McCain camp now believes hold the key to victory in November.
On Friday night in Sterling Heights, Mr McCains selection of Mrs Palin appeared to have utterly transformed his campaign and made easier the task of converting Reagan Democrats to McCain Democrats.
Where he once played to a few hundred people, he was greeted by an electrified crowd of 6,000 chanting Sa-rah, Sa-rah!, John Mc-Cain, John Mc-Cain! and U-S-A!
Mrs Palin immediately made explicit how the McCain campaign will take on Democratic candidate Barack Obama in the coming weeks. We went right from the convention to small town USA, she said. Its true that they grow good people, people who are working hard for America.
You love your country in good times and bad and youre always proud to be Americans.
The self-described hockey mom wooed her peers, holding up a Detroit Red Wings hockey shirt and describing how her son Track, now a soldier soon to deploy to Iraq, once played for a local high school team. Michigan, you took care of my boy and now that boy is serving in the US Army and hes going to take care of you.
Casting the double act as political outsiders, Mr McCain urged voters to send a team of Mavericks who arent afraid to go to Washington and break a little china.
With the polls deadlocked after the most exciting convention season in three decades, both Republicans and Democrats are set to wage electoral war on the small town battlefields of middle America.
Stan Greenberg, the pollster who first coined the phrase Reagan-Democrat in 1985, published a new report in Macomb County two weeks ago, which found that Mr McCain has a seven point lead there because disaffected Democrats are uncomfortable with Barack Obamas inexperience on national security issues and his economic policies. The Reagan Democrats are back, it concluded.
Mr Greenberg told The Sunday Telegraph: These are people who have escaped the city to pursue their version of the American dream. Bill Clinton made it his mission to get them back and he partially succeeded. Reagan Democrats are a metaphor for the challenge Democrats are facing in this election.
Mr Greenberg added: Obama has to fight for the older blue collar Catholic voters. If Obama wins Macomb, he takes Michigan and the election.
Frank Luntz, the Republican pollster, said Sarah Palin is now the key to Mr McCains chances in Macomb County and the election as a whole. Small town America has leaned Republican since 1980 but was pulled away to the Democrats by the Republican failures of the last few years. In the 2006 congressional elections small town America voted Democrat.
In her speech at the convention Sarah Palin cut right to the core of who they are and what they believe: the people who work the hardest and fight our wars. The voters who live in small towns in Missouri and Michigan and Ohio will decide this election.
Former White House official Jim Nuzzo, an early fan of Mrs Palin, agreed: This is an absolutely classic class war fight. Its the toffs in the Obama camp versus the working people. Sarah Palin is John McCains bridge to the working class.
On Friday in Sterling Heights a poster proclaimed: Sarah You are The One, a sly dig at Mr Obamas image. Another read Real Women are Pro-Life, a reference to Mrs Palins anti-abortion stance.
That point was reinforced by the presence in the crowd of a 40-strong group of nuns in white habits. Sister Thomas Augustin, 44, of the Dominican Sisters of Mary, Mother of the Eucarist, said: I think she really speaks for women in a way that Hillary Clinton does not. She loves her husband and her children and I think that disaffected people who were on the fence are going to support her.
It had been assumed by many commentators that Mrs Palin could not win over those supporters of Hillary Clinton with whom she differs on abortion. But women waving Democrats for McCain posters were highly visible.
Janet Smith, 41, a special education teacher from Flint Township is a registered Democrat who supported Mrs Clinton in the Democratic primary. But she said she was now backing Mr McCain: I just dont have a good gut feeling that Obama has what it takes to lead this country. Im an American first before Im a party member. McCain is an American first; hes bringing back patriotism.
Barbara Fee, 50, another Democrat for McCain who works for a car supplier, said: I just dont like Obama. Hope and change are just words. I believe his ideas are socialist. I love Sarah Palin. I like what shes done and how shes done it. Shes got spunk.
Several voters said that Mrs Palins arrival on the ticket had made it more palatable to back Mr McCain. Jennifer Raybaud, a 42 year-old small business owner sporting a Palin has them wailin sign, said: I was going to vote Republican but I feel a whole lot better about it now. Sarah Palin is my age, she has kids. She seems like me.
Sheri Allard-Pruehs, 50, added: I love Sarah Palin. If McCain in had picked Joe Lieberman as his running mate I probably wouldnt have voted at all.
If that enthusiasm is replicated around the country, Mr McCain could well be taking the oath of office on January 20th.
Senator Kit Bond of Missouri, the state that has picked the president in all but one election over the last 110 years, told The Sunday Telegraph that Mrs Palins appointment has energised voters in his state too: Im hearing reports of great enthusiasm from my staff all around Missouri. On Sunday I had three women who dont usually discuss politics in church telling me that they are now very enthusiastic to vote for John McCain.
Mr McCain, who trails in statewide Michigan polls, was keen to convert the enthusiasm into votes in Sterling Heights: A little straight talk, he said. I need to win Michigan. Theres 60 days left. I need you to get out there and vote. On Saturday, Mr McCain and Mrs Palin took their message to the swing states of Colorado and New Mexico. Mrs Palin will conduct her first solo campaign event on Monday in Pennsylvania, home state of her vice presidential rival Joe Biden.
http://www.bythefault.com/2008/09/07/bada-bing-bada-bang-mccain-pulls-ahead-in-gallup-poll/