I just received this from Jewishvoiceforpeace.org
Interesting Read...
Ray McGovern works with Tell the Word, the publishing arm of the ecumenical
Church of the Saviour. During his 27-year career as a CIA analyst, he chaired
National Intelligence Estimates and produced/briefed the President's Daily
Brief. He is now on the Steering Group of Veteran Intelligence Professionals for
Sanity (VIPS).
This article is of particular interest not only because of what it says
regarding Iran's nuclear weapons (or rather lack of such), but also because it
describes how Cheney got overruled - informing us that the forces opposing war
on Iran within the system have some muscle. This is good news, for a change!
Racheli Gai.
http://www.alternet.org/waroniraq/69591/
Intelligence Report Reveals Bush and Cheney's Iran Warnings as Fraudulent
By Ray McGovern, Consortium News. Posted December 4, 2007.
A new intelligence assessment that Iran's nuclear weapons program halted in 2003
utterly contradicts the dire claims made by the war-mongering White House.
For those who have doubts about miracles, a double one occurred today. An honest
National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) on Iran's nuclear program has been issued
and its Key Judgments were made public.
With redraft after redraft, it was what the Germans call "eine schwere Geburt"
-- a difficult birth, ten months in gestation.
I do not know how often Vice President Dick Cheney visited CIA Headquarters
during the gestation period, but I am told he voiced his displeasure as soon as
he saw the first sonogram/draft very early this year, and is so displeased with
what issued that he has refused to be the godfather.
This time Cheney and his neo-con colleagues were unable to abort the process.
And after delivery to the press, this child is going to be very hard to explain
-- the more so since it is legitimate.
The main points of the NIE:
"We judge that in fall 2003, Tehran halted its nuclear weapons program...
"We assess with moderate confidence Tehran has not restarted its nuclear
weapons program as of mid-2007.
"We do not have sufficient intelligence to judge confidently whether Tehran
is willing to maintain the halt of its nuclear weapons program indefinitely...
"We judge with moderate confidence Iran probably would be technically
capable of producing enough highly enriched uranium sometime during the
2010-2015 time frame.
"We judge with high confidence that Iran will not be technically capable of
producing and reprocessing enough plutonium for a weapon before about 2015."
Having reached these conclusions, it is not surprising that the NIE's
authors make a point of saying up front (in bold type) "This NIE does not
(italics in original) assume that Iran intends to acquire nuclear weapons."
This, of course, pulls out the rug from under Cheney's claim of a "fairly robust
new nuclear program" in Iran, and President Bush's inaccurate assertion that
Iranian leaders have even admitted they are developing nuclear weapons.
Apparently, intelligence community analysts are no longer required to produce
the faith-based intelligence that brought us the Oct. 1, 2002, NIE "Iraq's
Continuing Program for Weapons of Mass Destruction" -- the worst in the history
of U.S. intelligence.
Truth be told, one of the Iran NIE's findings was written into its first draft,
from which Director of National Intelligence Michael McConnell drew in telling
the Senate Armed Services Committee on Feb. 27 that Iran could possibly develop
a nuclear weapon by early-to-mid-next decade.
McConnell said not a word, though, about Iran's having halted its nuclear
weapons program in fall 2003. And in February, he was still adhering to the
faith-based approach, saying, "We assess that Iran seeks to develop a nuclear
weapon."
At which point, Sen. Lindsay Graham, R-South Carolina, tried to sum up the
proceedings with the disingenuous comment, "We all agree, then, that the
Iranians are trying to get nuclear weapons."
Curiously, McConnell indicated recently that the key findings of NIEs would no
longer be made public.
My guess is that the Pentagon, and especially Adm. William Fallon, commander of
our forces in the Middle East, succeeded in persuading McConnell to go public.
Several months ago, Fallon was reliably reported to have said, "We are not going
to do Iran on my watch."
And it is an open secret that he and other senior military officers, except
those of the Air Force, are strongly opposed to getting into a war with Iran for
which the U.S. is so ill prepared.
Will President George W. Bush and our domesticated media succeed in dismissing
this latest NIE as "guesswork," as he has in the past? It is going to be highly
interesting to see how the White House will try to spin this one.
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Jewish Peace News editors:
Joel Beinin
Racheli Gai
Rela Mazali
Sarah Anne Minkin
Judith Norman
Lincoln Shlensky
Alistair Welchman
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