Scared to death by the restrictions on resale pts thread

As I replied before on this subject, there is no indication that renters do more damage, if anything, my experience is that they are more reverent and protective than are owners. In truth we are all only renters. I've discussed this issue with 3 Marriott VCI GM's. None had real data but all's sense was that it didn't make any difference based on the method they got there but that the group makeup did make a large difference (Family vs spring break crowd).

It does seem to have legs but we'll see. Some of the rumors from good sources have included the date of 1 Jan but no way to tell for sure. It is my expectation that IF current retail owners are grandfathered, that past resale buyers will be also. However, realize that Marriott did not do so with their big change this past summer. They GF no one but they did differentiate the fee as higher for those who had ANY resale contracts they wanted to move over to the new system. As I noted, I would be hesitant to buy in now resale, esp if I considered exchange options important. Why not wait until mid Jan or after. That way if there are changes, you'll know what they are. It's also very possible that prices will go down significantly if such changes take place and therefore one might be able to get say SSR at $40 a point in a couple of months. I can't imagine a situation where future resale buyers won't have the same DVC options as the rest of the current owners.

Dropping the resale prices may in fact be one of Disney's motivation for some of these rumored changes. If resale prices drop enough it may become profitable for Disney to exercise their ROFR more often and sell these re-claimed points as new direct-purchase points for a significant profit.
 
It does seem to have legs but we'll see. Some of the rumors from good sources have included the date of 1 Jan but no way to tell for sure. It is my expectation that IF current retail owners are grandfathered, that past resale buyers will be also. However, realize that Marriott did not do so with their big change this past summer. They GF no one but they did differentiate the fee as higher for those who had ANY resale contracts they wanted to move over to the new system. As I noted, I would be hesitant to buy in now resale, esp if I considered exchange options important. Why not wait until mid Jan or after. That way if there are changes, you'll know what they are. It's also very possible that prices will go down significantly if such changes take place and therefore one might be able to get say SSR at $40 a point in a couple of months. I can't imagine a situation where future resale buyers won't have the same DVC options as the rest of the current owners.

I would hate to see DVC reduce benefits of current owners and then having to pay a fee to get it back. They are not getting anything from owners who have owned 10-15-almost 20 years, so this would be a way. That would be really underhanded, but I would not be surprised. :sad2:

I personally have never traded out and don't plan to, so I would not care about that. But I like being able to move around to different DVC resorts and I definitely want the priority window so that I can get the boardwalk view at BWV.
 
Dropping the resale prices may in fact be one of Disney's motivation for some of these rumored changes. If resale prices drop enough it may become profitable for Disney to exercise their ROFR more often and sell these re-claimed points as new direct-purchase points for a significant profit.
No, ROFR is never directly about buying cheap to resell, it's simply a tool to drive sales to retail and away from resale. It's only effective if they can afford to buy back enough to keep people guessing and to keep the difference in price small enough that people are willing to give up the savings for retail. Still, price and what they can recoup has to play a role because it doesn't make financial sense to compete with new sales. Two things have killed ROFR as being effective, the economy and the internet. Most timeshare companies have long since gone to offering more options to retail buyers and taking away options from resale buyers. In addition, some have a VIP system where you can jump ahead of other owners, even retail ones. Bluegreen and Wyndham are the ones I think of in terms of VIP systems.
 
I would hate to see DVC reduce benefits of current owners and then having to pay a fee to get it back. They are not getting anything from owners who have owned 10-15-almost 20 years, so this would be a way. That would be really underhanded, but I would not be surprised. :sad2:

I personally have never traded out and don't plan to, so I would not care about that. But I like being able to move around to different DVC resorts and I definitely want the priority window so that I can get the boardwalk view at BWV.
I know they can't take away the home resort priority window and don't believe they can take away the ability for other DVC resorts same as other members. IMO, if they take away the non DVC options that may actually be a win for most owners even if they don't know it. Possible positives would include that they force better decisions on purchase (#of points) and usage by taking away the high cost, low value ($$$) options. It may also help those looking to buy in if it's simply taking away non DVC exchange options by reducing cost. The problem I have is that I don't see that alone as being enough to control the market. The only 2 approaches that I can think of and make any sense at all and are potentially drastic enough to have the desired effect are a DVC II with a charge to join or cross over which requires at least 2 to 3 new resorts with at least 1 or 2 being high demand resorts or some type of VIP system giving reservation and cost benefits to those who buy retail over resale.
 

It's only effective if they can afford to buy back enough to keep people guessing and to keep the difference in price small enough that people are willing to give up the savings for retail.
There's one other way it can be helpful: sowing doubt in the prospect's mind that a resale purchase will ever clear ROFR.
 
As I replied before on this subject, there is no indication that renters do more damage, if anything, my experience is that they are more reverent and protective than are owners. In truth we are all only renters. I've discussed this issue with 3 Marriott VCI GM's. None had real data but all's sense was that it didn't make any difference based on the method they got there but that the group makeup did make a large difference (Family vs spring break crowd).

It does seem to have legs but we'll see. Some of the rumors from good sources have included the date of 1 Jan but no way to tell for sure. It is my expectation that IF current retail owners are grandfathered, that past resale buyers will be also. However, realize that Marriott did not do so with their big change this past summer. They GF no one but they did differentiate the fee as higher for those who had ANY resale contracts they wanted to move over to the new system. As I noted, I would be hesitant to buy in now resale, esp if I considered exchange options important. Why not wait until mid Jan or after. That way if there are changes, you'll know what they are. It's also very possible that prices will go down significantly if such changes take place and therefore one might be able to get say SSR at $40 a point in a couple of months. I can't imagine a situation where future resale buyers won't have the same DVC options as the rest of the current owners.
Do you mean that resale contracts had higher dues at Marriot??? Does it cost Disney more money for us to trade out??? Is this the big deal??


I know they can't take away the home resort priority window and don't believe they can take away the ability for other DVC resorts same as other members. IMO, if they take away the non DVC options that may actually be a win for most owners even if they don't know it. Possible positives would include that they force better decisions on purchase (#of points) and usage by taking away the high cost, low value ($$$) options. It may also help those looking to buy in if it's simply taking away non DVC exchange options by reducing cost. The problem I have is that I don't see that alone as being enough to control the market. The only 2 approaches that I can think of and make any sense at all and are potentially drastic enough to have the desired effect are a DVC II with a charge to join or cross over which requires at least 2 to 3 new resorts with at least 1 or 2 being high demand resorts or some type of VIP system giving reservation and cost benefits to those who buy retail over resale.

Ok...if they create DVC 2....Do you think there will be a 95 dollar fee to say go to Poly DVC for current owners....Or we can't go there at all unless we ahem get strongarmed into "upgrading".
If members decide to pay no extra.....Seems the benefit is a long way off. There is so much DVC to buy now. If they build at GF and Poly....that will take a while to implement.
I can't see a system that gives huge priorities because Disney has always been about....Once your in the bubble....everyone is the same.
Did I sprinkle to much pixie in my coffee today;)

My 1st contract was resale...150pts I then added on 50pts direct. I would hate for my points to be in 2 systems:eek:
Thanks....As you can see I am not business savvy:headache:
Kerri
 
Hi,
Just spoke with a guide regarding me possibly adding on. Wanted to know if they had WL avail in April use year. 102 per point:headache:

Anyhoo....we spoke about the "rumors".

Something will happen.....resales prices are killing them. She said that who know when though....It was supposed to take place a few months ago.....She said it could be 2 yrs from now.

She seemed to think the limitations would be regarding the different "collections"...ie DCL, RCI, concierge...etc. Additional fees.

Of course I'm taking this with a grain of salt.....BUT

SHE WAS "SURE" Existing members nothing will change. They are only moving forward.....once a date is announced all new "resale" contracts will be "limited" Of course all the details noone knows. She also mentioned DVC is looking at owners needing to sell.....Maybe they will have their own program??

So I do feel better. I told her how afraid I was to add on...resale or direct because my original contract is resale and I certainly don't want to add on to anything that has "unknowns".

Again she assured me that they are "moving forward"....not looking to "squeeze" current members...."they are concerned about what members think".

Ok....take it with a grain of salt....We had a good laugh about all of the "rumors" on the internet....said she was on last night looking. Then we had a good laugh about the "big elephant"....BLT....how all the bus drivers and boat drivers seemed to already know it was going to be DVC:lmao:
Kerri
 
She also mentioned DVC is looking at owners needing to sell.....Maybe they will have their own program??
I've suspected that might be one of the "changes", and frankly, why not? It would keep those resales "in house" so to speak.
 
I know they can't take away the home resort priority window and don't believe they can take away the ability for other DVC resorts same as other members. IMO, if they take away the non DVC options that may actually be a win for most owners even if they don't know it. Possible positives would include that they force better decisions on purchase (#of points) and usage by taking away the high cost, low value ($$$) options. It may also help those looking to buy in if it's simply taking away non DVC exchange options by reducing cost. The problem I have is that I don't see that alone as being enough to control the market. The only 2 approaches that I can think of and make any sense at all and are potentially drastic enough to have the desired effect are a DVC II with a charge to join or cross over which requires at least 2 to 3 new resorts with at least 1 or 2 being high demand resorts or some type of VIP system giving reservation and cost benefits to those who buy retail over resale.
I agree with the bolded part in your above statement, Dean. Frankly, I'm not sure DVC does so well at the "exchange" thing anyway.

I wonder if the decreased ability to book a Disney Cruise or change a Disney Cruise on points this year is a precursor to some of this change? I can see them eliminating the Disney collection completely. Frankly, why not? Using points for non-DVC options at Disney doesn't benefit Disney in any way.
 
Using points for non-DVC options at Disney doesn't benefit Disney in any way.
There is one way---on the sales floor. John and Jane Q. Public are on tour, and the resorts are lovely, "but we've always really loved the Polynesian." Well, you can use your points there, too!

In the end, that's what all of the "external uses" are really for---to either deal with the "what if we don't want to do <X> every year" objection, or to find that one "dream vacation" that the prospects have always wanted, never done, but could do if only they bought.
 
I've suspected that might be one of the "changes", and frankly, why not? It would keep those resales "in house" so to speak.
Yes...I think it is a good idea for Disney.
I agree with the bolded part in your above statement, Dean. Frankly, I'm not sure DVC does so well at the "exchange" thing anyway.

I wonder if the decreased ability to book a Disney Cruise or change a Disney Cruise on points this year is a precursor to some of this change? I can see them eliminating the Disney collection completely. Frankly, why not? Using points for non-DVC options at Disney doesn't benefit Disney in any way.

There is one way---on the sales floor. John and Jane Q. Public are on tour, and the resorts are lovely, "but we've always really loved the Polynesian." Well, you can use your points there, too!In the end, that's what all of the "external uses" are really for---to either deal with the "what if we don't want to do <X> every year" objection, or to find that one "dream vacation" that the prospects have always wanted, never done, but could do if only they bought.

Exactly....a HUGE selling tool. Even though I love DVC....I like the option of staying at Poly, DCL. I used my points for to partial cruise once and I really liked having that option.
Kerri
 
Do you mean that resale contracts had higher dues at Marriot??? Does it cost Disney more money for us to trade out??? Is this the big deal??

The problem with trade outs is they can't rent the DVC rooms for a decent rate with the current economy. CRO has been offering DVC rooms for 40%-45% off. Then they split the profit with DVC. They gave free upgrades from values or moderates to SSR or OKW in late summer, DVC probably made close to nothing on those. I think that's why they pulled back points availability for the cruises, they were losing money on those. They are kind of stuck because they used trades as a big selling tool.
 
Using points for non-DVC options at Disney doesn't benefit Disney in any way.
Oh, I think it benefits Disney Resorts, or they wouldn't agree to it.

They've set the points per night at a point where they are comfortable with the return they're getting. They're not just giving the rooms away, and they certainly wouldn't allow points stays at a rate they considered a loss.
 
For prospective buyers, I think there are several strategies that make sense right now.
  1. For a prospective buyer who is committed to purchasing direct no matter what, the debate over the rumors is irrelevant.
  2. For a prospective buyer who is considering resale vs. direct, if you believe existing owners will be grandfathered in (which I think is very reasonable...if anything at all happens), consider your options and make whatever decision you think benefits your family. Now is obviously the advantageous time to buy resale.
  3. For a prospective buyer who is considering resale vs. direct and is fearful that the rumors will apply to existing resale owners (i.e. NO grandfathering), the best strategy is to do nothing until mid-January or so. There's no advantage to buying direct now, and there is an advantage to waiting until you know whether there is any shred of truth in the rumors.
Obviously, anyone who believes any of the rumors should carefully consider if, in fact, any of the rumored changes would have any actual practical effect on their DVC ownership. I haven't seen anything yet that would affect me, but I bought DVC to use at DVC resorts.
 
Something will happen.....resales prices are killing them.
I don't buy that. I doubt if more than a small percentage of people taking tours even know a resale marketplace exists. The handful of prudent consumers who tour and then go home and do some research will learn about resale, but I'm sure most people who buy direct have no clue resale exists.

In addition, a pretty high percentage of direct purchasers require financing. Even at the current very high financing rates, many buyers simply don't have any other choice.

The most recent statistics I saw were a couple of years ago, and Disney was financing about 75% of their sales. I suspect that percentage is a little higher today. Unfortunately for both Disney and the purchasers, Disney is now eating many of those loans and taking back the points.

The thing killing DVC direct sales is the economy, and that's not going to get much better any time soon.
 
I don't buy that. I doubt if more than a small percentage of people taking tours even know a resale marketplace exists. The handful of prudent consumers who tour and then go home and do some research will learn about resale, but I'm sure most people who buy direct have no clue resale exists.

In addition, a pretty high percentage of direct purchasers require financing. Even at the current very high financing rates, many buyers simply don't have any other choice.

The most recent statistics I saw were a couple of years ago, and Disney was financing about 75% of their sales. I suspect that percentage is a little higher today. Unfortunately for both Disney and the purchasers, Disney is now eating many of those loans and taking back the points.

The thing killing DVC direct sales is the economy, and that's not going to get much better any time soon.

I was thinking the same thing when I read what the guide said. And it's counter to what has been said in this thread that placing the restrictions won't have much effect on direct sales b/c most purchasers are not that well informed. ie - they wouldn't even know resale existed. I'm sure guides hear it now and then and feel it's a big problem because they are losing a sale but overall I would think the percentages for DVD are small compared to direct.
 
Just recieved an email from *********** with their news. They also have a thread about the resale restrictions. New news posted yesterday - #428 post - is that Disney is not going with the restrictions. Anyways, it is an interesting thread to read. We'll see if anyone here posts about this from their "credible source".
 
Forgot to also mention that the River Country DVC has been confirmed to that person as well.
 
Do you mean that resale contracts had higher dues at Marriot??? Does it cost Disney more money for us to trade out??? Is this the big deal??
Essentially they came out with a new product, a points product. They grandfathered no one. You can buy into the new product or you can get crossover privileges for a fee. That fee was either $600 or $700 depending on numbers if you ONLY bought from Marriott and $1500 or $1900 if anything you were converting was resale. Those that didn't convert haven't lost anything that was contractual. They can still reserve their week just as before. They would have less or little access to new resorts. They kept the same exchange structure through II as before where they pay a yearly II fee and $109 internal exchange fees. If they did convert they get a free II account and free internal exchanges plus a few other benefits including the option of points. Short term it's really not a big deal, long term, it will be difficult for those that don't convert if the program is successful.




Ok...if they create DVC 2....Do you think there will be a 95 dollar fee to say go to Poly DVC for current owners....Or we can't go there at all unless we ahem get strongarmed into "upgrading".
If members decide to pay no extra.....Seems the benefit is a long way off. There is so much DVC to buy now. If they build at GF and Poly....that will take a while to implement.
I can't see a system that gives huge priorities because Disney has always been about....Once your in the bubble....everyone is the same.
Did I sprinkle to much pixie in my coffee today;)

My 1st contract was resale...150pts I then added on 50pts direct. I would hate for my points to be in 2 systems:eek:
Thanks....As you can see I am not business savvy:headache:
Kerri
IF, big IF, they were to come out with a new system there are many variables. I think if this were to happen it's likely existing members wouldn't have much or any access to the new resorts at all if they didn't meet the requirements to be a member of the new system. We'll see, I'm not saying it will happen, only that it could.
 
There's one other way it can be helpful: sowing doubt in the prospect's mind that a resale purchase will ever clear ROFR.
That's correct, that's what I mean by keep them guessing.

I agree with the bolded part in your above statement, Dean. Frankly, I'm not sure DVC does so well at the "exchange" thing anyway.

I wonder if the decreased ability to book a Disney Cruise or change a Disney Cruise on points this year is a precursor to some of this change? I can see them eliminating the Disney collection completely. Frankly, why not? Using points for non-DVC options at Disney doesn't benefit Disney in any way.
Diane, I'm sure, DVC doesn't do well with exchanges. However, the current set up with no membership fee is better for those that just want access or the rare exchange. OTOH, if DVC were to allow direct RCI or II membership with all the usual benefits, it instantly moves to being a good to great trade option.

Exactly....a HUGE selling tool. Even though I love DVC....I like the option of staying at Poly, DCL. I used my points for to partial cruise once and I really liked having that option.
Kerri
IMO, it's only a huge selling tool because they frame it as such. It's just as easy to play up not having the option and make it sound like the best option as well.

For a prospective buyer who is considering resale vs. direct, if you believe existing owners will be grandfathered in (which I think is very reasonable...if anything at all happens), consider your options and make whatever decision you think benefits your family. Now is obviously the advantageous time to buy resale.
Except for anyone in the process of buying where they may get caught and given part of the rumors include a date of 1 Jan, 2011 and that it'd be difficult to close by then, it could be real important. Plus, if this change does happen, it's likely prices will be less after than before so one might have paid too much.
 



















DIS Facebook DIS youtube DIS Instagram DIS Pinterest

Back
Top