I guess I am not explaining myself very well …

. I am well aware that RIV direct is unrestricted. I can book anywhere with my direct RIV points. My point is that for example when someone, let’s say Bill, buys at poly tower direct, he looks forward to many years of booking everywhere in the system. Bill likes to book a few days at RIV every year at the 7month mark. Or at least he likes to try. However, as years pass, it becomes more and more difficult for Bill to book at RIV (substitute any resort with similar resale restrictions here). Because less and less people are trading out of RIV. Why? Not because RIV is the place to be. But because Disney has designed the system to get less flexible over time as the contracts get resold. If less people trade out, less people get to trade in. Unlike GC, where less people trade out because GC is the place to be, less people will trade out of RIV because that’s how Disney wants it. Yes, buyer beware. My point is Disney is making their product less and less flexible— and Disney’s big pitch IS flexibility . (We just sat through the pitch for the umpteenth time on a cruise). Disney is making their product less valuable in doing this.
I’m not interested in “discussing” with someone who pretends I said something I didn’t btw. I’m going with the benefit of doubt that maybe I was confusing. I never said RIV direct was restricted. I said all direct owners over time will have a less flexible product due to dedicated resale not being able to trade out of their resort.
No you are explaining your position perfectly fine.
You position. Is wrong, it is based on a false assumption.
Your “BIll” has no expectation to be able to book anywhere other than poly…
“Buy where you want to stay”
If Bill does he didn’t do enough due diligence,
And didn’t understand going in that his ability to book all resort at 7 months was based on availability… well that’s not Disney fault, or a change in the product..
You also make the assumption that 50 percent of the owners will be resale.
Frankly, I think that is high…. And That assumption is not supported with fact. Unless you can cite data indicating this.
I don’t think you will see any difference in direct members ability to sleep around.
In theory with or without restrictions, the only time an owner of one resort gets to stay at another is when an owner at the first resort banks there points, or uses them at another resort.
So nothing has really changed.
Now, I think Disney didn’t under take restrictions without a plan to capitalize on it….
I think you will see, once there are 4 restricted properties, Disney exercising ROFR far more often. This will Drive the price of the resale market up, to the point were it is a no brainer for people to buy these resort direct from Disney….
In which case your hypothetical 50 percent resale, is more like 20 percent and this is much todo about nothing…
Edit: in one of the other discussion it was just posted that beach club is about 3 million points total, and Riviera is 6.7 million points …
Assuming you are correct and 50 percent on the points are held by resale owners,
Riviera would still be like booking at beach club at 7 months, not easy but not impossible …. Depending on what is going on…what month, etc.
I would say easier at Riviera because how how many people complain about the skyline…
We stayed at BCV last Nov with SSR points so do able