Originally posted by mydogdrew
Disney has increased "sold out" resorts to $89 which is now in-line with SSR. If nothing else, this alone supports the "extra years have little value" position.
I don't necessarily agree with that. I think it has more to do with the finances of selling add-on points acquired through the resale market. For every 150 pt contract DVC picks-up via ROFR, they could end up splitting those points into as many as six 25-point contracts. That means they have to close 6 times (at $400 or so) each time. When you add in other administrative costs, there is a good chance that DVC could actually lose money on some add-ons.
Several months ago DVC changed its processes and became less amenable to finding add-ons for members. My guess is that decision was made for two reasons: 1) to emphasize sales at SSR, and 2) because these small add-ons were just not a profitable business segment for DVC.
In the meantime they came to the realization that there still is significant demand for add-ons at the other resorts, and people were turning to the resale market if necessary. The net result is a more user-friendly add-on process, and an increase in costs to help the bottom line.
I firmly believe that SSR will sell at a discount (like OKW) relative to Epcot resorts once it is sold out.
I don't think there's any question of that. But supply-and-demand plays into that as much as any other factor. SSR will be 4x the size of BCV and 5x the size of VWL. Each resort may have 1% of its points in play on the resale market at any given time, but SSR's 1% will be a lot larger than any of the other properties.