Fully anticipating that while this thread is a hot thread with lots of discussion, I'm preparing myself to never purchasing a LLMP as I'm fully anticipating it being $$$. Fully prepared for it to be $200/person/day....but likely more.
Sadly Disney doesn't seem to give something to us in one hand these days without taking something away with the other.
Fully prepared to make friends with standby lines as I cannot justify what many parks charge for these types of passes and fully anticipating Disney is joining the $$$ game.
I would be shocked if they charged anything close to that much, and expect prices to be roughly in line with
Genie+ as it's a superficially similar product.
If they did charge $200+/day, demand would be low enough that (a) they could make it available on a truly unlimited/walk-up basis, as there wouldn't be enough purchasers to cause problems, and (b) the impact on standby wait times would be minimal. If only 2% of park guests purchased a skip-the-line pass, they wouldn't impact park operations too much.
I think one of the main reasons that they w
on't do this is that many of the physical queues are not built to accommodate standby-only. After the parks re-opened, but before the debut of Genie+, the lack of any skip-the-line option meant that standby lines were quite a bit shorter across the board.
Let's say an attraction can load 1,000 guests per hour. If there's only one queue, then a one-hour wait means that about 1000 guests are in the queue in front of. But if the same ride is allocating 75% of its capacity to a
lightning lane, the same one-hour wait means only 250 people in that queue, and 750 churning through the other lane.
But they have a lot of attractions that can command one-hour waits, and don't have the physical queue space to accommodate them in a single lane. Kilimanjaro Safaris was the worst for this, with queues snaking throughout Africa and even into ugly backstage areas, until they introduced Genie+ and split up capacity again.
I really think park operations in general would be better if they toward more standby, and lightning lane access was a rare but tangible benefit. But they built so much of their physical infrastructure with something like FastPass+ in mind.