Maybe not "slim" but certainly not as good in the Fall as they are for getting two Std. View studios in August. I'd say "better than impossible" but not a certainty. And if you're going to try for 2 studios at the same resort for the same dates, your odds go down from there.
They would help you bank them into 2017, even if past deadline, so you can use them by the next UY. So, say, you get Aug UY....you'd bank them and have to use them by end of July 2018. Sept UY would need to be used by end of Aug 2018.
We have BWV and last year tried to book standard view studio for F&W and waited until two days into 11 month window and it was all booked up. This year, for F&W, I went online first thing the DAY of the 11 month window and I did get two standard view studios. 1BR standard views are available longer as are P/G views....you would have a good shot at getting one and then may have to take P/G view for the other. Problem is that you can't book two rooms at one time. Have to do each separately. But I had success for our Oct 1-5 of this year...booked one for DH and I and other for SIL and BIL. Then they used their AKV points to book two studios for Oct 5-8. We wanted at least one of those to be club level. We had two computers up and ready first thing on the 11 month window...no luck.
Up to 24 one time use Points can be purchased for $15 apiece. They cannot be purchased until the 7-month booking window opens for the dates that they will be used. That negates your home resort booking advantage and pretty much guarantees that you won't be able to get a Std. View BWV studio.
You cannot wait list if the villa is available to book. If it isn't, you still need to have the points on hand to reserve the villa if the wait list comes thru. You cannot purchase OTU points ahead of time. They have to be purchased when the reservation is being made.
Even if there were enough to make this work, any reallocation would almost certainly blow this out of the water. IMO one would need 10-20% extra at each resort, a minimum of 20% extra if targeting standard/value villas. I'd likely to the calculations on the higher cost villas with some extra for each for all 3 resorts if this type of plan were to go forward.
IMO both are important generally those who state the upfront part is small and the dues are the big issue also are discounting the time value of money. Any timeshare purchase needs to be money one can spend or lose without affecting lifestyle. There's a big difference between 120 & 175 points and save for the home resort in some cases, they spend the same.
You seemed to somewhat discounting the importance of the upfront costs and cost differences as many do. My view is what would/could I have done with that money either as the Time Value of Money or Opportunity costs and for this situation it actually lies between these 2 concepts though we can likely use them interchangeable for those that aren't purists. This gets a little complicated when you look at different home resorts, UY, points availability and number of points. Let me explain it this way. Say one were buying SSR 200 pts at $145 a point retail vs $80 a point resale ALL other aspects being the same. Ultimately one owns the same thing with the same inherent value. So a difference of $65 pp or a total difference of $13K. That's wasted money except for the small time perks. If one invested the wasted money at 8% (conservative in my world) it would be worth roughly $225,000 at the end of the SSR RTU, if you're comfortable with a different number, use that for comparison. This is a pure look since I believe the value of the perks would be negligible in this example. My views on this subject incorporate several components: that up front costs need to be sunk and gone in one's mind, that one can afford to throw it away, that BOTH the up front cost and dues should be considered as well as the value and usage. To me that ends up being a situation where one has no consumer debt, pays cash, considers the negatives that might happen both personally and DVC related (reallocations, job loss, illness, etc), ONLY uses at DVCS resorts (not DCL, ABD, etc) and is realistic. New buyers have a tendency to buy X because they've always wanted to stay at that location but couldn't before or similar issues based on emotion not experience/reality.
