jknezek
DIS Veteran
- Joined
- Dec 19, 2016
- Messages
- 2,130
No. I don't assume that they realized the problem when they started Pandora. I assume they would have realized the problem when they started shutting down DHS for TSL and SWE and realizing they were going to have half a park at a time when they hoped to be drawing crowds to WDW as a whole for an exciting new opening in AK. As for balancing out SWE and TSL, two of the best thrill rides in WDW are on the opposite side of DHS. They are the significant balance for the park. Cutting down another experience in DHS, right now, when the park is marginally a half day experience and already turning people off, is just compounding the current woe, but that doesn't necessarily make it a bad idea even if I'm skeptical.
You can open TSL and SWE and then move on to TGMR and the DHS experience will be a marginally better one for the next 18 months, though still half a park, but a worse one for the "grand unveiling" Disney seems to be heading toward. I have to believe Disney has already thought about this and, according to the prevailing rumors, shrugged, knowing that DHS is going to be the fourth park by a massive margin when the 2016, and especially 2017 and 2018, attendance numbers come out, regardless of whether TGMR is open or not. But shutting TGMR just makes DHS even crappier than it currently is, so if they fear that a Pandora influx will swamp AK, then they really need to have as much as possible open elsewhere to draw crowds.
They can't have it both ways, and I'm sure they knew that back when they started shutting stuff down. If they close TGMR it's because they have simply written off DHS until TSL and SWE open. And this is where my skepticism meets the road, because from a business point of view it is not a bad idea. DHS will get it's turn in the sun, likely jumping to 12 million or more visitors for a while after 2019, it's just a matter of patience. If I'm Disney, I'd rather have TGMR open before that happens, so therefore I must be ok writing off the attendance for the next 18 months or so.
I just think it is silly assuming that they are now afraid of something that should have been patently obvious two or more years ago.
You can open TSL and SWE and then move on to TGMR and the DHS experience will be a marginally better one for the next 18 months, though still half a park, but a worse one for the "grand unveiling" Disney seems to be heading toward. I have to believe Disney has already thought about this and, according to the prevailing rumors, shrugged, knowing that DHS is going to be the fourth park by a massive margin when the 2016, and especially 2017 and 2018, attendance numbers come out, regardless of whether TGMR is open or not. But shutting TGMR just makes DHS even crappier than it currently is, so if they fear that a Pandora influx will swamp AK, then they really need to have as much as possible open elsewhere to draw crowds.
They can't have it both ways, and I'm sure they knew that back when they started shutting stuff down. If they close TGMR it's because they have simply written off DHS until TSL and SWE open. And this is where my skepticism meets the road, because from a business point of view it is not a bad idea. DHS will get it's turn in the sun, likely jumping to 12 million or more visitors for a while after 2019, it's just a matter of patience. If I'm Disney, I'd rather have TGMR open before that happens, so therefore I must be ok writing off the attendance for the next 18 months or so.
I just think it is silly assuming that they are now afraid of something that should have been patently obvious two or more years ago.