MADE AN OFFER..DOES THIS SEEM REASONABLE?

[3kidz4dis]

Are you saying a lower price doesn’t have a higher chance of being taken than higher one?

It absolutely does. There are no guarantees with ROFR. Right now, things are passing at a lower rate so it is a a good time to gamble and try. No question.

But 50 point contracts are not as easy to find and in the end, the OP is paying an extra $1k potentially for what works for them..that would have been spent to have to buy more points in MFs alone.

I also took into consideration that fact that it was stacked.. 100 points available is probably $1,000. I was leaning toward passing but my husband said to go for it due to the lack of our use year and small contracts out there

 

[brinkley07]

C'mon, Sandi are we really going to claim the ROFR card right now in this current environment?

Everyone has different motivations. I have a friend who just added a small number of points direct through Disney to avoid ROFR. The increased cost was worth it to her to avoid the headache. ROFR doesn't really follow a 100% predictable pattern because if it did there wouldn't be people talking about if someone got a good deal or any question of what to offer to pass. If the OP was happy with the UY and price to get exactly what they want then the extra was worth it.

 

[tom1944]

Another no to my offer on a BLT contract. Seems while some have been fortunate to get contracts at a price between $130-135 per point (good for them) I cannot seem to get any for less than $150.

We may make an offer for Saratoga since the savings would be substantial and we will generally not book at 11 months anyway.

I could use that savings for some direct points later on.

 

[sethschroeder]

I would think fidelities prices have a huge percentage of ROFR's

Disney doesn't pull that much back really. So I guess overpay if you want but telling it how it is.

 

[sethschroeder]

I currently have a contract being drawn up for 100 SSR points for $90 a point.

This is a great deal.

Like its crazy to think "well most of what fidelity does gets taken back". Ummmm no a ton of people on this forum have bought from them with no issue. If it gets bought back thats sort of a good thing it means you got an accepted offer so low Disney wants to take the contract at that point.

If you think Fidelity is to low then just offer more than they ask.... then you will get the contract for the bare minimum that you think will pass ROFR.

 

[sethschroeder]

Another no to my offer on a BLT contract.

If you really want BLT and are fine waiting. Give it until May as by then the doubters will realize the economy is not doing great.

 

[Stank]

Yeah, BLT has been falling hard. We’ll be sub-$100 in the next 12-18 months. ROFR is a paper tiger. All major corporations are slashing discretionary spending. Disney has multiple DVCs coming online adding to their existing active Direct. The last thing they’ll want is speculating with ROFR flips. I think the ROFR floor is more like a trap door. In a weak economy, it’ll be there as a bluff and it’ll pop up randomly to scare buyers, give confidence to sellers, and have brokers scoff at “lowball” offers being below their time.

Who knows, ROFR might be like 2020 where it disappears altogether. The confluence of Disney’s
comedy of errors and the deteriorating economy will make DVC prices fall to levels you couldn’t dream of.

Let’s see: everyday I read of 7-12% layoffs at a new major company. Disney alienating large segments of their customer base with their political and social moves. DVC/park loyalists souring on the overall product. Social media “influencers” becoming stale in an over-saturated bubble. Marvel and Star Wars movies/spin-offs have exhausted all the low-hanging fruit. I watch the new Star Wars series and although I watch it I ask myself why? How far off the beaten path do people go—we’re at like the 8th derivative storyline.

What exactly is the sales pitch for DVC in a deep recession? Spend $50,000 up front for vacations you’ll break even on in a dozen years? At 12% interest, never? I love DVC, but prices are set by the marginal buyer. Anytime you’re selling something in tough times that people don’t have to own—it makes for a tough sale.

I also don’t buy into inflation and hotel prices going up. Just because Contemporary was $190/night 25 years ago and it’s $900 today doesn’t mean 25 years from now it’ll be $5000. It doesn’t work that way. Many families can swing $8-10k for that dream Disney vacation. Once you get above that, it becomes completely impractical. You get a sharp demand decay. You can argue in 1995 that $190 was high and any thought of $900 would be a no-way. But, saving $10k was doable in 1995 and today. In 2050, I don’t think the average Contemporary guest would be paying $30k for their vacation. The substitutions are far too many. You can justify paying a few thousand bucks more to stay on property, but not tens of thousands more in 2050z

 

[AnnaKristoff2013]

Another no to my offer on a BLT contract. Seems while some have been fortunate to get contracts at a price between $130-135 per point (good for them) I cannot seem to get any for less than $150.

We may make an offer for Saratoga since the savings would be substantial and we will generally not book at 11 months anyway.

I could use that savings for some direct points later on.

I really like to stay at BLT. I also really like 1 bedroom units lake view units. I have come to the conclusion that I do not need to own at BLT to get what I want, which is why I went with SSR.

 

[Stank]

I really like to stay at BLT. I also really like 1 bedroom units lake view units. I have come to the conclusion that I do not need to own at BLT to get what I want, which is why I went with SSR.

Yep, BLT is great. Many don’t like it, but I’m like…Magic Kingdom is grueling to get to. Park, take tram, walk to TTC security, take boat/monorail…it’s like a 45 minute affair. And that in reverse after 12+ hours in a theme park? The worst.

Or I could walk 7-8 minutes to my room once I exit the park. If you’re an avid MK fan, BLT is way worth it for the stay. Epcot is an easy trip, too.

 

[MarkNC2Disney]

I really like to stay at BLT. I also really like 1 bedroom units lake view units. I have come to the conclusion that I do not need to own at BLT to get what I want, which is why I went with SSR.

Yup. I’m not brave enough to own at a resort I don’t want to stay at (SSR), but this is undoubtedly true and likely something you only realize post-purchase with experience. Heck, if you travel during the summer because you have young kids, you can stay in nearly any accommodation (besides the obvious ones).

 

[tom1944]

I really like to stay at BLT. I also really like 1 bedroom units lake view units. I have come to the conclusion that I do not need to own at BLT to get what I want, which is why I went with SSR.

I may be doing the same.