Keeping an eye on Tropical Weather 2024

[lovethattink]

Denis and Mike’s Weather Page both posted about it today. Very low chance of it hitting west coat of Florida. But keeping an eye on it.

 

[MICKIMINI]

Nicole? Did he time travel back to ‘22 or forward to ‘28?

Wrong name. Don't want to be at WDW for any storm with any name!

 

[MICKIMINI]

It’s Nadine not Nicole

Yup I got it wrong. @gottaluvPluto already corrected me so no need to tell me again

 

[hertamaniac]

Not again.

 

[Teamubr]

Not again.

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No need to panic. All early indications are this will get pushed north and will miss the continental US. We should know by mid-week.

The other "possibility" in the Caribbean should head west into Mexico.

j

 

[hertamaniac]

No need to panic. All early indications are this will get pushed north and will miss the continental US. We should know by mid-week.

The other "possibility" in the Caribbean should head west into Mexico.

j

I didn't panic at the onset of Helene or Milton, yet they rapidly intensified and hit on either side of me while damaging my property/home. So, I think given my experiences of living here for 20 years, somewhat validates my concerns. I've seen plenty of no-threat early indications morph into too many major hurricanes landing on Fl.

I do hope your projection(s) are correct.

 

[CarolynFH]

Realistic concern does not equal panic.

 

[fla4fun]

Not again.

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View attachment 903292

What I am seeing on the websites I use is that this will turn and remain a fish storm. This is the closest I see it coming towards Florida before the turn:


That small low near Cuba dissipates afterwards:



and the third low forming where Helene and Milton did becomes a storm for Central America:


Hopefully it stays that way, but when looking as far out as the 23rd or 27th, a lot can change, We just have to keep an eye on it.

 

[bdrex28]

What I am seeing on the websites I use is that this will turn and remain a fish storm. This is the closest I see it coming towards Florida before the turn:
View attachment 903305

That small low near Cuba dissipates afterwards:

View attachment 903308

and the third low forming where Helene and Milton did becomes a storm for Central America:
View attachment 903306

Hopefully it stays that way, but when looking as far out as the 23rd or 27th, a lot can change, We just have to keep an eye on it.

We head in to WDW on Oct 29-Nov 3. I'm hopeful these stay away, not only for my own selfish reasons, but for all the people of the United States that were so affected by Helene and Milton.

Now if a cold front wants to hit, I'm all for that!!!

 

[fla4fun]

I would love a cold front! I evacuated to northern Georgia and it was 45 degrees when I left to return home. It felt so nice, although I did need my jacket while loading the car.

 

[asc]

Realistic concern does not equal panic.

And rule 7.

 

[lovethattink]

All quiet for about a week. Then it’s watch and see again. But water is cooler. There is more shearing. And those should help.

 

[leebee]

Fingers crossed... I arrive on the 9th. I managed to be at WDW for Nicole, and again this year for the tropical storm during the first week of August. I think I've had my share of hurricane season weather!

 

[lovethattink]

Keeping eye on 97L, soon to be Rafael. At this point looks to be weak with increased chance of rain starting Tuesday.

 

[lovethattink]

 

[fla4fun]

Our local news said that the combination of a cold front and a ridge of high pressure will steer the storm to the west, away from the Florida peninsula. They also said it will not be a hurricane at landfall. They are calling for a 40% chance of rain Wednesday and 50% on Thursday, which is not bad. I haven’t had any rain since Milton, so my yard is crunchy. I hope they are correct about the storm.

 

[Mombaker]

I’m unsure if this has been mentioned, but theeyewall.com is a great no hype resource for hurricane info or weather watch. He covers impacts for locations all over, but I’ve found his info while watching gulf storms to be particularly helpful and informative.

 

[fla4fun]

That Hurricane Rafael has been all over the place! I have never seen a path change so drastically and so often. It still appears to be avoiding Florida though, at least for now.

 

[CarolynFH]

That Hurricane Rafael has been all over the place! I have never seen a path change so drastically and so often. It still appears to be avoiding Florida though, at least for now.

I live on the Gulf Coast, so I watch everything on the National Hurricane Center's website. Rafael has been and continues to be very interesting! However, if I were in Florida or planning to take a Caribbean cruise in the next week or two, I'd be watching the yellow blob that's currently over Haiti and the Dominican Republic. It will mean rain and rough seas, no matter what it ends up as.

 

[Simba's Mom]

I also live along the Gulf Coast, and every year we prepare a whole Hurricane kit-food that doesn't need refrigeration, extra meds, etc. The other day my coworker was eating her "Hurricane tuna", because she said she figured hurricane season was about over. Apparently Rafael didn't get that memo. He's been everywhere!