lugnut33
DIS Veteran
- Joined
- Jan 17, 2008
- Messages
- 7,456
Just got this off the National Weather Service forecast for Orlando:
Saturday: A chance of rain showers, snow showers, and sleet before 1pm. Cloudy, with a high near 43
. North northwest wind between 10 and 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
This is from the forecast discussion from the NWS:
CLOSE
EXAMINATION OF MODEL RAOBS DOES INDICATE SOME POTENTIAL FOR SOME
MIXED P-TYPE AS TEMP PROFILE GOES ISOTHERMAL (BTWN 0C AND 1C) WITH
SOME POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL (EVAPORATIVE) COOLING AS PRECIP
FALLING OUT OF SATURATED LYR FALLS INTO THE DEEPENING COLD POST-
FRONTAL AIR MASS. ASSUMING THE SMALL CONDITIONAL CHC...SEEMS SLEET
OR GRAUPEL WOULD BE MORE LKLY THAN WET FLAKES GIVEN THE TEMP PROFILE.
PROBABLY LIMITED TO A 4-6 HR WINDOW ACROSS THE NRN HALF CWA. BLYR
SHOULD BE TOO WARM FARTHER SOUTH SAT AFTN. SO...HAVE DECIDED TO GO
WITH RARE FCST OF SLGT CHC WINTER PRECIP. HAVE USED VERBIAGE TO
INDICATE -RA AS PRIMARY P-TYPE WITH SMALL PSBLTY FOR FROZEN PRECIP
MIXING IN...STARTING 09Z-12Z LAKE/VOLUSIA ***...12Z-15Z SOUTH TO
ORLANDO-COCOA AND 15Z OR SO DOWN THRU OSCEOLA/SRN BREVARD.
LIGHT FROZEN PRECIP LAST OCCURRED IN ECFL IN JANUARY 2003, AND ALSO
OCCURED IN NOVEMBER 2006 AND JANUARY 2008.
CAN`T EMPHAZSIZE ENOUGH JUST HOW NASTY OF A DAY SATURDAY WILL BE
WITH BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS...OVC SKIES AND TEMPS STRUGGLING TO RISE
TWD MAXES ONLY IN THE LOWER AND MID 40S ACROSS ALL BUT THE FAR SRN
CWA.
Saturday: A chance of rain showers, snow showers, and sleet before 1pm. Cloudy, with a high near 43
. North northwest wind between 10 and 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.This is from the forecast discussion from the NWS:
CLOSE
EXAMINATION OF MODEL RAOBS DOES INDICATE SOME POTENTIAL FOR SOME
MIXED P-TYPE AS TEMP PROFILE GOES ISOTHERMAL (BTWN 0C AND 1C) WITH
SOME POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL (EVAPORATIVE) COOLING AS PRECIP
FALLING OUT OF SATURATED LYR FALLS INTO THE DEEPENING COLD POST-
FRONTAL AIR MASS. ASSUMING THE SMALL CONDITIONAL CHC...SEEMS SLEET
OR GRAUPEL WOULD BE MORE LKLY THAN WET FLAKES GIVEN THE TEMP PROFILE.
PROBABLY LIMITED TO A 4-6 HR WINDOW ACROSS THE NRN HALF CWA. BLYR
SHOULD BE TOO WARM FARTHER SOUTH SAT AFTN. SO...HAVE DECIDED TO GO
WITH RARE FCST OF SLGT CHC WINTER PRECIP. HAVE USED VERBIAGE TO
INDICATE -RA AS PRIMARY P-TYPE WITH SMALL PSBLTY FOR FROZEN PRECIP
MIXING IN...STARTING 09Z-12Z LAKE/VOLUSIA ***...12Z-15Z SOUTH TO
ORLANDO-COCOA AND 15Z OR SO DOWN THRU OSCEOLA/SRN BREVARD.
LIGHT FROZEN PRECIP LAST OCCURRED IN ECFL IN JANUARY 2003, AND ALSO
OCCURED IN NOVEMBER 2006 AND JANUARY 2008.
CAN`T EMPHAZSIZE ENOUGH JUST HOW NASTY OF A DAY SATURDAY WILL BE
WITH BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS...OVC SKIES AND TEMPS STRUGGLING TO RISE
TWD MAXES ONLY IN THE LOWER AND MID 40S ACROSS ALL BUT THE FAR SRN
CWA.
Of course, we've had quite a bit up here in PA so far this winter, so it's nothing new for us!
