Is there any chance Disney adds incentives between now and the end of the April if sales really slow down?
I just doubt the market being down 1% for the year after back to back 20%+ years is going to make much of a difference….I'd suspect many potential buyers are suffering from a (negative) "wealth effect"
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/w/wealtheffect.asp
Unless the stock market recovers in the next few weeks (lots of time for it to go either way till April 28), I would say it has to better incentives, or they will have a terrible summer of sales.
DVC is discretionary spending. If food/gas/etc/ prices go up, I do think that DVC sales will take a sizable hit, both direct and resale. And then the question becomes, Does DVD try to preserve the premium status of DVC direct by raising prices along with inflation...or is unsold inventory so large (and will the delta between direct and resale become so great) that DVD will need to start discounting with better incentives. My guess is that the second is more likely, especially with so many resorts still with active inventory and Lakeview on the way. Add in, with inflation, more owners selling off contracts because the overall cost of a DVC vacation (plane fare, park tickets, dining, etc.) is too great during a period of high grocery and gas prices. Sadly, I think we'll figure out the answer to this in six to twelve months.I just doubt the market being down 1% for the year after back to back 20%+ years is going to make much of a difference….
I'm assuming Lakeshore Lodge will go on sale next year?DVC is discretionary spending. If food/gas/etc/ prices go up, I do think that DVC sales will take a sizable hit, both direct and resale. And then the question becomes, Does DVD try to preserve the premium status of DVC direct by raising prices along with inflation...or is unsold inventory so large (and will the delta between direct and resale become so great) that DVD will need to start discounting with better incentives. My guess is that the second is more likely, especially with so many resorts still with active inventory and Lakeview on the way. Add in, with inflation, more owners selling off contracts because the overall cost of a DVC vacation (plane fare, park tickets, dining, etc.) is too great during a period of high grocery and gas prices. Sadly, I think we'll figure out the answer to this in six to twelve months.
Not until 2027 I believeI'm assuming Lakeshore Lodge will go on sale next year?
They already went up…. we saw 9% inflation for 2ish years… sales didn’t take a massive hit to where DVC direct and resale prices came crashing down…we have 3-4% inflation now…. it’s going to take a LOT more to move prices….DVC is discretionary spending. If food/gas/etc/ prices go up, I do think that DVC sales will take a sizable hit, both direct and resale. And then the question becomes, Does DVD try to preserve the premium status of DVC direct by raising prices along with inflation...or is unsold inventory so large (and will the delta between direct and resale become so great) that DVD will need to start discounting with better incentives. My guess is that the second is more likely, especially with so many resorts still with active inventory and Lakeview on the way. Add in, with inflation, more owners selling off contracts because the overall cost of a DVC vacation (plane fare, park tickets, dining, etc.) is too great during a period of high grocery and gas prices. Sadly, I think we'll figure out the answer to this in six to twelve months.
Maybe they'll keep doing it for AKV because they're buying more aggressively than anywhere else. Right now with all the incentives it comes out to $199 ppIf they do another special firesale with actually decent prices (like they did for OKW last year) for somewhere like AKV or BLT I could be convinced to flip my resale there for direct points. I just don't see it happening anywhere other than OKW. They get to flip the 2042 ROFR contracts to 2057 direct every time they do that and it's quite unique
They will probably have it for sale as a "deal", but the prices won't be like they were for the OKW sale. It got down to $95 per point I believe if you got enough points during the sale we are referencing. I would happily be proven wrong though!Maybe they'll keep doing it for AKV because they're buying more aggressively than anywhere else. Right now with all the incentives it comes out to $199 pp
Damn what a steal for directThey will probably have it for sale as a "deal", but the prices won't be like they were for the OKW sale. It got down to $95 per point I believe if you got enough points during the sale we are referencing. I would happily be proven wrong though!
I think that was around the 1,000 point level though...Damn what a steal for direct
Compared to OKW(e) resale? While breaking it up into smaller contracts? No…. It was a bargain if you could find a way to come up with the 100k.I think that was around the 1,000 point level though...
and it would still be overpaying compared to resale...
I thought about having Disney divide it up into four contracts ($250 extra for each additional contract) and then selling off 3 x 250pts. I think I would've broken even--or pretty close--with one remaining 250pt contract that I kept at around $95 per point. But it would've been a huge hassle. I sorta suspect some people did do that though.Too rich for me![]()