Hurricane at Disney over Columbus Day Weekend?

[anniemae]

I hear you OP, we have been in Disney twice when hurricanes were spinning around and threatening to hit Orlando. It's not fun, and the forecasts change daily, sometimes hourly.

 

[Selket]

Thank you for the correction. Being retired I often loose track of dates.

With your clarification I'd say that the current storm will be long gone by Columbus Day. Of course something else might come up. Fortunately we are approaching the end of the hurricane season.

Haha! I wouldn't know except I went back to work after being a stay at home mom for years and I have Columbus Day off so it's definitely on my mind. Hopefully this storm will stay far enough off the coast that no one is bothered by it.

 

[AngiTN]

Latest word this morning is FL is totally out of it's path. NC/SC may need to be on the lookout in about a week

 

[LMO429]

Latest word this morning is FL is totally out of it's path. NC/SC may need to be on the lookout in about a week

Hope this is true I know there is nothing anyone can do but I'm totally stressing the weather next week

 

[bumbershoot]

Latest word this morning is FL is totally out of it's path. NC/SC may need to be on the lookout in about a week

Which my NC friends totally called two days ago because that's what keeps happening to them.

 

[RustManFan]

We were tent camping at FW when Hurricane Andrew pretty much wiped out Homestead and vicinity but there was no impact on WDW at all. In fact we had the best and sunniest weather of our trip for our day at Epcot. All the cheap motels around Orlando were full of coastal evacuees I understand...

 

[FatOldHillbillie]

Anyone got a weather person in the family that can tell us what Matthew may end up doing?

 

[AngiTN]

If they do I hope you ask them for a lottery number so you can win millions of dollars

 

[Missyrose]

Anyone got a weather person in the family that can tell us what Matthew may end up doing?

This should help clarify for you why no one has the info you're looking for.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news...r-trust-in-the-hurricane-cone-of-uncertainty/

 

[AngiTN]

Great article. And if this doesn't show why no one can answer the question, nothing does

 

[OKW Lover]

Anyone got a weather person in the family that can tell us what Matthew may end up doing?

10 days away? No, nobody knows that. Your best source for watching any tropical storm is the National Hurricane Center. Look there for factual, non-hype info on the storm. Don't fall for the gloom and doom headlines that many commercial sites use to keep you tuned in.

 

[xipotec]

WDW does not close for mild Hurricanes unless its a direct hit....chances of that are slim....

I think WDW has only closed for weather like 4 times.....

 

[Zim]

Hahaha I know it's silly because weather changes hourly, but I do follow it the whole week before a trip like a psychotic fangirl. Looks good for Florida now, but my DD flies out of NC and I'm flying out Baltimore and both look to be impacted. So now I will be stalking Matthew for our flights, versus the actual vacation!

In other news, I do like these hurricane threads if for no other reason than to see all the other tickers with the same arrival time!! I'm so excited!!

 

[MakiraMarlena]

flying Thursday night to Orlando out of DC. Matthew looks very bad for Jamaica, Cuba and the Bahamas but too early to tell yet about Florida or DC. If he stays on his current course, he'll miss Florida.

 

[RedSox68]

Right now the weather map is showing their long projected path to reach Florida by Wednesday, 10/5 and then it may just be a tropical storm.

 

[AngiTN]

Right now the weather map is showing their long projected path to reach Florida by Wednesday, 10/5 and then it may just be a tropical storm.

Which map? The ones I saw on TV this morning show it in the Atlantic on Wednesday. There is still not an agreement on where in the Atlantic but all of them showed it over water, not land.

 

[RedSox68]

Which map? The ones I saw on TV this morning show it in the Atlantic on Wednesday. There is still not an agreement on where in the Atlantic but all of them showed it over water, not land.

This was 8 a.m. this morning and shown on the Today show: https://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/atlantic/2016/Tropical-Storm-Matthew?map=5day

But I think it is ridiculous to think they will know five days from now where the hurricane will choose to turn.

And we have learned from great experience here in the Northeast that the European models are a joke -- get our winter forecasts wrong every time LOL

 

[AngiTN]

This was 8 a.m. this morning and shown on the Today show: https://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/atlantic/2016/Tropical-Storm-Matthew?map=5day

But I think it is ridiculous to think they will know five days from now where the hurricane will choose to turn.

What I heard on the Today Show said they indeed do not have any idea where it will be come Wednesday. The 2 models they discussed didn't even agree on how far North it will reach by then.
And from what I see in that link, it is over the Atlantic, not FL. I guess it does reach FL as in it's in the Atlantic, east of FL peninsula.

 

[GillianP1301]

The trend is showing Matthew staying east of Florida and passing mid next week. You get more certainty with TS paths 3 days out, so the next 3 days or so will be very telling on what's going to happen. Regardless of where it makes landfall in the US (if it does), it Florida, it will be history by the time Oct 9th rolls around.

*disclaimer, I'm not a meteorologist nor a magician. We always travel in late August/early September, so for the past 5 years I have been watching how these storms develop and how the models predict, it's rather interesting. So I'm definitely a full fledged armchair weather person.

I recommend following Denis Phillips from ABC news in Tampa on FB and/or Mike's Weather page, also on FB. Both are very thorough in their analysis, IMO, and Denis in particular will straight out tell you when things are more uncertain than certain.

 

[RedSox68]

What I heard on the Today Show said they indeed do not have any idea where it will be come Wednesday. The 2 models they discussed didn't even agree on how far North it will reach by then.
And from what I see in that link, it is over the Atlantic, not FL. I guess it does reach FL as in it's in the Atlantic, east of FL peninsula.

As long as it doesn't get any further north for our path to or from Bermuda