When does value season begin for deluxes?
I think it may be after July 4th, and if you are checking in prior to that, you may be paying a higher rate for the entire trip. Disney will not tell you that the rate is lower for part of the trip, rather they will charge you the rate you check in with for the entire trip. Sometimes this works to your advantage, sometimes it does not.
Check into this.
You will love the Wilderness Lodge, and the woods view is great!
In our woods view room, we watched an otter family every morning playing in the pond right outside our room. We also were able to see the MK fireworks from our 5th floor balcony. The monorail also glides by. The WL woods view is pure magic!
I would not even consider booking a standard, and hoping for an upgrade during the 4th of July week. It is an extremely busy time at WDW.
Enjoy the WL, and try out the Mouseboats. It is great cruising by the castle with the wind in your hair!