I was thinking Poly would be wrapping up around 2027 so the focus could be on LSL and they could make another resort opening announcement around 2028. It's definitely time to ramp up the incentives there. I'm on the cusp of adding on right now, but was really looking for a little bit more...Bring back the easy developer credit for $1k -$1.5k on top of something like the $500 Disney+ credit. IDK. The welcome weeks incentives are a good start though.I'd say the prices on the Cabins were decent for Welcome Home Weeks. But it seems nothing it going to move the needle on Cabin sales. Also, I can't imagine that a sell-out date of summer 2028 is what DVD was hoping for with Poly Tower. It'll be interesting to see what the next round of incentives are, especially as I think the current political problems (concerning Kimmel) are going to cause lower engagement with (and purchasing from) Disney overall in the months ahead.
It's going to be interesting to see what effects recent changes have on DVC. There's been a lot going on; some involving Disney and some not involving Disney but just involving Florida, and I'm wondering if it is affecting DVC sales or not.Big news to me is Riviera is selling at a rate that will have it sold out by the time the new resort will be ready for sale. Do not believe the Kimmel thing will have any impact on DVC sales. He just was not that popular, TV ratings of 0.16. In a couple of months this will be a forgotten story.
How many CFW points need to be sold before declaration #2?
I was thinking Poly would be wrapping up around 2027 so the focus could be on LSL and they could make another resort opening announcement around 2028. It's definitely time to ramp up the incentives there. I'm on the cusp of adding on right now, but was really looking for a little bit more...Bring back the easy developer credit for $1k -$1.5k on top of something like the $500 Disney+ credit. IDK. The welcome weeks incentives are a good start though.
I just signed a contract at POLY, and there's a good number of people like me who aren't really thinking about restrictions as much as just wanting to own where we'd really want to stay. Our guide a couple of years back tried to entice us over to RIV with the great pricing incentives, but I really didn't hesitate to decide upon GFV - it was where I knew I'd be happy to stay year after year.Lastly, it's worth pointing out that PIT prices are about 10% higher than RIV, but PIT is still selling 30% more points per month... Restrictions do matter (a lot) even when it comes to how much pricing power the developer has. It's hard to see how developer prices can continue to increase in a world where DVD sells only restricted resorts that continually depreciate on the resale market...
I just signed a contract at POLY, and there's a good number of people like me who aren't really thinking about restrictions as much as just wanting to own where we'd really want to stay. Our guide a couple of years back tried to entice us over to RIV with the great pricing incentives, but I really didn't hesitate to decide upon GFV - it was where I knew I'd be happy to stay year after year.
I think resorts with restrictions will be great ways for price-conscious buyers to get introduced to the world of DVC; and maybe Disney is banking on the addonitis bug to influence those buyers to buy later at a different restricted resort, or buy direct into the palmetto trust.
Now that I have a really good chunk of direct points, I'm pretty much with you here. I see no benefit right now to buying more direct points when resale points can be bought so much cheaper and, if you find a good deal, used for as long as you want and likely sold without taking much loss, if any. Resale is a great way to get more points without paying the upfront price tag and sunk costs (especially with restricted resorts). Because Poly isn't restricted and will likely be the last resort with active sales to sell without the full-blown resale restrictions, I could see an argument for buying direct over resale there in case you want more points to be used at RIV/CFW/VDH and new resorts going forward.However, I would then ask those with existing DVC-Y status (since it sounds you are already DVC-Y due to a prior VGF direct purchase) - why buy anything direct going forward? If you just want points to stay at that one resort year after year after year, then just buy PVB resale (which actually gives you access to 14 resorts) or even RIV resale (and save 50% vs direct) if that's where your heart was.
Without a doubt, there are people who might be interested in a direct purchase without the resale restrictions. But, if those resale restrictions didn't exist, there would also be buyers who have bought direct and would have just waited for resale. I bought all my direct points at RIV - if I could have gotten RIV resale at, say, $150/point and those resale points could be used anywhere, I might have bought 150 points direct and picked up whatever else I wanted resale. But, because I want direct points that can be used at anywhere and going forward with new resorts, I decided to open up my wallet.Regardless of that, there seems to be not an insignificant group of (potential) direct buyers who care about resale values. They may buy direct if the price difference vs resale is not "too big" either to more easily justify the purchase or reassure themselves about a potentially smaller capital loss in the event of a sale. RIV and PIT and both very high end "Deluxe" resorts in highly desirable locations. That fact that the latter sells for 10% more in price and also 30% more in quantity implies it's much more desirable, and it's probably not due to location or amenities. It's most likely attributable to that added resale restriction that makes RIV a much less effective timeshare to a subsequent buyer, and thus also worth much less on the resale market.
I agree with you often, and it’s true again here.Some people don't care about the restrictions and will buy RIV or Poly because that's where they want to stay year after year.
However, I would then ask those with existing DVC-Y status (since it sounds you are already DVC-Y due to a prior VGF direct purchase) - why buy anything direct going forward? If you just want points to stay at that one resort year after year after year, then just buy PVB resale (which actually gives you access to 14 resorts) or even RIV resale (and save 50% vs direct) if that's where your heart was.
Regardless of that, there seems to be not an insignificant group of (potential) direct buyers who care about resale values. They may buy direct if the price difference vs resale is not "too big" either to more easily justify the purchase or reassure themselves about a potentially smaller capital loss in the event of a sale. RIV and PIT and both very high end "Deluxe" resorts in highly desirable locations. That fact that the latter sells for 10% more in price and also 30% more in quantity implies it's much more desirable, and it's probably not due to location or amenities. It's most likely attributable to that added resale restriction that makes RIV a much less effective timeshare to a subsequent buyer, and thus also worth much less on the resale market.
Good question. I am still in my 10-day recission period, and the idea of buying resale instead did briefly cross my mind. But my reasoning for buying direct with the Poly contract is muti-fold:However, I would then ask those with existing DVC-Y status (since it sounds you are already DVC-Y due to a prior VGF direct purchase) - why buy anything direct going forward? If you just want points to stay at that one resort year after year after year, then just buy PVB resale (which actually gives you access to 14 resorts) or even RIV resale (and save 50% vs direct) if that's where your heart was.