Difficult to be sure, but what you write is plausible, I think.
The problem is DVC won't increase the first two weeks of December because (I think) a lot of fixed weeks have been sold for those dates. If they increase those more, then they have to use their own points to compensate all owners who keep their weeks. This will make them lose money.
Do they have to change points/seasons at all resorts the same? If I understand correctly, the majority of the resorts with the worst problems do not have any FW available…so you could rebalance at crescent lake and VGC even if you can’t rebalance at VGF and VDH, right?
I agree with the last part.
I think what Disney really doesn’t want is anything that feels like an asset manager coming in and applying private equity like techniques to DVC at a large scale.
I do think this is the biggest problem (by far)— but also, and I can’t believe this hasn’t been discussed but, does anybody know if DVC can make all rentals (or at least 3rd party rentals) go through DVC? Like basically set up their own version where you can trade in your points or directly match you with owners and take the broker cut?
That fruit is lying on the ground, just waiting to be picked up.
It’s been on the ground so long it’s rotting and creating quite the miasma.
So what constitutes a pattern?
If I need to rent my points because college tuition doesn’t allow for much of a travel budget for 8 years (over 2 kids)…. over a 40-50 year contract that means that ~80% of the time it was for personal use.
To me, this is the hardest edge case…but it’s why I am barking up the tree or stopping spec renting and renting the most profitable units in particular. If you can’t travel for 5 years and want to transfer your points (which definitionally are going to other owners) at $20/pt (or inflation adjusted equivalent) that seems super reasonable. Or booking some of the less loved but still worth more than $18/pt/night reservations inside of 7mo… only the people truly needing to maximize profit need to spec rent or book very in demand categories.
I would say renting a majority of your points out 8 years in a row would constitute a pattern....especially due to a situation you know is coming. But if explained that you have kids in college for 8 years and can't travel to WDW I could see them being okay with that. But I could also see them NOT being okay with renting your points out that many years in a row.
Yes, it could go either way, but speaking purely as a member, somebody transferring/renting at 2x dues or less is way more sympathetic than somebody renting at 4-5x dues with spec rentals.
I get where you are coming from, but they don’t have the staff to be dealing with thousands of letters that need to go to “renting court” each year.
It’s an increased expense and potential litigation that Disney doesn’t need to assume.
They actually don’t need to do that. An algorithm could trigger an automatically generated letter and they can shut off the people from the booking site who don’t submit standardized paperwork establishing the rentals weren’t for profit. There would still be some cost to review, but they can shut people off who violate the T&Cs without winning in court first.
How would Disney know if you are renting to friends and family or complete strangers?
Certainly not by using the last name. Me and my wife we don’t share the same last name. Only some of my children do.
I do think that whatever they do should take into account non-traditional family structures, naming conventions, etc., which will add more complexity to enforcement.
I would think they are in his friends and family list? Pretty easy to cross reference. And I am guessing most members who are renting aren't adding the people they rent to to their friends and family list.
Frankly, I wouldn’t be surprised at all if commercial renters were willing to link guests as friends and family, especially if the linked account doesn’t go to the parks often.
Except let’s be fair. While people have thrown out situations that they don’t believe meshes with the commercial purpose clause of the contract, just as many suggestions have been thrown around that pretty much makes all rentals commercial.
No spec renting, regardless of how many, no use of third party, no making a profit, no renting high demand rooms, etc.
I’m still haven’t heard any explanation as to why anybody would need to spec rent other than for a commercial purpose. It’s not hard to do a normal on demand rental or even after 7mo rental and still cover your costs. Similar situation for high demand rooms— I would hope we can all agree that owners (and perhaps friends and family) should get first crack at room use before someone trying to rent them out, and I don’t understand why anybody who owns for personal use would object to that. Restricting rentals to 9m at home resort and 6m SAP would dramatically hamper the worst commerical actors without making it hard for owners to rent when they need to.
So, while no one has said renting should be stopped, some of the rules people want to see would make it difficult for the average owner to rent…in my book, that is pretty close to the same thing.
I am still wondering what examples of renting those who want changes do see as okay with an explanation of how those would not be commercial.
I personally think renting what’s still available at 9 (home)/6 (SAP) months would give owners the ability to rent/transfer (either directly or through brokers) and cover more than their dues.
I genuinely don’t understand why anybody who owns DVC primarily for personal use thinks renters should be able to have equal priority with owners, or why anybody thinks spec rentals are necessary for non-commercial use.