Oh, I didn't assume that; it was reasonable to remove the discount, and I mentioned it only because it was in addition to the other 30% premium increase, not instead of it or offset by it. A 40% effective increase seemed very excessive for a claim that paid out $12K, given that neither of us had had a claim (or a traffic ticket) for the entire time we've been with the company.
See my third comment on this specific comment. It's understandable that it's not instead of or offset by it.
the auto theft rate here is high
Which is part of your insurance premium for sure and may in part be part of any increase at renewal (usually seen in the comprehensive coverage premium).
The business with the backing-out "accident" is definitely the reason for the increase; he called to check, and the dates match.
I'm not sure what you mean by the dates matched I'm just telling you that is a common enough answer agents give to their insureds who are calling and complaining about the increase. Whether that actually IS the reason or the majority of the reason may or may not be the case. I don't know that people take stock of what all goes into their renewal rates. Yes indeed an accident can be responsible for the majority or all of the increase but absolutely not always. Insurance companies take rate increases as well as decreases (that they file with the state's DOI). These rate adjustments can be broad and vague or highly specific to specific types of clients (things like age of roof, credit score, zip code, number of UM/UIM payouts in an area, etc). I know at least at the insurance company I worked for MO (since I know you're there) prohibited a credit score to be run more frequently than 3 years so if an insured requested their credit to be rerun it couldn't be run again by the insurance company for 3 years after that---on that one almost no one ever improved their credit score IME from what the policy was being rated on. One year MO, OH and another state had a slew of both MVRs and credit scores run by the insurance company I worked for (which insurance companies can do this) that caused some increases too just by that. FWIW, CA required MVRs to be rerun every auto renewal but doesn't allow credit to be a determining factor in insurance premiums (just thought I'd mention CA since that's what the thread was originally about).
I would have agents call asking why an insurance renewal was going up and they would be convinced it was the accident but that was certainly not the case across the board. That's why I said I could mock block the accident on my end sometimes it was so piddly of an amount but of course what answer do you think an insured is going to assume? The accident was the reason. My next step was to look up what internal notices had been sent to the agent about possible rate increases.
Years back when we switched from Nationwide to Progressive the main reason was just rate increases Nationwide (across the nation) was taken. Unfortunately Progressive has also taken high rate increases. If you've shopped around that frequently and found that no other can beat yours chances are your present insurance company is also taking rate increases just not as high as the others and then you had an accident which adds into it.
Another thing I would see is renewal dates. On average a policy starts processing a renewal 30-45 days in advance at least at the insurance company I worked for in the 30+ states they wrote in (home I saw could be up to 58 days in advance). I'm not saying this for your case but for others reading along if your policy starts the renewal process an insurance company can't affect your policy until the next renewal date. That actually happened to us because my husband was in an accident in August 2023 (of which the Other Party declined having our insurance company pay anything to them, my husband was at fault) but our policy had already started the renewal process. We have a 12 month policy and so September 2024 is when we started seeing the increase due to that accident. We had already had the new policy premium (which was more) for the replacement car back when it was replaced in August 2023.
He was told that it did not matter that the claim was actually denied and nothing was paid out on it for either car
That is correct. People get hung up on paid out amounts. Insurance companies these days typically use sophisticated algorithms comprised of so many factors.
And to understand claims a denied claim is still a claim that's why a $0 paid loss (especially on a home) can still affect your eligibility. Denials happen for multitude of reasons from the loss isn't covered, the loss is under the deductible, there is fraud going on, etc . The only time you can get that removed from your CLUE (Comprehensive Loss Underwriting Exchange) is if your insurance company formerly rescinds the claim (which I did run into that every so often). I don't know if the police took a report but that could also be on his MVR (Motor Vehicle Record). Some accidents are pulled only from MVR some only from CLUE it depends on how the insurance company handled it and the police. For example my accident 15 years ago only pulled from CLUE not from my MVR despite the police having been called and a report made (the other driver was the one that got a ticket which would help explain that). Typically accidents affect premiums for 3 years from the date it starts being charged (not occurred but actually charged), DUI tickets (at least at the insurance company I worked for) was 5 years.
I totally get your angst on it just wanted to provide some more information, it's super easy to think it's X but IME it's often ABCDEF, etc.